2. NOVEMBER 2004 2 NOVEMBER 2004 17 RUDARSTVO IN PREDELOVALNE DEJAVNOSTI MINING AND MANUFACTURING št./No 21 št./No 321 Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 2 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 3 Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 4 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 5 Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 6 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 METODOLOŠKA POJASNILA METHODOLOGICAL EXPLANATIONS NAMEN STATISTIČNEGA RAZISKOVANJA PURPOSE OF STATISTICAL SURVEY Namen kvalitativne Ankete o poslovnih tendencah (PA-IND/M) je mesečno pridobivanje informacij o trenutnih stanjih glavnih ekonomskih kazalcev ter ocenitev njihovega gibanja v naslednjih mesecih. Rezultati anket so osnova za izračun kazalca zaupanja v predelovalnih dejavnostih in kazalca gospodarske klime, ki vključuje poleg kazalca zaupanja v predelovalnih dejavnostih tudi kazalec zaupanja pri potrošnikih in kazalec zaupanja v trgovini na drobno. The purpose of the qualitative Survey on Business Tendency (hereinafter: PA-IND/M) is to get monthly information about current situations of major economic indicators and to evaluate their movement in the following months. The results of the survey are the basis for evaluation of the confidence indicator in manufacturing and latter on also for the sentiment indicator, which also includes the consumer confidence indicator and the confidence indicator in retail trade. Panelno anketo o poslovnih tendencah v predelovalnih dejavnostih izvajamo v Sloveniji od aprila 1995 s poenotenim vprašalnikom, na podlagi poenotene metodologije in z enako periodiko, kot jo izvajajo v državah članicah Evropske unije že več desetletij. Zato so vsi podatki neposredno primerljivi. We have been carrying out the Survey on Business Tendency in Manufacturing in Slovenia since April 1995 with the harmonised questionnaire, methodology and periodicity, which have been used in EU Member States for several decades. Therefore, all data are directly comparable. ENOTA OPAZOVANJA OBSERVATION UNITS Opazujemo podjetja, ki so razvrščena v predelovalne dejavnosti, to je v oddelke Standardne klasifikacije dejavnosti (SKD) od 15 do 36, ter so bila izbrana v panel podjetij na podlagi dveh meril: We are monitoring units that are registered in manufacturing - divisions 15 to 36 of the Standard Classification of Activities (SKD). They were selected into the panel by two criteria: velikosti podjetja (število zaposlenih, skladno z zakonom o gospodarskih družbah) in the size of the enterprise (the number of employees in accordance with the Companies Act) and razvrstitve podjetja po SKD-ju. the classification of the enterprise according to the SKD. VIRI SOURCES Na vprašalnik odgovarjajo direktorji podjetij ali drugi vodilni delavci med 1. in 10. v mesecu. Rezultate pa objavimo že okoli 20. v istem mesecu. Persons responding to the monthly questionnaire are managers of enterprises or other executives. They respond between the 1st and the 10th in the month. Results are published approximately on the 20th of the current month. ZAJETJE COVERAGE V panelni vzorec smo zajeli vas velika podjetja, 56 % srednjevelikih (ali 59 % zaposlenih) in 18 % malih podjetij (ali 20 % zaposlenih). Panelni vzorec pokriva 37 % podjetij vzorčnega okvira ali 74 % zaposlenih v predelovalnih dejavnostih. The panel includes all large enterprises, 56% of medium-sized enterprises (or 59% of employees) and 18% of small enterprises (or 20% of employees); the panel covers 37% of the enterprises of the studied population or 74% of employees in manufacturing. NAČIN ZBIRANJA PODATKOV METHOD OF DATA COLLECTING Anketo izvajamo mesečno po pošti, vsako četrtletje (januar, april, julij in oktober) pa mesečni anketi dodamo še sedem četrtletnih vprašanj. The survey is carried out monthly by mail, each quarter (January, April, July and October) we are including seven more questions to the monthly survey. UTEŽEVANJE ODGOVOROV WEIGHTS FOR RESPONSES Odgovori so uteženi tako, da odražajo relativno pomembnost posameznega podjetja v vzorcu. Znotraj oddelkov SKD so odgovori uteženi s številom zaposlenih. Responses to