REPUBLIKA SLOVENIJA My STATISTIČNI URAD REPUBLIKE SLOVENIJE ^ STATISTICAL OFFICE OF THE REPUBUC OF SLOVENIA p 100 10 10 10 1)10 10! 10101 1 101010 "oiooionoioi i ioi D 10110 !0 10110 loiriouDioiajol 10 M! ion lift 10 10 10 10 10 10 10)0 10 101 Slovenia's population today and tomorrow, 2008-2060 EUROPOP2008 population projections for Slovenia Ljubljana, July 2009 FOREWORD Probable future development of Slovenia's population Our latest publication on Slovenia's population - entitled Slovenia's Population Today and Tomorrow, 2008-2060 - brings the results of Eurostat's EUROPOP2008 population projection for Slovenia, the baseline variant, which, taking into account the starting points and value of hypotheses about fertility, mortality and migration, shows probable future development of Slovenia's population. In addition, the booklet brings the results of the low and high variants of this projection that were prepared by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia (SORS) to offer the users of our data the possibility of insight into various possible "scenarios" of Slovenia's population development. Preparation of projections For preparing projections of expenditure related to population ageing, following a mandate from ECOFIN at the end of March 2008 Eurostat, the Statistical Office of the European Communities, prepared the population projection, convergence scenario, for the 2008-2060 period for all 27 EU Member States, Norway and Switzerland. The projection was named EUROPOP2008, and its results were published in spring 2008 on Eurostat's website (http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/population/data/database). Since then the data have been used as a mandatory basis for calculating projections of public expenditure in EU Member States. EU Member States can prepare their own population projections (variants that take into account several hypotheses or a combination of individual hypotheses regarding fertility, mortality and migration) but they must take as the basis for official calculation of projections of public expenditure the results of the EUROPOP2008 population projection. Slovenia took over the Eurostat EUROPOP2008 population projection for Slovenia as its official population projection and the baseline variant. In addition, the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia calculated (for the policy makers and other users) other variants of population projections, including the so-called low and high variants. On the basis of various variants of population projections it is possible to prepare various other projections, such as projections of public expenditure in Slovenia, which in discussions provide a wider view of the possible consequences of certain developments in our country. Presentation of future demographic trends in Slovenia by 2060 The booklet presents the results of population projections - future demographic trends in Slovenia by 2060. The projections are based on the population of Slovenia at the beginning of 2008 and take into account the assumptions about future demographic changes as can be currently foreseen. Assumptions are briefly presented in the first part of the booklet; variants of projections (low, baseline, high) show the different possible paths of development of future demographic trends. The second part presents the results: the (likely) size of the future population and its age-sex structure in Slovenia by 2060. I would like to thank everybody who contributed to the preparation and publication of these data. Issued and published by the Statistical Office of Republic of Slovenia, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - Use and publication of data is allowed provided the source is acknowledged - Director-General Irena Križman, M.Sc. - Author Petronela Vertot - Editor of the Brochure collection Marina Urbas - Translated by Boris Panič - Designed by Dušan Weiss and Ada Poklač The publication in English is available at http://www.stat.si/doc/pub/SloveniaPopulation2008-2060.pdf CIP - Kataložni zapis o publikaciji Narodna in univerzitetna knjižnica, Ljubljana 314(497.4) VERTOT, Nelka Slovenia's population today and tomorrow, 2008-2060 : EUROPOP 2008 population projections for Slovenia / [author Petronela Vertot ; translated by Boris Panič]. - Ljubljana : Statistical office of the Republic of Slovenia, 2009 ISBN 978-961-239-187-4 1. Gl. stv. nasl. 247467008 Sloven CONTENTS PURPOSE OF POPULATION PROJECTIONS..................................................................................9 Chart 1: Eurostat database - population projections.........................................................................................12 Table 1: Life expectancy, total fertility rate and net migration, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2060 .......................................................... 13 POPULATION PROJECTIONS AND EUROPOP2008.................................................................... 14 Chart 2: Example of impact of different convergence years..............................................................................15 Table 2: Total fertility rate, life expectancy at birth and migration, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 ............... 16 ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060................... 17 FERTILITY........................................................................................................................................... 18 Chart 3: Total fertility rate, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 Chart 4: Total fertility rate, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia and EU-27, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................... 19 Chart 5: Mean age of mother at chidbirth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia and EU-27, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................... 20 Chart 6: Mean age of mother at chidbirth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia and EU-27, 2008-2060 ............................................................................................... 21 Chart 7: Mean age of mother at chidbirth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2008 and 2060 ...................................... 21 MORTALITY......................................................................................................................................... 22 Chart 8: Life expectancy at birth by sex, Slovenia, 1960-1961 and 1986-1987 to 2006-2007 ........................ 22 Chart 9: Life expectancy at birth by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 ........................................................ 23 Chart 10: Differences between male and female life expectancy at birth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 ............... 24 MIGRATION ......................................................................................................................................... 25 Table 3: »Demographic changes« in EU-27 Member States, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, 2008-2060 ............................................................................................. 25 Chart 11: Changes in population shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, baseline variant, 2008-2060, (2008= 100)....................... 25 Chart 12: Population growth due to migration, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2008-2060 .............................................. 26 DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060 ........................................................ 27 Table 4: Old age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 28 Chart 13: Population growth rate, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 and Slovenia, 2008-2060 ............................................................................................................................... 29 AGE STRUCTURE OF THE POPULATION..............................................................................................30 Chart 14: Old age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2008 and 2060 ...................................................................... 30 AGE DEPENDENCY RATIOS.................................................................................................................31 Chart 15: Old age dependency ratio and young age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 and Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 31 Chart 16: Old age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, difference between 2008 and 2060 .................................. 32 NUMBER OF POPULATION..................................................................................................................33 Table 5: Population, broad age groups, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)........................ 33 POPULATION GROWTH INDEX............................................................................................................34 Chart 17: Population growth index by sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) ........................... 34 Chart 18: Population growth index by sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) ........................... 34 Chart 19: Population growth index by sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)........... 35 Chart 20: Population growth index by sex, total, 0-14 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)........................................................................................................ 35 Chart 21: Population growth index by sex, men, 0-14 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 36 Chart 22: Population growth index by sex, women, 0-14 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 36 Chart 23: Population growth index by sex, total, 15-64 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 37 Chart 24: Population growth index by sex, men, 15-64 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 37 Chart 25: Population growth index by sex, women, 15-64 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 38 Chart 26: Population growth index by sex, total, 65+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 38 Chart 27: Population growth index by sex, men, 65+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 39 Chart 28: Population growth index by sex, women, 65+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 39 Chart 29: Population growth index by sex, total, 80+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................40 Chart 30: Population growth index by sex, men, 80+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................40 Chart 31: Population growth index by sex, women, 80 + , EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................41 POPULATION.......................................................................................................................................42 Table 6: Population by broad age groups, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................42 Chart 32: Population, 0-14 years, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................43 Chart 33: Population, 15-64 years, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................43 Chart 34: Population, 65+, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................44 Chart 35: Population, 80+, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)......................................................................................................44 AGE STRUCTURE ................................................................................................................................45 Chart 36: Age structure by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27, 2008 and 2060 .................................................................................................................45 Chart 37: Age structure by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 ............................................................................................................46 Chart 38: Population by sex, total, broad age groups, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)..................................47 Chart 39: Population by sex, total, broad age groups, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)..................................47 Chart 40: Population by sex, men, broad age groups, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)..................................48 Chart 41: Population by sex, women, broad age groups, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)..................................48 AGE DEPENDENCY RATIOS.................................................................................................................49 Chart 42: Old age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2008 and changes in the 2008-2060 period...................49 Chart 43: Young age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, 2008 and changes in the 2008-2060 period..................................................................51 Chart 44: Population by broad age groups, 0-14 years and 65+, shares, Slovenia, 1989-2008 ................ 