Scenariji : od znanja k oblikovanju politik
Scenarios : from knowledge to devising policies

english
slovenian

2006

volume 17, issue 1/2

environmental protection   spatial planning

Urbanistični inštitut Republike Slovenije
(Obvezni izvod spletne publikacije)

Public policies and related interventions cause diverse territorial impacts; intended and wanted as well as lateral, indirect and unwanted ones. Strategic impact assessments are commonly used to identify and assess these impacts. Besides, the main intention of impact assessments is to influence and optimize the policy actions in terms of their impacts. Forecasting of future development and identification of impacts is a complex task, charged with uncertainties, which requires resourceful use and combination of different tools. Scenarios are among the most effective forecasting, communication and policy design tools. The paper presents the use of scenarios in a strategic environmental impact assessment for a high speed rail in Slovenia. Scenarios were used as an input for environmental vulnerability modelling. Acceptability of environmental costs brought about by planned intervention can only be assessed based on knowledge about the changes / benefits.

18.02.2011