individual questions are weighted so that they reflect relative importance of individual enterprise in the panel. Inside divisions of Standard Classification of Activities (SKD) responses are weighted with the number of employees. NEODGOVORI NON-RESPONSES Neodgovore vsak mesec obdelamo skladno s poenoteno metodologijo; delež neodgovorov se giba med 3-15 % (povprečno 9 %). Non-responses are processed every month in accordance with the harmonised methodology and vary between 3 and 15% (9% on average). DEFINICIJE DEFINITIONS Grafikoni prikazujejo ravnotežja po posameznih vprašanjih. Ravnotežje je razlika med pozitivnimi in negativnimi odgovori, izražena v odstotkih. Ravnotežja prikazujejo gibanje opazovanih ekonomskih spremenljivk (stanj in pričakovanj), ne pa dejanskih velikosti ekonomskih kazalcev. The charts show the balance by individual questions. The balance is the difference between positive and negative answers, expressed in percent. The balance shows the movement of observed economic variables (present situation and future expectations), and not the real size of economic indicators. Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 7 Ko so prikazane daljše časovne vrste podatkov ali primerjave kazalcev z EU so vrednosti desezonirane. To so vrednosti, pri katerih je izključen vpliv sezone, vsebujejo pa trend-cikel in naključno komponento. Podatki za EU so desezonirani z metodo DAINTIES, za Slovenijo pa z metodo TRAMO/SEATS, ki temelji na ARIMA modelih. Pri oblikovanju modelov je upoštevano časovno obdobje od marca 1995 do januarja 2004. Zaradi narave podatkov se modeli za leto 2004 razlikujejo v primerjavi z modeli za leto 2003 le pri kazalcu zaupanja. Zaradi narave podatkov časovna vrsta Ustreznost proizvodnih zmogljivosti ni desezonirana, saj sezonska komponenta ni prisotna. In the charts with longer time series or by comparisons with EU indicators, data are seasonally adjusted. Values are adjusted for seasonal component, which include trend-cycle component and irregular component. Data for EU are seasonally adjusted by DAINTIES method and for Slovenia by TRAMO/SEATS method, which is based on ARIMA models. The designing of the models is based on the time period from March 1995 till January 2004. Because of the nature of data, models for 2004 differ from those used in 2003 only by confidence indicator. Because of the nature of data the series Current production capacity is not seasonally adjusted, because of absence of seasonal component. Kazalec zaupanja je povprečje odgovorov (ravnotežij) na vprašanja o proizvodnih pričakovanjih, skupnih naročilih in zalogah končnih izdelkov (obrnjen predznak). The confidence indicator is defined as the arithmetic mean of the answers (balances) to the questions on production expectation, assessment of overall order books and assessment of stocks of finished products (the latter with inverted sign). OBJAVLJANJE PODATKOV PUBLISHING Sodelujoči v anketi prejmejo informacijo o oddelku SKD, v katerega se po dejavnosti razvrščajo in o predelovalnih dejavnostih, vendar le, če so izpolnili vprašalnik za tekoči mesec. Persons participating in the survey get the special information for division in which they are classified and for manufacturing. They get it only if they responded in the current month. Drugim uporabnikom so dostopni podatki na ravni predelovalnih dejavnosti in njenih oddelkov in po velikostnih razredih podjetij. Podatki so mesečno objavljeni v Statističnih informacijah – Poslovne tendence v predelovalnih dejavnostih in v podatkovni bazi SI-STAT na naslovu http://www.stat.si/. Other users can get data for manufacturing and its divisions and data for different size groups of enterprises. Data are published in the monthly Rapid Reports – Business tendency in manufacturing and in the database SI-STAT which is available on the http://www.stat.si/eng/. MESEČNA VPRAŠANJA: MONTHLY QUESTIONS: • Proizvodni ritem v opazovanem mesecu: živahnejši, enak, šibkejši? • Production rhythm in the observed month: increased, remain unchanged, decreased? • Ocena ravni izvoznih naročil: višja kot normalno, normalna, nižja kot normalno? • Assessment of current export order books: above