52 Chart 45: Ageing index, Slovenia, 1989-2008 ...................................................................................................... 53 ADDITIONAL TABLES AND CHARTS............................................................................................54 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA...................................................................................................................... 54 Table 7: Population by age groups and ageing indicators, Slovenia, selected years (1989, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005-2008)........................................................................................................................ 54 Table 8: Population by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).......................................................... 56 Table 9: Population by broad age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)...................................................................................................... 57 Table 10: Population by broad age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 58 Table 11: Population by broad age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 59 Table 12: Population by ten-year age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 60 Table 13: Population by ten-year age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 61 Table 14: Population by ten-year age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 62 Table 15: Population by five-year age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 63 Table 16: Population by five-year age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 66 Table 17: Population by five-year age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................ 69 Table 18: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................. 72 Table 19: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................... 74 Table 20: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................... 76 Table 21: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).......................... 78 Table 22: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).......................... 80 Table 23: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).......................... 82 Table 24: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................. 84 Table 25: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................. 86 Table 26: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................. 88 Table 27: Population, ageing indicators by sex, total, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................90 Table 28: Population, ageing indicators by sex, men, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................91 Table 29: Population, ageing indicators by sex, women, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................92 Table 30: Age dependency ratio and the ageing index by sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................93 Table 31: Age dependency ratio and the ageing index by sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................94 Table 32: Age dependency ratio and the ageing index by sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)............................................................................95 Table 33: Population by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2008-2060 ......................................................................................... 96 TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES................................................................................................97 Table 34: Population growth, total, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (2008= 100)...................................................... 97 Table 35: Population, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (EU-27=100)...........98 Table 36: Population in 000, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060)................99 Table 37: Population in 000, 0-14 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 100 Table 38: Population in 000, 15-64 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 101 Table 39: Population in 000, 65+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 102 Table 40: Population in 000, total, 80+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 103 Table 41: Young age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 104 Table 42: Old age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 105 Table 43: Age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 106 Table 44: Population, 0-14 years, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 107 Table 45: Population, 65+, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 108 Table 46: Population, 80+, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060).................................................................................................... 109 CHARTS FOR SLOVENIA.................................................................................................................... 110 Chart 46: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 ............................................................................... 1 10 Chart 47: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 and Slovenia, 2060........................................................................................................ 1 10 Chart 48: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 ................................................................................................................... 1 11 Chart 49: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 .......................................................................................................... 1 11 Chart 50: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 ................................................................................................................. 1 12 Chart 51: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 and Slovenia, 2060........................................................................................................ 1 12 Chart 52: Population by sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variant, Slovenia, 2008-2060 ........................................................................................ 1 13 Chart 53: Population by sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variant, Slovenia, 2008-2060 ........................................................................................ 1 13 Chart 54: Population by sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variant, Slovenia, 2008-2060 ........................................................................................ 1 14 DEFINITIONS OF SOME CONCEPTS USED..............................................................................115 STATISTICAL SIGNS AND ABBREVIATIONS.............................................................................117 REFERENCES.................................................................................................................................118 PURPOSE OF POPULATION PROJECTIONS Projections and forecasts of the future development of population and its components Even the most effective way of collecting and processing statistical data provides only information relating to the past. Users of these data want - especially now during the rapid development in a number of areas - information that could with confidence be used also for the future and its successful planning. Science has been intensively included in searching for connections between 'statistical' data that documented the development in the past and the future development and has developed a comprehensive methodology of foreseeing and forecasting the future. Demography plays an important role among the sciences that deal with foreseeing and forecasting the future. It deals with foreseeing and forecasting the future replacement of the population and its components, which is often called population projections. The term population projection means the calculation of the likely future number and structure of the population in certain areas based on assumptions about future developments in fertility, mortality and migration. Their purpose is to foresee as best as possible the future changes in the population and its structure. Usually we distinguish between projections and prognoses. The former are the result of various hypothetical assumptions, while the latter contain the elements of forecasts. Despite the fact that projections describe only a possible future development of the number and structure of the population, the preparation of good population projections is professionally and technically a very challenging task. Population projections are not restricted only to the evaluation of the results we obtained. Most of the time is spent preparing and organizing the relevant data. For making projections the following is needed: 1. (Re)acquisition and organization of input data or basic data for calculating the projections 2. Analysis of trends and forming the hypotheses (assumptions about future demographic "behaviour"): - high quality, harmonised and relevant statistics, which are the basis for the analysis of demographic developments - good knowledge of the development in the area for which projections are made as well as wider - some bravery resulting from being experts in demography - appropriate software (each "step" requires specific hardware and software) 3. Conversion of data and hypotheses for entry into the selected software package 4. Calculation of projections 5. Analysis and presentation of final results Variants of population projections In order to maximize the coverage and foresee the future (un)foreseeable demographic trends in the country, it is usually necessary to prepare three variants of projections (low, baseline and high), which should cover the most likely full range of future population development. Although the demographic development can reach outside the high and low PURPOSE OF POPULATION PROJECTIONS boundaries, it has been generally shown that the baseline variant usually provides a fairly good foreseeing of future population growth, at least for the next 20 to 25 years. Preparation of the assumptions In preparing the assumptions we take into account a normal population development in the future, so that usually the possibility of catastrophic events, wars, epidemics is not considered. The assumptions that were taken into account in preparing national projections needed to be re-evaluated by Eurostat. The anticipated movement of total fertility, life expectancy at birth and net migration nevertheless provides only conditional future movements in fertility, mortality and migration as all these indicators have in the background a specific distribution by sex and age, which also to some extent affects the results. As a rule, the hypotheses are prepared in two steps: 1. First, the future trends must be expressed by corresponding aggregate indicators (total fertility, life expectancy at birth, net migration) 2. Then the corresponding age distribution by individual periods and the number of variants are calculated. Fertility The future total fertility is assumed on the basis of past trends and the current fertility rate and age-sex structure of the population. All this is affected by a wide range of different factors, from socio-economic to historical, cultural and political. Mortality The estimated life expectancy at birth by sex is based on the working model of prolonging life. It is based on the principle that the older the age group, the prolonging of life is growing more slowly (taking into account life expectancy at birth). Migration Without a doubt "the most difficult task" was determining the hypotheses for the population projection, since most debates about the past and future demographic trends were dedicated to the issue of international migration. The huge increase in immigrants at the end of the 1980s and in the early 1990s surprised virtually everyone. Today, international migration is a widespread phenomenon and is a result of increasingly unpredictable political, economic and social circumstances. The age and sex structures of migrants are calculated from empirical data. Software used In calculating the published variants of population projections for Slovenia in the 20082060 period LIPRO 4.0 software (for more about the basic methodological explanations on this software see the chapter on sources and literature) was used, which is used for making demographic projections also by Eurostat. Official projections of Slovenia's population Because of the abovestated, the production of population projections is usually one of the tasks of national statistical institutes. The contents of the projections may be different, but the basis is always the population projection by age and sex. Various human activities (work, education, entertainment, giving birth, etc.) and needs (housing, food, transportation, health care, etc.) differ the most by age and sex. PURPOSE OF POPULATION PROJECTIONS In Slovenia population projections by age and sex used to be prepared by various institutes (focusing on the economy, social issues, employment, education, etc.), mainly only for their specific needs. Therefore, the results of these projections were not mutually comparable and also not available to all who wished to use them. Those that needed population projections by sex and age for preparing their "derivative" projections have always found themselves in a very unfavourable position. In order to avoid the mentioned problems in the future, by publishing publication projections by age and sex the Statistical Office of Slovenia wanted to offer to the general public the possibility of using a single basis for future planning in various areas of life and work. The Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia included making the population projections for Slovenia in its program in 1984 and published the projections in these years: In 1990 SORS prepared and published for the first time Population Projections for the Socialist Republic of Slovenia 1986-2006. In 1995 SORS published projections of population of Slovenia for the 1995-2020 period, which were prepared in 1993 in cooperation with the Statistical Office of the European Communities, Eurostat (Mr Harri Crujsen), in the context of the regional PHARE program. Eurostat provided technical support for implementing the tasks in the form of a specific software package MUDEA, which had been used by Eurostat before for preparing projections for EU Member States and EFTA countries. In 2005 SORS published Eurostat's population projections for Slovenia, 2004-2050. Eurostat was responsible for the preparation of population projections for old EU Member States (EU-15), new Member States and candidate countries. Accession of new EU Member States and particularly in recent years detected and in the future expected increase in the importance of the problem of population ageing in Europe only accelerated this task. Eurostat used its own data sources and completed the missing ones with the help of individual countries, and in cooperation with the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI) prepared a series of population projections for the 2004-2050 period, which was named EUROPOP2004. Eurostat made these population projections for the 2004-2050 period in several variants, for all EU Member States and candidate countries, and on 8 April 2005 published them on its website. The projections were produced by the "trend" method, which meant that the design of assumptions about future movements in fertility, mortality and migration was based on their movements in the past. In preparing the assumptions about future developments in fertility, mortality and migration in each EU Member State and candidate country all the countries for which projections were made were involved. For Slovenia, the proposal of the mentioned assumptions was developed by members of the working group on population projections for Slovenia at SORS. According to the results of Eurostat's projections, the population in the European Union should increase by 2025 and then decrease. The largest decline in population number was expected in countries that had become members of the European Union last. The data of the baseline variant of Eurostat's population projections for Slovenia were published by SORS in its SI-STAT database, in which users can create their own tables by selected criteria. In 2008, at the end of March, Eurostat prepared for EU Member States, Norway and Switzerland population projections for 2008-2060 according to the so-called convergence scenario. The convergence year, i.e. the year in which (theoretically) the greatest PURPOSE OF POPULATION PROJECTIONS similarity of development of a selected indicator would be achieved, is 2150. Eurostat prepared Population projections 2008-2060, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario, following a mandate from ECOFIN (Economic and Financial Affairs Council, one of the nine bodies of the Council of the European Union, which is composed of economic and finance ministers of EU Member States) as the basis for calculating projections of public expenditure related to population ageing in the EU. Projections offer an insight into the possible future population development in individual EU Member States, taking into account socio-economic and cultural differences among EU Member States, which according to assumptions will gradually disappear. Since Eurostat does not expect that the same values for all countries will be achieved during the projection period (until 2060) but only in a much more "distant" year 2150, only a certain degree of convergence between countries will be reached regarding the assumptions about demographic projections. These population projections, EUR0P0P2008, are thus not a "replacement" of previous EUR0P0P2004 projections, but were prepared for the purposes of the projections of public expenditure associated with population ageing. In the future, Eurostat is expected to prepare "new" population projections, which should again be based on the "trend" method and will thus be more comparable with the mentioned EUR0P0P2004 projections. In addition to the variant that takes into account future development of fertility, mortality and migration, a variant was produced according to natural increase, in which migrations are not taken into account. The results of the mentioned projections were published by Eurostat in its website database and by SORS in the First Release (for more see: References). Chart 1: Eurostat database - population projections Database (data) 1+1 l~~l General and regional statistics (general] EE CD Economy and finance (economy] Population and social conditions (pcpul) ^ Population (populat) HQ Demography (pop) l+l P I International Migration and Asylum (migr) 3 Population projections (proj) H3 EUR.DPOP2003 - Convergence scenario, national level (proj_OSc) ® hHij Convergence year 2150 (pro]_0ac2150) Hi. Convergence year 2150 - 1 January population by sex and single year of age (proj_0&c2150p) Convergence year 2150 - assumptions (proj_0&c2150a) ® ^ Convergence year 2150 - vital events (proj_0Sc2150e) © B Qj Convergence year 2150 - No migration (proj_0Sc2150rm) l+l-fiil EURDPOP2004 -Trend scenario, national level (proj_trend) EH23 EUROPOP2004 - Trend scenario, regional level (proj_rtrend) @ IB-Pi Census (cens) 1+1 Hi Health (health) Source: Eurostat, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/population/data/database (13 April 2009) PURPOSE OF POPULATION PROJECTIONS For the situation as of 31 December 2008, SORS introduced a new definition of population, but in EUROPOP2008 population projections this change was not taken into account as the basis for calculating projections in this booklet was the situation as of 1 January 2008. For more about the new definition of population see http://www.stat.si/ eng/novica_prikazi.aspx?id=1608 / 16 June 2009. EUROPOP2008 projection variants Eurostat's newest projection variant, EUROPOP2008, was in this publication named the baseline variant. Within EUROPOP2008 SORS also prepared the high and the low variants of these projections for Slovenia. The baseline variant of population projections assumes a gradual rise in the total fertility rate in the 2008-2060 period from 1.32 to 1.52, a gradual increase in life expectancy from 74.4 to 83.7 years for men and from 81.9 to 88.8 years for women, and a gradual decrease in net migration from 2,909 to 1,133 for men and from 2,954 to 1,121 for women. At the low and high variants that were prepared by SORS the following values of hypotheses were used: Table 1: Life expectancy, total fertility rate and net migration, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2060 Projection Life expectancy Total Net variant (years) fertility migration men women rate (number) Low 80.06 85.70 1.30 800 Baseline 83.71 88.80 1.52 2,254 High 87.36 91.90 1.90 5,300 Source: SORS, Working group on population projections for Slovenia Data for those variants of Eurostat's population projections for the 2008-2060 period (EUROPOP2008) for Slovenia, convergence scenario, that take into account the future development of fertility, mortality and migration are - as the low and the high variants of these projections which were prepared by SORS - also published in the SI-STAT Database at http://www.stat.si/pxweb/Database/Dem_soc/Dem_soc.asp, which enables users to design their own tables according to selected criteria. POPULATION PROJECTIONS AND EUROPOP2008 Population projections are methods for foreseeing and forecasting future development and structure of the population. Future population "growth" is namely determined by the natural and migration changes and can be positive or negative. Population development is a broader term, which determines complex quantity and quality changes that present an improvement of the population. This broader term includes prognoses or forecasts and population perspectives. Population prognoses are the ones for which the author is convinced that they will come true and thus in a way stands behind them with his or her professional authority. Therefore, they are usually produced only in one variant. On the other hand, population perspectives are usually produced in several variants: for individual variants authors prepare different hypotheses on future development of "elements" of population reproduction, but do not declare which is more plausible. All that they indicate is that an individual variant will come true if the assumptions and hypotheses according to which an individual variant is calculated come true. Eurostat's EUROPOP2008 population projection Eurostat, the Statistical Office of the European Communities, prepared a population projection (with calculations: total, men, women) for the 2008-2060 period, convergence