normal, normal, below normal? • Ocena ravni skupnih naročil: višja kot normalno, normalna, nižja kot normalno? • Assessment of current overall order books: above normal, normal, below normal? • Ocena ravni zalog končnih izdelkov: višja kot normalno, normalna, nižja kot normalno? • Assessment of current stock of finished products: above normal, normal, below normal? • Pričakovana proizvodnja v naslednjih 3 mesecih: naraščala, nespremenjena, padala? • Production expectations over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Pričakovane cene v naslednjih 3 mesecih: naraščale, nespremenjene, padale? • Selling prices expectations over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Pričakovano število zaposlenih v naslednjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo nespremenjeno, zmanjšalo? • Firm’s total employment expectations over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Pričakovan izvoz v naslednjih 3 mesecih: naraščal, nespremenjen, padal? • Export orders expectations over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Pričakovano skupno povpraševanje v naslednjih 3 mesecih: krepilo, enako, slabelo? • Expected total demand over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Ob sedanjem proizvodnem ritmu je zagotovljena proizvodnja za: .... mesecev? • Duration of production assured by current overall order books: for … months? ČETRTLETNA VPRAŠANJA: QUARTERLY QUESTIONS: • Omejitveni dejavniki v proizvodnji: ni omejitev, nezadostno domače povpraševanje, nezadostno tuje povpraševanje, konkurenčen uvoz, pomanjkanje delavcev na splošno, pomanjkanje usposobljenih delavcev, pomanjkanje surovin, pomanjkanje polizdelkov, pomanjkanje ustrezne opreme, neplačništvo, finančni problemi, nejasna gospodarska zakonodaja, negotove gospodarske razmere, ostalo? • Limits to production: none, insufficient domestic demand, insufficient foreign demand, competitive imports, shortage of labour in general, shortage of skilled labour, shortage of raw materials, shortage of semi-finished products, lack of appropriate equipment, problems with unpaid bills, financial problems, unclear economic legislation, uncertain economic conditions, other? • Sedanje proizvodne zmogljivosti: prevelike, ustrezne, premajhne? • Assessment of current production capacity: more than sufficient, sufficient, not sufficient? • Sedanja stopnja izkoriščenosti zmogljivosti: .... odstotkov? • Current level of capacity utilisation: in percentage of full capacity? • Konkurenčni položaj podjetja na domačem trgu v zadnjih 3 mesecih: boljši, nespremenjen, slabši? • Competitive position on the domestic market over the past 3 months: improved, remained unchanged, deteriorated? • Konkurenčni položaj podjetja na trgih držav članic Evropske Unije v zadnjih 3 mesecih: boljši, nespremenjen, slabši? • Competitive position on the foreign markets inside the EU over the past 3 months: improved, remained unchanged, deteriorated? • Konkurenčni položaj podjetja na trgih zunaj Evropske Unije v zadnjih 3 mesecih: boljši, nespremenjen, slabši? • Competitive position on the markets outside the EU over the past 3 months: improved, remained unchanged, deteriorated? • Obseg novih naročil se je v zadnjih 3 mesecih: povečal, ostal nespremenjen, zmanjšal? • New orders over the past 3 months: increased, remain unchanged, decreased? Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 8 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 KOMENTAR COMMENT Oktobra so direktorji tendence v predelovalnih dejavnostih ocenili enako kot pretekli mesec – desezonirana vrednost kazalca zaupanja je bila v oktobru enaka kot v septembru. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila ta vrednost za 8 odstotnih točk višja ter za 9 odstotnih točk nad lanskim povprečjem. In October managers estimated business tendencies in manufacturing the same as in the previous month. The seasonally adjusted value of the confidence indicator was the same as in September 2004. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 8 percentage points and 9 percentage points above last year’s average. Na gibanje kazalca zaupanja v tem mesecu so vplivale manjše zaloge končnih izdelkov in manjša proizvodna pričakovanja ter zvišanje ravni skupnih naročil, vendar se je njihovo gibanje ravno izničilo, tako da je vrednost kazalca zaupanja ostala enaka kot pretekli mesec. The evolution of the confidence indicator in this month was influenced by the fall of stocks of finished products and production expectations as well as by the rise of overall order books; however, their opposite influence on the confidence indicator caused no change in its value. PROIZVODNJA in PROIZVODNA PRIČAKOVANJA PRODUCTION and PRODUCTION EXPECTATIONS Desezonirana vrednost kazalca proizvodnje je bila enaka kot pretekli mesec. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 8 odstotnih točk, glede na lansko povprečje pa višja za 2 odstotni točki. The seasonally adjusted value of the production indicator remained the same as in the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was down by 8 percentage points and up by 2 percentage points compared to last year’s average. Desezonirana vrednost kazalca proizvodnih pričakovanj za naslednje 3 mesece se je znižala za 3 odstotne točke. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila višja za 8 odstotnih točk in za 11 odstotnih točk višja od lanskega povprečja. The seasonally adjusted value of production expectations for the next three months fell by 3 percentage points. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 8 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 11 percentage points. ZAGOTOVLJENA PROIZVODNJA ASSURED PRODUCTION Ob oktoberskem proizvodnem ritmu imajo podjetja zagotovljeno proizvodnjo v povprečju za 4,3 meseca. To je za 0,1 meseca več kot lani v tem mesecu in enako kot lansko povprečje. With the same production rhythm as in October, production in enterprises is assured on average for the next 4.3 months. This is 0.1 month more than in October 2003 and the same as last year’s average. Največ podjetij (22,3 %) ima proizvodnjo zagotovljeno v povprečju za 3 mesece. Sledijo podjetja (18,4 %), ki imajo proizvodnjo zagotovljeno v povprečju za več kot 10 mesecev, in podjetja (16,5 %), ki imajo proizvodnjo zagotovljeno v povprečju za 2 meseca. Za en mesec ima zagotovljeno proizvodnjo v povprečju 12,1 % podjetij, ob oktoberskem proizvodnem ritmu pa nima zagotovljene proizvodnje v povprečju 2,1 % podjetij. In most enterprises (22.3%) production is assured for three months. They are followed by enterprises whose production is assured for more than ten months (18.4%) and those in which production is assured for two months (16.5%). Should the October production rhythm continue, 12.1% of enterprises have production assured for one month and 2.1% of enterprises have no assured production. OMEJITVE V PROIZVODNJI LIMITS TO PRODUCTION Med omejitvenimi dejavniki v proizvodnji so prevladovali dejavniki iz skupine težave s preskrbo. V tem mesecu se je z njimi spopadalo 30 % zaposlenih (oziroma 32 % podjetij), kar je za 7 odstotnih točk več kot lani v tem mesecu in 9 odstotnih točk nad lanskim povprečjem. Among factors limiting production, supply difficulties prevailed. In October 2004, 30% of employees (32% of enterprises) faced these limits, which is 7 percentage points more than in October 2003 and 9 percentage points above last year’s average. Sledili so omejitveni dejavniki iz skupine šibko povpraševanje. V tem mesecu se je z njimi srečevalo 28 % zaposlenih (oziroma 31 % podjetij), kar za 4 odstotne točke več kot isti mesec lani in 1 odstotno točko pod lanskim povprečjem. The second most important limits were demand difficulties. In October 2004, 28% of employees (31% of enterprises) faced these limits, which is 4 percentage points more than in October 2003 and 1 percentage point below last year’s average. Z dejavniki iz skupine hude omejitve se je v tem mesecu srečalo 23 % zaposlenih (oziroma 20 % podjetij) v predelovalnih dejavnostih. Glede na isti mesec lani je bil odstotek nižji za 6 odstotnih točk in za 7 odstotnih točk pod lanskim povprečjem. The third most important limits were severe obstacles. In October 2004, 23% of employees (20% of enterprises) faced these limits, which is 6 percentage points less than in October 2003 and 7 percentage points below last year’s average. 