scenario. Background At the end of March 2008, Eurostat prepared for EU Member States, Norway and Switzerland population projections for 2008-2060 according to the convergence scenario. The EUR0P0P2008 population projection 2008-2060, convergence scenario, was prepared by Eurostat following a mandate from ECOFIN as the basis for calculating projections of public expenditure related to population ageing in the EU. Brief description The convergence scenario of the EUR0P0P2008 population projection (EUROpean POpulation Projections, base year 2008) contains the following statistical information on population projections: ■ projected number of population on 1 January by sex and age, ■ projected life events (births and deaths) and ■ assumptions about total fertility rate, life expectancy at birth by sex, and international migration. Data are valid for 27 EU Member States, Norway and Switzerland. EUROPOP2008 population projection is not a forecast The EUR0P0P2008 population projection offers an insight into the possible future population development in individual countries, taking into account socio-economic and cultural differences among EU Member States, which according to assumptions will gradually disappear. Methodology for preparing projections The methodology has been developed based on the assumption that the socio-economic and cultural differences between the Member States of the European Union, Norway and Switzerland will fade out in the very long run (for example, in the next century). The methodology consists essentially of setting the values of the demographic indicators for the convergence year (e.g. 2150), i.e. the year in which the theoretical convergence would be achieved, and of appropriate interpolation from the starting value for each country POPULATION PROJECTIONS AND EUROPOP2008 and each demographic component (fertility, mortality, migration). The national values for the target year (2060) are thus derived. At the end of March 2008, Eurostat prepared for EU Member States, Norway and Switzerland the population projection for 2008-2060 according to the so-called convergence scenario. The convergence year, i.e. the year in which (theoretically) the greatest similarity of development of a selected indicator would be achieved, is 2150. EUR0P0P2008 population projection, convergence scenario, was prepared by Eurostat following a mandate from ECOFIN as the basis for calculating projections of public expenditure related to population ageing in the EU. EUR0P0P2008 offers an insight into the possible future population development in individual countries, taking into account socio-economic and cultural differences among EU Member States, which according to assumptions will - in the long run - disappear: thus in the meantime differences between the values of selected demographic indicators will still be evident. The methodology consists essentially of setting the values of the demographic indicators for the convergence year (e.g. 2150), i.e. the year in which the theoretical convergence would be achieved, and of appropriately interpolating from the starting value for each country and each demographic component (fertility, mortality, migration). The national values for the target year (2060) are thus derived. Chart 2: Example of impact of different convergence years Source: Eurostat Definitions of concepts used ■ Convergence year is the year in which (theoretically) the greatest similarity of the development of a selected indicator will probably be achieved. In this case it is 2150. ■ Convergence values are assumed values of indicators taken into account in convergence years. ■ Starting year is the year in which extrapolation towards the convergence year starts. In this case it is 2008. ■ Starting values are values at which the extrapolation towards the convergence values starts. ■ Target year is the intermediate year taken into account as the final year of a projection. In this case it is 2060. ■ Target values are values obtained by interpolation between the starting and target values in the target year. POPULATION PROJECTIONS AND EUROPOP2008 In addition to the variant that takes into account future development of fertility, mortality and migration, another variant was produced according to natural increase, in which migrations are not taken into account (EUROPOP2008 projection variant »without migration«, see next chapter). For fertility and mortality the following values of assumptions were taken into account for individual EU-27 Member States: total fertility, life expectancy for men and women, and migration. Table 2: Total fertility rate, life expectancy at birth and migration, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 Country Total Life expectancy at birth Migration11 fertility (years) rate men women % EU-27 1.68 84.5 89.0 11.5 AT 1.57 84.9 89.2 16.4 BE 1.79 84.4 88.9 13.5 BG 1.55 81.6 86.5 0.8 CY 1.60 85.2 88.7 30.0 CZ 1.52 83.2 87.8 13.0 DE 1.53 84.9 89.1 11.4 DK 1.85 84.3 88.4 6.5 EE 1.66 80.8 87.5 -0.1 ES 1.56 84.9 89.6 22.2 FI 1.84 84.3 89.3 6.1 FX 1.93 85.1 90.1 6.0 GR 1.57 84.8 88.7 16.6 HU 1.53 81.9 87.3 11.4 IE 1.88 85.2 89.2 12.7 IT 1.55 85.5 90.0 19.9 LT 1.54 80.4 86.9 -0.2 LU 1.72 84.5 88.5 25.4 LV 1.54 80.5 86.8 -0.3 MT 1.55 84.3 88.6 12.3 NL 1.77 84.9 88.9 3.0 PL 1.49 82.5 88.0 1.7 PT 1.54 84.1 88.8 20.5 RO 1.52 81.9 86.6 2.1 SE 1.85 85.4 89.3 11.0 SI 1.52 83.7 88.8 10.7 SK 1.47 82.0 87.4 5.6 UK 1.84 85.0 88.9 10.1 CH 1.59 85.8 89.9 19.1 NO 1.88 85.2 89.2 11.4 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Source: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_OFFPUB/KS-SF-08-072/EN/KS-SF-08-072-EN.PDF (13. 5. 2009). Ageing characterises the demographic perspectives of the European societies, Eurostat, Statistics in focus. Author: Konstantinos GIANNAKOURIS, 72/2008 Total net migration in the reference period 2008-2060 as a share of the total population on 1 January 2061 (%). ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060 Assumptions about future fertility, life expectancy at birth and annual net migration in Slovenia by various variants of population projections Projection variants The newest Eurostat variant of population projections EUR0P0P2008 was named the baseline variant, while SORS also prepared the high and low variants of these projections for Slovenia. The baseline variant of population projections assumes gradual rise of the total fertility rate in the 2008-2060 period from 1.32 to 1.52, a gradual increase in life expectancy from 74.4 to 83.7 years for men and from 81.9 to 88.8 years for women, and a gradual decrease in net migration from 2,909 to 1,133 for men and from 2,954 to 1,121 for women. Taking these assumptions into account, by 2060 the population of Slovenia should decrease by slightly less than a quarter of a million. The age structure is also expected to change significantly. The share of people aged 65+ should double (from 16.1% in 2008 to 33.4% in 2060), while the share of people aged 15-64 should decrease substantially. According to the baseline variant the "old age dependency ratio" should rise by more than 2.7-times (from 25.0 in 2008 to 68.2 in 2060). So taking into account the mentioned assumptions about fertility, mortality and migration, there should be a slightly higher population ageing than anticipated by the baseline variant (by 2060 the value of the old age dependency ratio is supposed to increase to 64.4) in which the old age dependency ratio should increase to 60.3. According to the baseline variant of EUR0P0P2008 the number of population in Slovenia should continue to increase by 2019 when it should start to decline. Thus from the present number of 2.02 million, by 2019 the population is expected to increase to almost 2.06 million and then slowly but steadily decline to 1.76 million in 2060. Such development will be the result of constant increase in life expectancy at birth, a modest increase in fertility and a relatively modest net migration. According to the high variant (which assumes that the total fertility rate will increase from 1.32 in 2008 to 1.90 in 2060, that life expectancy at birth will increase from 74.7 to 87.4 for men and from 81.9 to 91.9 for women and that annual net migration will only slightly decline from 5,863 to 5,330) there should be 625,000 more people in 2060 than according to the baseline variant and especially in the beginning of the projection the age structure should change less than according to the baseline variant. According to the low variant (which assumes that the total fertility rate will decrease from 1.32 in 2008 to 1.3 in 2060, that life expectancy at birth will increase from 74.7 to 80.1 for men and from 81.9 to 85.7 for women and that annual net migration will decline from 5,863 to 800) there should be 321,000 less people in 2060 than according to the baseline variant. EUR0P0P2008 projection variant »without migration«, which Eurostat prepared together with the baseline variant taking into account the same assumptions about fertility and mortality as in the baseline variant, actually shows the impact of migration on projection results: how much the process of population decline and ageing will be offset by net migration. The results of this projection variant show that without migration in ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060 Slovenia in the future decades in 2060 the number of population in Slovenia would be 280,000 lower and the old age dependency ratio would be even higher (80.6 instead of 68.2). The impact of migration is both direct (the number of immigrants and emigrants) and indirect (the number of children born to people who immigrated to Slovenia). However, it needs to be mentioned that the "positive" impact of immigration of population ageing is gradually declining because the immigrants (who are usually young when they immigrate) are also gradually getting older. FERTILITY Chart 3: Total fertility rate, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 average number of children per woman in reproductive age 1.8 1.6- 1.4-- 1.2-. 1 EU-27 = 1.68 FX IE DK SE Fl UK BE NL LU EE CY GR AT ES BG IT MT LV LT PT DE HU CZ RO SI PL SK NO CH countries Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2QQ8, convergence scenario ■ Slovenia is one of the countries with the lowest fertility rates in Europe. European comparisons show that the demographic situation is not favourable in most other countries, nevertheless in most EU-27 Member States total fertility rates are higher than in Slovenia. ■ As regards fertility, there are great differences among EU Member States. Low fertility is characteristic of all countries that became Member States in 2004 and 2006. In these countries total fertility rates ranged between 1.24 in Slovakia and 1.47 in Cyprus. The highest total fertility rates are characteristic of countries in northern and western Europe, where the values ranged between 1.6 and 2.0. The highest rates in 2006 were recorded in France (2.0) and Ireland (1.90), and the lowest in Slovakia (1.24), Poland (1.27), and Slovenia, Lithuania and Romania (in each 1.31). ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060, Fertility Chart 4: Total fertility rate, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia and EU-27, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) average number of children per woman in reproductive age 2- 1.5 0.5. 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 projection years I I Slovenia □ EU-27 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario ■ Analyses of demographic trends in Slovenia in the past fifty years show that the so-called "demographic bottom" was reached in 2003. After 2003, and especially in 2007, the data on demographic trends in Slovenia were slightly more favourable, even though it is difficult to say that they forecast a more favourable population development in the future. In 2007, 19,823 children were born, which is the highest number in the past 15 years. ■ After an intensive drop in fertility since the early 1980s, in the 1990s Slovenia was faced with very low fertility. Thirty years ago slightly fewer than 30,000 children were born each year, while in the beginning of the 21st century the number of live births was almost halved. The lowest number was recorded in 2003 when only 17,321 children were born and the total fertility rate was 1.20. For natural replacement of Slovenia's population the total fertility rate should be 2.1 per woman. So Slovenia, as most other European countries, is faced with fertility below the replacement level. The total fertility rate, i.e. the average number of live-born children per woman in her reproductive age (at the present mortality rate and on the assumption that a woman will reach 49 years of age), for 2007 was 1.38. ■ The analysis of the total fertility rate for Slovenia for the past 50 years shows that the population of Slovenia has been under the replacement level fertility since 1981. ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060, Fertility Chart 5: Mean age of mother at chidbirth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia and EU-27, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) age of mother (years) 30-, 29.8- 9.6-- 29.4. 29.2- 29. 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 projection years | | Slovenia □ EU-27 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario ■ In Slovenia first-time mothers are on average more than 28 years old. The reason for the rising age is postponing births to later ages, which has not stopped by 2007. The mean age of mothers at first childbirth and at the birth of any child increased again by 0.2 of a year. In 2007, mothers were on average 29.9 years old while first-time mothers were on average 28.2 years old. Until now this has been the highest mean age of first-time mothers after World War II. In the last 30 years the mean age of first-time mothers increased by 5.3 years. In the 1960s mothers aged 28 on average gave birth to their second child. ■ In the mid-1970s first-time mothers were on average less than 23 years old. Then their mean age started to rise because many women postponed births to later ages as a result of longer schooling and the higher employment rate of women. ■ In 2007, the most fertile group of women were those aged 28, 29 and 30 years, as 1,000 women of that age gave birth on average to 119 children. In 2006, most children were also born by women of that age, but the values were lower. For example, fifteen years ago most women who gave birth were 23 years old. ■ Compared to 2006, the fertility rate of women aged 34 increased the most. A third of women (3,108) who became first-time mothers in 2007 were over 30 years old. ■ In the mid-1950 more than a third of all children were firstborn and almost a fifth of mothers gave birth to four or more children. From the mid-1970s on the ratio by order of birth has been about the same: a half of firstborns, over a third of secondborns, a tenth of thirdborns and about 3% of fourthborns or more. ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060, Fertility Chart 6: Mean age of mother at chidbirth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia and EU-27, 2008-2060 age of mother (years) projection years — Slovenia — EU-27 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Chart 7: Mean age of mother at chidbirth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2008 and 2060 age of mother (years) 32-, 30- 28. 26- 24- 22. BG RO LT LV SK PL EE MT HU BE CZ UK AT FT SI DE FX CY GR LU Fl DK SE NL IE IT ES NO CH I I 2008 n 2060 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060 MORTALITY Chart 8: Life expectancy at birth by sex, Slovenia, 1960-1961 and 1986-1987 to 2006-2007 age (years) 90-, 80. 70 60 50 □ n period Source: SORS ■ A decrease in mortality and an increase in life expectancy are characteristic of Slovenia. ■ Compared to 2006, when it was the lowest after 1979, in 2007 the number of deaths in Slovenia returned to the level before 2006. In 2007, 18,584 people died (9,473 men and 9,111 women), or is 2.2% (404 people) more than in 2006. The crude death rate was 9.2 per 1,000 population or 0.1 higher than in 2006. ■ The mean age at death for men in 2007 was 0.6 year higher and for women 0.1 year higher than the mean ages at death for men and women in 2006. In 2007 the mean age of men at death (69.1 years) was on average 9.1 years lower than the mean age of women at death (78.2 years). In the last three decades the mean age of men at death rose by a little bit more than 6 years (6.3) and of women by almost 8 years (7.8). ■ Life expectancy at birth is the average number of years a newborn infant would be expected to live if mortality by age remained the same throughout his life. Life expectancy at birth is calculated from life tables. ■ In Slovenia life expectancy at birth is getting longer; compared to 2005-2006, life expectancy for men rose by 0.2 year and for women by 0.4 year. In the last three decades, life expectancy rose by 8.2 years for men and by 7.7 years for women. A boy born in 2006-2007 can expect to live 75.0 years and a girl 82.3 years. Since the early 1960s life expectancy has increased by 8.9 years for boys and by 10.3 years for girls. ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060, Mortality Chart 9: Life expectancy at birth by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 age (years) 95-, 90. 85. 80- 75. 70. LT LV EE BG HU RO SK PL CZ SI PT DK MT Fl BE LU GR DE ES NL AT UK FX IE CY SE IT NO CH countries ^ men | | women -EU-27 men = 84.5 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario EU-27 women = 89.0 ■ Life expectancy at birth is increasing in aH EU Member States, but with varying degrees of intensity. Life expectancy is the longest in southern (Spain, Greece, Cyprus) and northern (Sweden, Finland) countries and the shortest in eastern countries (Romania and Bulgaria) and Baltic States (Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia). According to Eurostat data, boys born in 2006 can expect to live at least 77 years in ten EU Member States and girls born in 2006 can expect to live at least 82 years in twelve EU Member States. In seven EU Member States life expectancy for men is less than 70 years and in nine EU Member States life expectancy for women is less than 80 years. ■ As regards EU Member States, in 2006 life expectancy was the longest for men in Sweden and Cyprus (78.8 years) and for women in Spain and France (84.4 years), and the shortest for men in Lithuania (65.3 years) and Latvia (65.4 years) and for women in Romania (76.2 years), and Bulgaria and Latvia (in each by76.3 years). ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060, Mortality Chart 10: Differences between male and female life expectancy at birth, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2060 years 7- EU-27 CY SE GR UK LU NL IE DK DE MT AT BE IT CZ RO ES PT BG Fl FX SI HU SK PL LV LT EE NO CH countries Source: Eurostat, EUR0P0P2008, convergence scenario ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060 MIGRATION Population growth in EU-27 Member States by 2035 will be followed by a decline Actual data of individual projections slightly differ due to different assumptions, but basically in recent years the story in Slovenia has always been the same: an ageing population, i.e. increasing population and the share of people over the age of 65, and in particular (according to more optimistic variants) the population above the age of 80 years, with a simultaneous decrease in the number of children and the deterioration of the ratio between the active and dependent population. According to more pessimistic or even medium assumptions, around 2030 or even earlier Slovenia will experience an accelerated decline in the total population. Table 3: »Demographic changes« in EU-27 Member States, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, 2008-2060 EU-27 495,394.0 255,417.7 305,254.1 -49,836.3 59,030.9 9,194.6 504,588.6 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario ■ In EU the number of births will exceed the number of deaths from 2015 on. According to the EUROPOP2008 population projection, EU's population will increase by 2035 and then it will start to decline. ■ Results show that in 2060 the population will shrink compared to 2008 in 14 EU Member States, including Slovenia. Chart 11: Changes in population shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, baseline variant, 2008-2060, (2008=100) estimated population 1 Jan.2008 Number (in 000) cumulative cumulative natural net births deaths change migration 2008-2060 total projected change population 1 Jan. 2060 SI 2,022.6 829.9 1,277.7 -447.8 193.2 -254.5 1,768.1 % 80-, 60 40 20 0 -20-- -40 J BG LV LT R0 PL SK EE DE HU SI CL MT GR IT NL Fl FT DK AT ES BE FX SE CH UK NO LU IE CY EU-27 countries Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2QQ8, convergence scenario ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT POPULATION DEVELOPMENT IN SLOVENIA BY 2060, Migration Chart 12: Population growth due to migration, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2008-2060 % 30-, 252015105. migration EU-27 nnn -5-I LV LT EE BG PL RO NL SK FX Fl DK UK SI SE DE HU MT IE CZ BE AT GR IT PT ES LU CY NO CH countries Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario ■ Migration will thus be the factor that determines the value of total population growth for an individual country. ■ Population ageing is and will continue to be a characteristic of all EU-27 Member States, even though its dynamics and extent will vary among countries. ■ Different speed of population ageing in the EU-27 is also shown by the values of the old age dependency ratio. Since the "age dependency ratio" shows the number of dependent population per 100 working age population in a given population, it is essential for illustrating the future demographic pressures of "dependent" population groups on the group of working age population. Age dependent people are children (aged up to 15 years) and the elderly (aged 65+). If both groups of dependent people are added, divided by the number of people aged 15-64 and multiplied by 100, the result is "total age dependency ratio". However, if we want to express the dependency for each group, in the first case we get the "young age dependency ratio" and in the second case the "old age dependency ratio". DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060 All variants point at distinct population ageing in Slovenia Usually, the most important and especially in the economic analysis used variant of population projections is the baseline variant for which the authors of projections think that it is the most likely to be realized in the future. High and low variants of projections typically represent the lower and upper limits of likely future developments or changes in the number of people in a selected area. Sometimes the authors of the projections prepare the so-called "constant" variant and the zero migration variant or the variant according to natural increase. Such a variant was produced by Eurostat for all EU-27 Member States plus Norway and Switzerland within the mentioned EUROPOP2008 population projection and published in its database. Although the population of Slovenia at the variation of individual assumptions, particularly in some age groups, is significantly different, all the results point to distinct population ageing in Slovenia. It is obvious that today more than ever demographic changes, which have its origin in the development in the 19th and 20th centuries and still continue strong in the 21st century, are radically changing the world and the population, economic and social situation. The decline in fertility, enhanced by increasing life expectancy, led, and still leads, to unparalleled changes in the structure of all societies: an important historic turning point in the ratio of the shares of young and old population. Deep, pervasive and enduring consequences of population ageing, however, offer both great opportunities and new challenges for the society in Slovenia. The size, age-sex structure and regional distribution of our population in the forthcoming decades depend on the future levels of fertility, mortality and migration. All