19 % zaposlenih (oziroma 17 % podjetij) v tem mesecu ni imelo omejitev v proizvodnji. Glede na isti mesec lani je bil odstotek nižji za 5 odstotnih točk in 2 odstotne točke pod lanskim povprečjem. In October 2004, 19% of employees (17% of enterprises) faced no limits, which is 5 percentage points less than in October 2003 and 2 percentage points below last year’s average. Podrobnejši pregled omejitvenih dejavnikov v proizvodnji pokaže, da je/so oktobra1) : A more detailed overview of limits to production shows that in October1): • 37 % podjetij (ali 31 % zaposlenih) omejevalo nezadostno domače povpraševanje; • 37% of enterprises (or 31% of employees) were limited by insufficient domestic demand, 1) Podjetja lahko označijo več dejavnikov, ki omejujejo njihovo proizvodnjo, zato vsota odstotkov ni 100. Enterprises can select several factors limiting their business, so the total is not 100%. Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 9 • 30 % podjetij (ali 33 % zaposlenih) omejevalo nezadostno tuje povpraševanje; • 19 % podjetij (ali 19 % zaposlenih) omejeval konkurenčni uvoz; • 19 % podjetij (ali 18 % zaposlenih) omejevalo pomanjkanje usposobljenih delavcev; • 17 % podjetij (ali 19 % zaposlenih) ni imelo proizvodnih omejitev; • 17 % podjetij (ali 12 % zaposlenih) omejevale neporavnane obveznosti iz poslovanja; • 10 % podjetij (ali 12 % zaposlenih) omejevalo pomanjkanje ustrezne opreme; • 10 % podjetij (ali 6 % zaposlenih) omejevali finančni problemi, kot so neugodni pogoji kreditiranja, težave pri pridobivanju kreditov itd.; • 8 % podjetij (ali 11 % zaposlenih) omejevali drugi dejavniki, npr. nelojalna konkurenca, tečajna politika, pomanjkanje zmogljivosti, visoki stroški dela; • 7 % podjetij (ali 12 % zaposlenih) imelo težave zaradi negotovih gospodarskih razmer; • 7 % podjetij (ali 7 % zaposlenih) omejevalo pomanjkanje surovin; • 7 % podjetij (ali 5 % zaposlenih) omejevalo pomanjkanje delavcev na splošno; • 4 % podjetij (ali 4 % zaposlenih) omejevala nejasna gospodarska zakonodaja; • 1 % podjetij (ali 2 % zaposlenih) omejevalo pomanjkanje polizdelkov. • 30% of enterprises (or 33% of employees) were limited by insufficient foreign demand, • 19% of enterprises (or 19% of employees) were limited by competitive imports, • 19% of enterprises (or 18% of employees) were limited by shortage of skilled labour, • 17% of enterprises (or 19% of employees) experienced no limits, • 17% of enterprises (or 12% of employees) were limited by problems with unpaid bills, • 10% of enterprises (or 12% of employees) were limited by lack of appropriate equipment, • 10% of enterprises (or 6% of employees) were limited by financial problems such as unfavourable credit terms, difficulties in obtaining credits, etc., • 8% of enterprises (or 11% of employees) were limited by other factors such as unfair competition, exchange-rate policy, lack of capacity, high labour costs, • 7% of enterprises (or 12% of employees) were limited by uncertain economic conditions, • 7% of enterprises (or 7% of employees) were limited by shortage of raw materials, • 7% of enterprises (or 5% of employees) were limited by shortage of labour in general, • 4% of enterprises (or 4% of employees) were limited by unclear economic legislation, • 1% of enterprises (or 2% of employees) was limited by shortage of semi-finished products. Največja omejitev v proizvodnji ostaja nezadostno domače povpraševanje, sledijo nezadostno tuje povpraševanje, konkurenčni uvoz in pomanjkanje usposobljenih delavcev. Med omejitvenimi dejavniki v tem mesecu najbolj izstopajo pomanjkanje usposobljenih delavcev in konkurenčni uvoz, s katerima se je srečevalo za 6 oziroma 4 odstotne točke manj podjetij kot julija. The most important factor limiting production is still insufficient domestic demand, followed by insufficient foreign demand, competitive imports and shortage of skilled labour. Limits to production that changed the most in October 2004 are shortage of skilled labour and competitive imports. Compared to July 2004, the number of enterprises that selected these limits fell by 6 and 4 percentage points respectively. Le 17 % podjetij ni imelo omejitev v proizvodnji. Only 17% of enterprises experienced no limits to production. IZKORIŠČENOST ZMOGLJIVOSTI CAPACITY UTILISATION Oktoberska povprečna izkoriščenost zmogljivosti je bila 81,6-odstotna ali za 0,5 odstotne točke višja kot julija. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila za 0,9 odstotne točke nižja in 0,5 odstotne točke nad lanskim povprečjem. In October the average capacity utilisation was 81.6%, which is 0.5 percentage point higher than in July 2004. Compared to October 2003 it was down by 0.9 percentage point and 0.5 percentage point above last year’s average. USTREZNOST PROIZVODNIH ZMOGLJIVOSTI CURRENT PRODUCTION CAPACITY Ocena ustreznosti proizvodnih zmogljivosti glede na pričakovano povpraševanje v naslednjih dvanajstih mesecih je bila višja kot v zadnjem opazovanem mesecu. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila nižja za 3 odstotne točke in 6 točk pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The assessment of current production capacity in comparison with expected demand in the next 12 months was higher than in July 2004. Compared to October 2003 it was down by 3 percentage points and 6 percentage points below last year’s average. IZVOZ in IZVOZNA PRIČAKOVANJA EXPORT ORDER BOOKS and EXPECTED EXPORT ORDER BOOKS Desezonirana vrednost kazalca ravni izvoznih naročil se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižala za 1 odstotno točko. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila višja za 14 odstotnih točk in za 23 odstotnih točk nad lanskim povprečjem. The seasonally adjusted value of the export order books indicator fell by 1 percentage point compared to the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 14 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 23 percentage points. Statistične informacije, št. 321/2004 10 Rapid Reports No 321/2004 Desezonirana vrednost kazalca pričakovanega izvoza za naslednje 3 mesece se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižala za 1 odstotno točko. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila višja za 13 odstotnih točk in za 14 odstotnih točk višja kot lanskoletno povprečje. The seasonally adjusted value of expected export in the next three months fell by 1 percentage point compared to the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 13 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 14 percentage points. SKUPNA NAROČILA in PRIČAKOVANO SKUPNO POVPRAŠEVANJE OVERALL ORDER BOOKS and EXPECTED TOTAL DEMAND Desezonirana vrednost kazalca ravni skupnih naročil se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem zvišala za 2 odstotni točki. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila višja za 7 odstotnih točk in za 17 odstotnih točk nad povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the overall order books indicator rose by 2 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 7 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 17 percentage points. Desezonirana vrednost kazalca pričakovanega skupnega povpraševanja za naslednje 3 mesece se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem zvišala za 4 odstotne točke. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila višja za 8 odstotnih točk, za 13 odstotnih točk pa je bila višja od lanskega povprečja. The seasonally adjusted value of expected total demand for the next three months rose by 4 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 8 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 13 percentage points. PRIČAKOVANE CENE SELLING PRICE EXPECTATIONS Desezonirana vrednost kazalca cenovnih pričakovanj za naslednje 3 mesece se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem zvišala za 2 odstotni točki. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila višja za 14 odstotnih točk in 12 točk nad lanskim povprečjem. The seasonally adjusted value of selling price expectations for the next three months rose by 2 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 14 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 12 percentage points. ZALOGE STOCKS OF FINISHED PRODUCTS Desezonirana vrednost kazalca ravni zalog končnih izdelkov se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižala za 5 odstotnih točk. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 8 odstotnih točk, za 3 odstotne točke pa je bila pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the stocks of finished products indicator fell by 5 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was down by 8 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 3 percentage points. PRIČAKOVANO ZAPOSLOVANJE EXPECTED EMPLOYMENT Desezonirana vrednost kazalca pričakovanj glede zaposlovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih se je glede na pretekli mesec znižala za 1 odstotno točko. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila nižja za 1 odstotno točko in 3 odstotne točke nad povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of expected employment for the next three months fell by 1 percentage point compared to the previous month. Compared to October 2003 it was down by 1 percentage point, while compared to year’s average it was up by 3 percentage points. KONKURENČNI POLOŽAJ COMPETITIVE POSITION Ocena konkurenčnega položaja podjetij na domačem trgu se je v primerjavi z julijem zvišala za 1 odstotno točko. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila višja za 4 odstotne točke in 5 odstotnih točk nad lanskim povprečjem. Compared to July 2004, the assessment of competitive position on the domestic market was up by 1 percentage point. Compared to October 2003 it was up by 4 percentage points and 5 percentage points above last year’s average. Ocena konkurenčnega položaja podjetij na trgih držav članic Evropske unije je bila v primerjavi z julijem nižja za 2 odstotni točki. Bila je enaka kot isti mesec lani, za 3 odstotne točke pa je presegla lanskoletno povprečje. Compared to July 2004, the assessment of enterprise’s competitive position on markets of EU Member States was down by 2 percentage points. It was the same as in October 2003 and 3 percentage points above last year’s average. Ocena konkurenčnega položaja podjetij na trgih zunaj Evropske unije je bila v primerjavi z julijem višja za 4 odstotne točke. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 2 odstotni točki in za 1 odstoto točko pod lanskim povprečjem. Compared to July 2004, the assessment of enterprise’s competitive position on markets outside the European Union was up by 4 percentage points. Compared to October 2003 it was down by 2 percentage points and 1 percentage point below last year’s average. Statistično raziskovanje je sofinancirala Evropska komisija. Za objavljene podatke in besedila je odgovoren izključno Statistični urad Republike Slovenije in ne Evropska komisija. The business survey is co-financed by the European Commission. However, the European Commission accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever with regard to the material published in this document. Sestavila / Prepared by: Jelena Čirjakovič Izdaja, založba in tisk Statistični urad Republike Slovenije, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - Uporaba in objava podatkov dovoljena le z navedbo vira - Odgovarja generalna direktorica mag. Irena Križman - Urednica zbirke Statistične informacije Marina Urbas - Slovensko besedilo jezikovno uredila Ivanka Zobec in Joža Lakovič - Angleško besedilo jezikovno uredil Boris Panič - Naklada 105 izvodov - ISSN zbirke Statistične informacije 1408-192X - ISSN podzbirke Rudarstvo in predelovalne dejavnosti 1408-8908 - Informacije daje Informacijsko središče, tel.: (01) 241 51 04 - El. pošta: info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si. Edited, published and printed by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - These data can be used provided the source is acknowledged - Director-General Irena Križman - Rapid Reports editor Marina Urbas - Slovene language editor Ivanka Zobec and Joža Lakovič - English language editor Boris Panič - Total print run 105 copies - ISSN of Rapid Reports 1408-192X - ISSN of subcollection Mining and Manufacturing 1408-8908 - Information is given by the Information Centre of the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, tel.: +386 1 241 51 04 - E-mail: info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si.