factors affecting the number and structure of the population are interdependent and at the same time strongly influenced by social and economic factors. The population of Slovenia was - and still is - growing very slowly. The average annual growth rate of the population of Slovenia in the 1961-1971 period was 5.4, in the 1971-1981 period it was 9.0, in the 1981-1991 period 4.0 and between the 1991 and 2002 population censuses only 2.4. Such population development is also the result of the lower natural increase and net migration. Demographic development in EU-27 Member States of course differs; nevertheless, most Member States forecast a positive turnaround in fertility for the years to come, while some Member States also forecast larger immigration. It is expected according to the EUROPOP2008 population projection that in these Member States by 2060 the number of people will be the same as it is today. (For more see the chapter Sources and literature.) Due to low fertility, longer life expectancy at birth and constant inflow of immigrants by 2060 the number of people in EU-27 Member States will be similar to what it is today; however, it will be much older, which means that the ratio between working age population (15-64 years) and people aged 65+ will no longer be 4 to 1 but only 2 to 1. According to projections, this ratio should decrease the most in the 2015-2035 period, when the so-called "baby-boom" generation will retire. DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060 Table 4: Old age dependency ratio", EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Countries 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 25.39 25.90 31.05 38.04 45.36 50.42 53.47 IE 16.31 16.67 20.23 24.63 30.60 40.40 43.57 SK 16.58 16.95 23.85 32.30 39.98 55.46 68.49 CY 17.69 18.00 22.26 27.44 30.76 37.65 44.47 PL 18.95 18.98 27.19 35.98 41.29 55.69 68.97 MT 19.79 21.19 31.25 39.14 41.71 49.77 59.07 CZ 20.59 21.83 31.07 35.71 42.71 54.81 61.40 LU 20.92 21.07 24.23 30.80 36.31 37.82 39.10 R0 21.34 21.34 25.67 30.32 40.75 54.00 65.27 NL 21.84 22.82 30.69 40.00 46.77 45.61 47.18 SI 22.97 23.91 31.21 40.83 49.40 59.40 62.19 LT 23.02 23.18 25.98 34.71 42.81 51.13 65.65 HU 23.50 24.22 30.31 34.06 40.11 50.83 57.64 DK 23.61 24.98 31.85 37.85 42.69 41.31 42.66 ES 24.15 24.43 27.42 34.32 46.39 58.69 59.07 UK 24.27 24.72 28.58 33.23 36.92 37.96 42.14 FI 24.80 25.70 36.75 43.89 45.06 46.61 49.30 BG 24.99 25.29 31.10 36.28 43.58 55.44 63.54 LV 25.02 25.17 28.08 34.57 40.72 51.18 64.45 EE 25.23 25.01 29.18 34.42 38.96 47.19 55.55 FX 25.33 25.81 32.77 39.02 43.99 44.68 45.20 AT 25.43 26.01 29.18 38.09 46.03 48.31 50.65 BE 25.80 26.09 30.60 37.58 42.27 43.87 45.84 PT 25.91 26.58 30.66 36.63 44.59 52.96 54.76 SE 26.66 27.81 33.69 37.43 40.78 41.91 46.71 GR 27.77 28.22 32.75 38.47 48.25 56.99 57.12 DE 30.29 31.17 35.28 46.23 54.73 56.43 59.08 IT 30.47 30.99 35.47 42.45 54.07 59.24 59.32 N0 22.10 22.73 28.32 34.32 40.24 41.43 43.92 CH 24.10 24.94 29.93 37.72 43.74 45.74 48.51 Source: Eurostat, EUR0P0P2008, convergence scenario 1) Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060 Chart 13: Population growth rate, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 and Slovenia, 2008-2060 growth rate 110 105 100 95 90 85 COO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOQOOOOOOOQQO 00C>rM*d-«>00O«N^tf>C0O ooooooooooooooooooooooooooo projection years 0-14 0-19 — 15-64 — 65+ Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario . 75 + 100 + DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060, Population Chart 40: Population by sex, men, broad age groups, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) % 75- 60. 45- 30- 15- 2008 2010 t 2020 2030 0-14 Q 0-19 □ 15-64 Q 65+ ^ 75+ Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario 2050 2061 projection years H ioo+ Chart 41: Population by sex, women, broad age groups, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) % 75-, 60 45 30 15 t 2008 2010 0-14 Q 0-19 □ 15-64 65+ Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario 75+ 2050 2060 projection years H 100+ DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060 AGE DEPENDENCY RATIOS (old, young, by the baseline variant] Chart 42: Old age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, 2008 and changes in the 20082060 period % 80. 60- 40- 20- LU UK DK IE CY FX BE SE NL Fl AT FT EE GR HU ES DE IT MT CZ SI BG LV RO LT SK PL NO CH countries | | 2008 □ 2008-2060 -EU-27 2008 = 25.4% EU-27 2008-2060 = 53.5% Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario ■ Population ageing usually means increase in the number and share of older people, especially very old people, with a simultaneous decrease in the number of children and deterioration in the ratio between working age population and old age dependent population (65+). According to UN forecasts such development will continue worldwide. The population of developed countries is mostly already old and in many developing countries the ratios between the number of young, of working age and of old people are rapidly changing in favour of the old. ■ According to Eurostat's EUROPOP2008 population projections, population ageing will remain intense; the number of people aged 65+ is expected to increase from 17.1% in 2008 to 30.0% in 2060 and the share of people aged 80+ from 4.4% in 2008 to 12.1% in 2060. ■ In Europe the age limit dividing the population into the younger and the older halves was 31 years in 1950 and 38 years in 2005. In 2060 it is expected to be over 48 years. Such a trend is to a large extent the result of longer life expectancy and lower fertility. ■ Demographic trends for Slovenia also show increase in the number of older people. At the end of 1995 Slovenia had 249,046 people aged 65+ and their share in total population was 12.5%. In 2008 people aged 65+ represented almost a fifth of total population and it is expected that in 2060 the share will be 35%. DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060, Age dependency ratio ■ The »age dependency ratio«, which shows the number of dependent people per 100 working age population, is of key importance for expressing the future demographic "pressure" on the economy. Age dependent people are children under 15 and people over 65 years. If both groups of dependent people are added, divided by the number of people aged 15-64 and multiplied by 100, the result is "total age dependency ratio". However, if we want to express the dependency for each group, in the first case we get the "young age dependency ratio" and in the second case the "old age dependency ratio". DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060, Age dependency ratio Chart 43: Young age dependency ratio, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, 2008 and changes in the 2008-2060 period 35- 28- 21 14- BG SI LV CZ DE ES IT GR RO PL SK EE HU LT AT PT MT CY Fl SE BE UK NL LU DK FX IE NO CH countries YADR 2008 Q YADR 2060 -EU-27 2008 = 23.3% EU-27 2060 = 25.0% Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario ■ Age dependency indicators, which are used to show the ratio between working age population and dependent people, i.e. indicating the support offered by the working age population (15-64) to the young (aged 0-14) and old (aged 65+) people. According to projections, in 2060 the number of working age population in the EU-27 should be almost 50 million smaller than in 2008, while the number of people aged 65+ is expected to increase by almost 67 million. As a result, in 2060 the value of the old age dependency ratio in the EU-27 will be more than twice the value in 2008, i.e. it will increase by 28.1 percentage points. ■ The number of working age population is expected to decrease in almost two thirds of EU-27 Member States. The old age dependency ratio in 2060 is expected to differ by almost 30 percentage points among Member States: the largest differences are expected in Poland, Slovakia and Romania. In 2008, on the other hand, the difference among the old age dependency ratios in EU-27 Member States amounted to 14 percentage points -in Slovenia the difference in 2060 should be 39 percentage points, while in 2008 it was 23 percentage points. ■ In 2008 the value of the old age dependency ratio in new EU-27 Member States was relatively low, i.e. lower than in the EU-27. Except in Cyprus, by 2060 the value of this indicator should increase in all new EU-27 Member States and be above the EU-27 level of 28.1 percentage points. In these countries the values should be the highest among all EU-27 Member States. DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060, Age dependency ratio ■ As regards the young age dependency ratio, it is expected that it will follow the old age dependency ratio. It is not likely that the values will be significantly lower since the share of working age population will also decrease. ■ The greatest increase is expected in Slovenia (4.0 percentage points), Sweden and Estonia, and the greatest fall in Slovakia (-0.7 percentage points). As a result, the age dependency ratio will increase. POPULATION (0-14 years and 65+) Chart 44: Population by broad age groups, 0-14 years and 65+, shares, Slovenia, 19892008 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 ©s jrs 0-14 , 65+ Source: SORS DEMOGRAPHIC DEVELOPMENT OF SLOVENIA BY 2060 AGEING INDEX Chart 45: Ageing index, Slovenia, 1989-2008 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 © s irs Source: SORS ■ Irrespective of the different values of assumptions regarding fertility, mortality and migration in various population variants for Slovenia, all of them point to a general direction of population ageing, which is mostly the result of the fertility in the past. ■ The number of old population in the future will to a large extent be influenced by mortality patterns. Because we expect longer life expectancy, the number of old people is expected to increase significantly. ■ The working age population (people aged 15 to 64) is expected to continue its slow growth (mostly due to immigration) and then to start to decline. ADDITIONAL TABLES AND CHARTS FOR SLOVENIA AND FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES TABLES FOR SLOVENIA Table 7: Population by age groups and ageing indicators, Slovenia, selected years (1989, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005-2008) Five-year age groups Age groups Years (years) 1989 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 TOTAL 1,996,377 1,999,945 1,990,266 1,990,094 2,003,358 2,010,377 2,025,866 2,032,362 0-4 125,137 121,552 100,392 91,279 89,467 91,011 92,950 98,266 5-9 141,617 137,618 122,329 100,596 92,375 91,226 90,828 90,252 10-14 151,485 151,902 137,751 121,531 101,379 98,842 97,303 95,536 15-19 143,945 146,304 151,773 136,732 122,479 119,569 114,568 109,078 20-24 150,919 147,412 145,423 151,770 139,164 135,712 135,638 133,901 25-29 156,118 157,061 146,987 146,284 153,401 153,171 154,193 151,449 30-34 162,075 1 59,053 1 56,284 147,242 147,392 1 50,054 153,128 154,740 35-39 166,173 166,019 1 57,009 1 55,944 148,245 145,826 146,413 146,607 40-44 131,460 145,012 161,150 156,124 156,245 1 56,963 157,833 1 56,090 45-49 123,428 117,004 136,751 158,889 155,061 154,131 154,821 155,147 50-54 116,680 117,269 109,597 133,505 155,696 1 57,864 1 57,873 156,012 55-59 116,275 113,950 110,140 105,266 129,274 135,402 140,837 146,009 60-64 99,459 103,446 105,634 103,526 100,306 100,975 102,634 105,246 65-69 78,335 81,469 93,667 96,038 96,351 96,660 98,561 100,336 70-74 38,979 42,178 70,680 81,154 85,258 85,833 85,382 85,601 75-79 50,116 46,739 33,605 57,214 67,201 69,113 70,737 71,773 80-84 29,221 30,425 31,089 23,802 42,055 43,781 45,568 47,087 85-89 11,584 12,008 15,401 16,739 14,091 16,868 19,777 22,681 90+ 3,371 3,524 4,604 6,459 7,918 7,376 6,822 6,551 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Population Table 7: Population by age groups and ageing indicators, Slovenia, selected years (1989, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005-2008) (continued) Broad age groups Age groups Years (years) 1989 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 TOTAL 1,996,377 1,999,945 1,990,266 1,990,094 2,003,358 2,010,377 2,025,866 2,032,362 0-14 418,239 411,072 360,472 313,406 283,221 281,079 281,081 284,054 1 5-64 1,366,532 1,372,530 1,380,748 1,395,282 1,407,263 1,409,667 1,417,938 1,414,279 65+ 211,606 216,343 249,046 281,406 312,874 319,631 326,847 334,029 80+ 44,176 45,957 51,094 47,000 64,064 68,025 72,167 76,319 85+ 14,955 15,532 20,005 23,198 22,009 24,244 26,599 29,232 Broad age groups (%) Age groups Years (years) 1989 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 20.9 20.6 18.1 15.7 14.1 14.0 13.9 14.0 15-64 68.5 68.6 69.4 70.1 70.2 70.1 70.0 69.6 65+ 10.6 10.8 12.5 14.1 15.6 15.9 16.1 16.4 80+ 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.4 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 85+ 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 Ageing indicators Age groups Years (years) 1989 1990 1995 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 OADR 15.5 15.8 18.0 20.2 22.2 22.7 23.1 23.6 YADR 30.6 29.9 26.1 22.5 20.1 19.9 19.8 20.1 OADR+YADR 15.8 16.1 18.3 20.4 22.4 22.9 23.2 23.8 Ageing index 50.6 52.6 69.1 89.8 110.5 113.7 116.3 117.6 Source: SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Population Table 8: Population by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060] TOTAL Variants 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 Low 2,022,644 2,026,590 2,003,903 1,914,158 1,786,388 1,633,033 1,446,602 Baseline 2,022,644 2,034,220 2,058,003 2,022,872 1,957,942 1,878,003 1,768,1 13 High 2,022,644 2,050,052 2,162,222 2,225,215 2,273,187 2,335,886 2,393,259 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Men Variants 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 Low 998,606 1,000,834 991,121 944,724 876,689 798,403 705,639 Baseline 998,606 1,004,655 1,018,887 1,001,259 966,1 13 924,908 869,929 High 998,606 1,012,571 1,072,287 1,105,864 1,129,286 1,160,451 1,188,398 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Women Variants 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 Low 1,024,038 1,025,756 1,012,782 969,434 909,699 834,630 740,963 Baseline 1,024,038 1,029,565 1,039,1 16 1,021,613 991,829 953,095 898,184 High 1,024,038 1,037,481 1,089,935 1,119,351 1,143,901 1,175,435 1,204,861 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Broad age groups Table 9: Population by broad age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups Projection years (years) 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,026,596 2,003,903 1,914,158 1,786,388 1,633,033 1,446,602 0-14 280,865 279,427 273,840 226,906 194,063 183,199 156,217 15-64 1,416,458 1,409,408 1,317,265 1,196,721 1,063,362 903,757 791,641 65+ 325,321 337,755 412,798 490,531 528,963 546,077 498,744 80+ 71,176 79,417 106,971 122,937 167,485 182,733 191,613 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups Projection years (years) 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,034,220 2,058,003 2,022,872 1,957,942 1,878,003 1,768,113 0-14 280,865 281,651 291,580 258,508 235,960 239,902 225,755 15-64 1,416,458 1,414,418 1,346,206 1,252,831 1,152,616 1,027,671 952,469 65+ 325,321 338,151 420,217 511,533 569,366 610,430 589,889 80+ 71,176 79,622 111,320 135,110 193,333 224,641 249,535 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Age groups Projection years (years) 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,050,052 2,162,222 2,225,215 2,273,187 2,335,886 2,393,259 0-14 280,865 286,294 328,133 324,745 326,549 367,986 392,749 15-64 1,416,458 1,424,875 1,405,188 1,366,044 1,333,022 1,281,556 1,289,087 65+ 325,321 338,883 428,901 534,426 613,616 686,342 711,426 80+ 71,176 79,987 116,250 148,314 221,251 272,225 320,978 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Broad age groups Table 10: Population by broad age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,000,834 991,121 944,724 876,689 798,403 705,639 0-14 144,478 143,706 140,106 116,029 99,219 93,667 79,843 15-64 727,959 724,329 674,528 611,550 541,919 458,055 400,509 65+ 126,169 132,799 176,487 217,145 235,551 246,681 225,287 80+ 18,868 21,940 35,011 44,648 64,759 70,540 77,356 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,004,655 1,018,887 1,001,259 966,113 924,908 869,929 0-14 144,478 144,576 147,662 130,802 119,482 121,638 114,547 15-64 727,959 727,207 691,219 641,726 587,658 519,672 479,865 65+ 126,169 132,872 180,006 228,731 258,973 283,598 275,517 80+ 18,868 21,904 36,328 49,580 76,955 90,876 106,659 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,012,571 1,072,287 1,105,864 1,129,286 1,160,451 1,188,398 0-14 144,478 146,385 163,174 161,764 163,380 185,012 198,221 15-64 727,959 733,198 725,000 701,938 678,942 644,631 644,771 65+ 126,169 132,988 184,113 242,162 286,964 330,808 345,406 80+ 18,868 21,813 37,507 54,691 90,395 115,351 145,238 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Broad age groups Table 11: Population by broad age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,025,756 1,012,782 969,434 909,699 834,630 740,963 0-14 136,387 135,719 133,736 110,876 94,844 89,530 76,375 15-64 688,499 685,079 642,731 585,169 521,441 445,699 391,129 65+ 199,152 204,958 236,315 273,389 293,414 299,401 273,459 80+ 52,308 57,479 71,964 78,293 102,727 112,196 114,256 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,029,565 1,039,116 1,021,613 991,829 953,095 898,184 0-14 136,387 137,075 143,918 127,706 116,478 118,264 111,208 15-64 688,499 687,21 1 654,987 611,105 564,958 507,999 472,604 65+ 199,152 205,279 240,21 1 282,802 310,393 326,832 314,372 80+ 52,308 57,718 74,992 85,530 116,378 133,765 142,876 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,037,481 1,089,935 1,119,351 1,143,901 1,175,435 1,204,861 0-14 136,387 139,912 164,959 162,978 163,169 182,973 194,526 15-64 688,499 691,674 680,188 664,1 10 654,081 636,924 644,318 65+ 199,152 205,895 244,788 292,263 326,651 355,538 366,017 80+ 52,308 58,174 78,744 93,621 130,852 156,877 175,739 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ten-year age groups Table 12: Population by ten-year age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,026,590 2,003,903 1,914,158 1,786,388 1,633,033 1,446,602 0-14 280,865 279,427 273,840 226,906 194,063 183,199 156,217 15-24 251,159 236,170 186,837 191,818 162,628 1 33,900 127,367 25-34 306,755 303,679 239,81 3 189,835 194,485 1 65,734 135,338 35-44 303,905 300,931 303,178 239,1 83 189,370 194,100 161,372 45-54 312,891 310,743 294,562 296,759 234,288 1 85,903 189,804 55-64 241,748 257,885 292,875 279,1 26 282,591 224,120 177,760 65-74 183,672 1 85,961 227,933 260,906 251,547 257,329 199,503 75-84 115,495 1 20,661 134,037 170,631 197,775 1 95,308 202,625 85+ 26,154 31,133 50,828 58,994 79,641 93,440 96,616 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,034,220 2,058,003 2,022,872 1,957,942 1,878,003 1,768,113 0-14 280,865 281,651 291,580 258,508 235,960 239,902 225,755 15-24 251,159 238,183 193,309 207,040 188,085 1 65,769 169,410 25-34 306,755 305,383 251,336 203,890 216,603 1 98,464 174,002 35-44 303,905 301,668 309,285 253,684 205,722 218,661 196,351 45-54 312,891 311,104 297,422 304,421 249,891 203,307 216,106 55-64 241,748 258,080 294,854 283,796 292,315 241,470 196,600 65-74 183,672 1 86,088 229,844 266,1 20 260,201 271,776 220,802 75-84 115,495 1 20,791 136,571 177,782 211,418 213,835 229,084 85+ 26,154 31,272 53,802 67,631 97,747 124,819 140,003 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,050,052 2,162,222 2,225,215 2,273,187 2,335,886 2,393,259 0-14 280,865 286,294 328,133 324,745 326,549 367,986 392,749 15-24 251,159 242,403 206,836 238,546 241,043 233,638 262,595 25-34 306,755 308,954 275,407 233,1 74 262,379 266,494 256,171 35-44 303,905 303,204 321,924 283,727 239,525 269,161 268,859 45-54 312,891 311,847 303,006 319,421 281,253 238,378 269,081 55-64 241,748 258,467 298,01 5 291,176 308,822 273,887 232,381 65-74 183,672 1 86,341 232,280 272,140 270,643 291,653 256,027 75-84 115,495 121,021 139,405 185,027 224,808 232,537 259,1 1 3 85+ 26,154 31,521 57,216 77,259 118,165 162,152 196,283 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ten-year age groups Table 13: Population by ten-year age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,000,834 991,121 944,724 876,689 798,403 705,639 0-14 144,478 143,706 140,106 116,029 99,219 93,667 79,843 15-24 130,584 122,183 96,020 97,953 83,028 68,342 65,023 25-34 160,680 1 58,735 123,233 96,871 98,685 84,097 68,591 35-44 156,065 155,199 158,159 122,718 96,545 98,401 81,780 45-54 160,520 158,813 150,820 153,793 119,544 94,402 95,813 55-64 120,110 1 29,399 146,296 140,215 144,117 112,813 89,302 65-74 81,335 83,566 108,868 124,559 121,555 1 26,909 97,251 75-84 38,778 42,058 53,515 73,776 85,899 86,793 92,805 85+ 6,056 7,175 14,104 18,810 28,097 32,979 35,231 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,004,655 1,018,887 1,001,259 966,113 924,908 869,929 0-14 144,478 144,576 147,662 130,802 119,482 121,638 114,547 15-24 130,584 123,019 99,133 104,510 94,929 83,699 85,696 25-34 160,680 1 59,622 128,274 103,224 108,203 99,237 86,905 35-44 156,065 1 55,790 162,107 129,989 104,709 1 09,799 98,557 45-54 160,520 159,175 153,472 159,444 128,198 1 03,858 108,666 55-64 120,110 1 29,601 148,233 144,559 151,619 1 23,079 100,041 65-74 81,335 83,656 110,391 128,801 128,655 1 37,671 110,156 75-84 38,778 42,078 54,811 78,145 94,661 99,209 110,262 85+ 6,056 7,138 14,804 21,785 35,657 46,718 55,099 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,012,571 1,072,287 1,105,864 1,129,286 1,160,451 1,188,398 0-14 144,478 146,385 163,174 161,764 163,380 185,012 198,221 15-24 130,584 1 24,769 105,624 118,034 119,651 116,434 131,621 25-34 160,680 161,472 138,772 116,398 127,779 1 30,609 125,816 35-44 156,065 1 57,020 170,256 144,957 121,456 1 33,020 133,156 45-54 160,520 1 59,926 158,735 170,526 145,368 1 22,663 134,140 55-64 120,110 130,011 151,613 152,023 164,688 141,905 120,038 65-74 81,335 83,836 112,542 134,463 138,510 1 53,371 131,018 75-84 38,778 42,099 56,208 82,848 104,253 113,520 131,635 85+ 6,056 7,053 15,363 24,851 44,201 63,917 82,753 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ten-year age groups Table 14: Population by ten-year age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,025,756 1,012,782 969,434 909,699 834,630 740,963 0-14 136,387 135,719 133,736 110,876 94,844 89,530 76,375 15-24 120,575 113,985 90,814 93,862 79,599 65,561 62,344 25-34 146,075 144,946 116,577 92,961 95,798 81,636 66,746 35-44 147,840 145,732 145,018 116,464 92,825 95,699 79,592 45-54 152,371 151,929 143,741 142,968 114,744 91,496 93,990 55-64 121,638 1 28,487 146,581 138,914 138,475 111,307 88,457 65-74 102,337 1 02,396 119,066 136,345 129,993 1 30,422 102,255 75-84 76,717 78,601 80,521 96,857 111,878 108,515 109,818 85+ 20,098 23,961 36,728 40,187 51,543 60,464 61,386 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,029,565 1,039,116 1,021,613 991,829 953,095 898,184 0-14 136,387 137,075 143,918 127,706 116,478 118,264 111,208 15-24 120,575 115,164 94,176 102,530 93,156 82,070 83,714 25-34 146,075 145,761 123,062 100,666 108,400 99,227 87,097 35-44 147,840 145,878 147,178 123,695 101,013 1 08,862 97,794 45-54 152,371 151,929 143,950 144,977 121,693 99,449 107,440 55-64 121,638 1 28,479 146,621 139,237 140,696 118,391 96,559 65-74 102,337 1 02,432 119,453 137,319 131,546 134,105 110,646 75-84 76,717 78,713 81,760 99,637 116,757 114,626 118,822 85+ 20,098 24,134 38,998 45,846 62,090 78,101 84,904 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,037,481 1,089,935 1,119,351 1,143,901 1,175,435 1,204,861 0-14 136,387 139,912 164,959 162,978 163,169 1 82,973 194,526 15-24 120,575 117,635 101,214 120,516 121,393 117,205 130,973 25-34 146,075 147,480 136,631 116,776 134,602 1 35,880 130,355 35-44 147,840 146,182 151,669 138,769 118,070 136,143 135,705 45-54 152,371 151,919 144,271 148,897 135,883 115,713 134,942 55-64 121,638 1 28,458 146,403 139,152 144,133 131,983 112,343 65-74 102,337 1 02,505 119,736 137,679 132,135 1 38,283 125,009 75-84 76,717 78,923 83,198 102,179 120,555 119,017 127,480 85+ 20,098 24,467 41,854 52,405 73,961 98,238 113,528 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 15: Population by five-year age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,026,590 2,003,903 1,914,158 1,786,388 1,633,033 1,446,602 0-4 92,228 95,088 84,145 66,435 62,564 57,343 46,802 5-9 90,709 90,339 93,247 75,090 63,871 62,057 51,920 10-14 97,928 94,000 96,448 85,381 67,628 63,799 57,495 15-19 115,592 106,135 91,135 93,945 75,810 64,671 62,207 20-24 135,567 130,035 95,702 97,873 86,818 69,229 65,160 25-29 154,302 147,951 108,408 93,016 95,696 77,814 66,239 30-34 152,453 155,728 131,405 96,819 98,789 87,920 69,099 35-39 146,253 146,931 148,252 108,606 93,141 95,860 76,010 40-44 157,652 154,000 154,926 130,577 96,229 98,240 85,362 45-49 154,681 155,153 144,830 145,991 107,022 91,899 93,188 50-54 158,210 1 55,590 149,732 150,768 127,266 94,004 96,616 55-59 139,518 148,751 148,042 138,689 140,287 103,263 88,989 60-64 102,230 109,134 144,833 140,437 142,304 120,857 88,771 65-69 98,265 100,103 134,168 135,037 127,681 130,242 93,833 70-74 85,407 85,858 93,765 125,869 123,866 127,087 105,670 75-79 70,473 72,377 77,894 106,688 109,931 106,015 107,628 80-84 45,022 48,284 56,143 63,943 87,844 89,293 94,997 85-89 19,143 24,221 34,390 38,598 55,184 59,375 60,725 90-94 5,301 4,947 13,319 15,893 19,388 26,899 27,908 95-99 1,555 1,782 2,905 4,009 4,533 6,553 7,243 100+ 155 183 214 494 536 613 740 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 15: Population by five-year age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (continued) Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,034,220 2,058,003 2,022,872 1,957,942 1,878,003 1,768,113 0-4 92,228 96,444 91,465 77,207 77,453 77,487 70,162 5-9 90,709 90,965 99,583 86,179 77,829 81,404 75,432 10-14 97,928 94,242 100,532 95,122 80,678 81,011 80,161 15-19 115,592 106,820 93,566 101,860 88,416 80,233 83,541 20-24 135,567 131,363 99,743 105,180 99,669 85,536 85,869 25-29 154,302 148,985 114,425 99,823 107,689 94,725 85,978 30-34 152,453 156,398 136,911 104,067 108,914 103,739 88,024 35-39 146,253 147,371 151,960 116,484 101,442 109,434 94,248 40-44 157,652 154,297 157,325 137,200 104,280 109,227 102,103 45-49 154,681 155,364 146,467 1 50,509 115,429 100,757 107,570 50-54 158,210 155,740 150,955 153,912 134,462 102,550 108,536 55-59 139,518 148,860 149,063 141,116 145,647 112,308 98,578 60-64 102,230 109,220 145,791 142,680 146,668 129,162 98,022 65-69 98,265 100,168 135,149 137,397 131,689 137,452 104,061 70-74 85,407 85,920 94,695 128,723 128,512 134,324 116,741 75-79 70,473 72,441 79,053 110,303 115,832 114,013 119,552 80-84 45,022 48,350 57,518 67,479 95,586 99,822 109,532 85-89 19,143 24,290 35,875 42,517 64,005 72,082 77,149 90-94 5,301 5,008 14,364 18,904 25,238 38,432 43,418 95-99 1,555 1,790 3,300 5,401 7,279 12,395 16,139 100+ 155 184 263 809 1,225 1,910 3,297 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2QQ8, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 15: Population by five-year age groups and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (continued) High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,050,052 2,162,222 2,225,215 2,273,187 2,335,886 2,393,259 0-4 92,228 99,261 106,507 100,123 110,304 124,371 128,300 5-9 90,709 92,280 112,569 109,397 107,891 124,889 131,751 10-14 97,928 94,753 109,057 115,225 108,354 118,726 132,698 15-19 115,592 108,256 98,648 118,129 114,799 113,637 131,496 20-24 135,567 134,147 108,188 120,417 126,244 120,001 131,099 25-29 154,302 151,155 127,004 114,013 132,433 130,061 128,209 30-34 152,453 157,799 148,403 119,161 129,946 136,433 127,962 35-39 146,253 148,284 159,671 132,864 118,647 137,330 132,307 40-44 157,652 154,920 162,253 150,863 120,878 131,831 136,552 45-49 154,681 155,797 149,741 159,583 132,588 118,769 136,725 50-54 158,210 156,050 153,265 159,838 148,665 119,609 132,356 55-59 139,518 149,083 150,797 145,241 155,347 129,852 117,166 60-64 102,230 109,384 147,218 145,935 153,475 144,035 115,215 65-69 98,265 100,303 136,442 140,314 136,981 148,402 122,107 70-74 85,407 86,038 95,838 131,826 133,662 143,251 133,920 75-79 70,473 72,555 80,371 113,972 121,722 122,464 134,418 80-84 45,022 48,466 59,034 71,055 103,086 110,073 124,695 85-89 19,143 24,408 37,510 46,574 72,865 84,759 93,869 90-94 5,301 5,122 15,582 22,255 31,766 51,549 61,431 95-99 1,555 1,806 3,795 7,144 11,001 20,909 30,083 100+ 155 185 329 1,286 2,533 4,935 10,900 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 16: Population by five-year age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,000,834 991,121 944,724 876,689 798,403 705,639 0-4 47,327 48,774 43,102 34,016 32,041 29,362 23,955 5-9 46,875 46,416 47,638 38,351 32,609 31,689 26,499 10-14 50,276 48,516 49,366 43,662 34,569 32,616 29,389 15-19 59,701 54,423 46,860 48,054 38,786 33,083 31,829 20-24 70,883 67,760 49,160 49,899 44,242 35,259 33,194 25-29 81,024 77,235 55,118 47,406 48,568 39,496 33,589 30-34 79,656 81,500 68,115 49,465 50,117 44,601 35,002 35-39 75,758 76,693 77,246 55,151 47,420 48,606 38,526 40-44 80,307 78,506 80,913 67,567 49,125 49,795 43,254 45-49 79,204 79,260 75,237 75,718 54,161 46,670 47,119 50-54 81,316 79,553 75,583 78,075 65,383 47,732 48,694 55-59 70,862 75,948 74,321 71,022 71,869 51,745 44,820 60-64 49,248 53,451 71,975 69,193 72,248 61,068 44,482 65-69 45,317 46,415 65,729 65,387 63,440 65,003 46,041 70-74 36,018 37,151 43,139 59,172 58,115 61,906 51,210 75-79 25,966 27,293 32,608 47,938 49,237 49,232 50,680 80-84 12,812 14,765 20,907 25,838 36,662 37,561 42,125 85-89 4,630 5,816 10,535 13,381 20,886 22,527 24,169 90-94 1,124 1,022 3,089 4,541 6,078 8,685 9,144 95-99 277 310 456 825 1,051 1,665 1,797 100+ 25 27 24 63 82 102 121 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 16: Population by five-year age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (continued) Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,004,655 1,018,887 1,001,259 966,113 924,908 869,929 0-4 47,327 49,211 46,453 39,206 39,386 39,431 35,719 5-9 46,875 46,684 50,206 43,481 39,280 41,162 38,170 10-14 50,276 48,681 51,003 48,115 40,816 41,045 40,658 15-19 59,701 54,744 48,139 51,553 44,828 40,698 42,445 20-24 70,883 68,275 50,994 52,957 50,101 43,001 43,251 25-29 81,024 77,715 57,642 50,428 53,713 47,347 42,949 30-34 79,656 81,907 70,632 52,796 54,490 51,890 43,956 35-39 75,758 77,022 79,411 58,898 51,455 54,813 47,241 40-44 80,307 78,768 82,696 71,091 53,254 54,986 51,316 45-49 79,204 79,466 76,688 78,761 58,590 51,377 54,073 50-54 81,316 79,709 76,784 80,683 69,608 52,481 54,593 55-59 70,862 76,065 75,346 73,277 75,742 56,846 50,146 60-64 49,248 53,536 72,887 71,282 75,877 66,233 49,895 65-69 45,317 46,470 66,567 67,435 66,875 70,229 52,055 70-74 36,018 37,186 43,824 61,366 61,780 67,442 58,101 75-79 25,966 27,312 33,287 50,350 53,363 55,051 58,702 80-84 12,812 14,766 21,524 27,795 41,298 44,158 51,560 85-89 4,630 5,804 11,004 15,059 25,294 29,206 33,452 90-94 1,124 999 3,278 5,496 8,343 13,564 16,116 95-99 277 308 495 1,126 1,815 3,572 4,828 100+ 25 27 27 104 205 376 703 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 16: Population by five-year age groups and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (continued) High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,012,571 1,072,287 1,105,864 1,129,286 1,160,451 1,188,398 0-4 47,327 50,119 53,324 50,257 55,626 62,936 65,096 5-9 46,875 47,239 55,435 54,221 53,679 62,526 66,257 10-14 50,276 49,027 54,415 57,286 54,075 59,550 66,868 15-19 59,701 55,411 50,806 58,722 57,466 57,063 66,361 20-24 70,883 69,358 54,818 59,312 62,185 59,371 65,260 25-29 81,024 78,717 62,900 56,697 64,264 63,724 62,989 30-34 79,656 82,755 75,872 59,701 63,515 66,885 62,827 35-39 75,758 77,707 83,898 66,648 59,758 67,472 65,363 40-44 80,307 79,313 86,358 78,309 61,698 65,548 67,793 45-49 79,204 79,891 79,616 84,849 67,529 60,832 67,990 50-54 81,316 80,035 79,119 85,677 77,839 61,831 66,150 55-59 70,862 76,306 77,214 77,342 82,801 66,568 60,276 60-64 49,248 53,705 74,399 74,681 81,887 75,337 59,762 65-69 45,317 46,585 67,802 70,371 71,997 78,405 62,414 70-74 36,018 37,251 44,740 64,092 66,513 74,966 68,604 75-79 25,966 27,339 34,064 53,008 58,059 62,086 69,150 80-84 12,812 14,760 22,144 29,840 46,194 51,434 62,485 85-89 4,630 5,770 11,423 16,758 29,954 36,561 44,167 90-94 1,124 949 3,404 6,471 10,932 19,617 25,376 95-99 277 307 508 1,463 2,871 6,648 10,415 100+ 25 27 28 159 444 1,091 2,795 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 17: Population by five-year age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,025,756 1,012,782 969,434 909,699 834,630 740,963 0-4 44,901 46,314 41,044 32,419 30,523 27,981 22,846 5-9 43,834 43,923 45,610 36,739 31,262 30,368 25,422 10-14 47,652 45,482 47,082 41,718 33,059 31,181 28,107 15-19 55,891 51,710 44,273 45,890 37,022 31,588 30,378 20-24 64,684 62,275 46,541 47,972 42,577 33,973 31,966 25-29 73,278 70,718 53,288 45,609 47,126 38,318 32,649 30-34 72,797 74,228 63,289 47,352 48,672 43,318 34,097 35-39 70,495 70,239 71,006 53,455 45,721 47,256 37,484 40-44 77,345 75,493 74,012 63,009 47,104 48,443 42,108 45-49 75,477 75,892 69,592 70,274 52,862 45,227 46,069 50-54 76,894 76,037 74,149 72,694 61,882 46,269 47,921 55-59 68,656 72,803 73,721 67,669 68,419 51,518 44,169 60-64 52,982 55,684 72,860 71,245 70,056 59,789 44,288 65-69 52,948 53,689 68,439 69,650 64,242 65,241 47,794 70-74 49,389 48,707 50,627 66,695 65,751 65,181 54,461 75-79 44,507 45,083 45,285 58,751 60,694 56,783 56,948 80-84 32,210 33,518 35,236 38,106 51,184 51,732 52,870 85-89 14,513 18,406 23,856 25,217 34,298 36,847 36,556 90-94 4,177 3,927 10,231 11,352 13,310 18,216 18,765 95-99 1,278 1,472 2,451 3,186 3,481 4,889 5,446 100+ 130 156 190 432 454 512 619 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 17: Population by five-year age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (continued) Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,029,565 1,039,116 1,021,613 991,829 953,095 898,184 0-4 44,901 47,233 45,012 38,001 38,067 38,056 34,443 5-9 43,834 44,281 49,377 42,698 38,549 40,242 37,262 10-14 47,652 45,561 49,529 47,007 39,862 39,966 39,503 15-19 55,891 52,076 45,427 50,307 43,588 39,535 41,096 20-24 64,684 63,088 48,749 52,223 49,568 42,535 42,618 25-29 73,278 71,270 56,783 49,395 53,976 47,378 43,029 30-34 72,797 74,491 66,279 51,271 54,424 51,849 44,068 35-39 70,495 70,349 72,549 57,586 49,987 54,621 47,007 40-44 77,345 75,529 74,629 66,109 51,026 54,241 50,787 45-49 75,477 75,898 69,779 71,748 56,839 49,380 53,497 50-54 76,894 76,031 74,171 73,229 64,854 50,069 53,943 55-59 68,656 72,795 73,717 67,839 69,905 55,462 48,432 60-64 52,982 55,684 72,904 71,398 70,791 62,929 48,127 65-69 52,948 53,698 68,582 69,962 64,814 67,223 52,006 70-74 49,389 48,734 50,871 67,357 66,732 66,882 58,640 75-79 44,507 45,129 45,766 59,953 62,469 58,962 60,850 80-84 32,210 33,584 35,994 39,684 54,288 55,664 57,972 85-89 14,513 18,486 24,871 27,458 38,711 42,876 43,697 90-94 4,177 4,009 11,086 13,408 16,895 24,868 27,302 95-99 1,278 1,482 2,805 4,275 5,464 8,823 11,311 100+ 130 157 236 705 1,020 1,534 2,594 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Five-year age groups Table 17: Population by five-year age groups and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (continued) High variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,037,481 1,089,935 1,119,351 1,143,901 1,175,435 1,204,861 0-4 44,901 49,144 53,182 49,865 54,679 61,435 63,202 5-9 43,834 45,042 57,133 55,175 54,212 62,362 65,494 10-14 47,652 45,726 54,644 57,938 54,278 59,176 65,830 15-19 55,891 52,845 47,843 59,410 57,334 56,575 65,136 20-24 64,684 64,790 53,371 61,106 64,059 60,630 65,837 25-29 73,278 72,438 64,101 57,316 68,169 66,335 65,220 30-34 72,797 75,042 72,530 59,460 66,433 69,545 65,135 35-39 70,495 70,576 75,772 66,216 58,889 69,858 66,946 40-44 77,345 75,606 75,897 72,553 59,181 66,285 68,759 45-49 75,477 75,906 70,125 74,735 65,058 57,934 68,735 50-54 76,894 76,013 74,146 74,162 70,825 57,779 66,207 55-59 68,656 72,778 73,583 67,900 72,547 63,285 56,889 60-64 52,982 55,680 72,820 71,252 71,586 68,698 55,454 65-69 52,948 53,720 68,639 69,943 64,985 69,997 59,693 70-74 49,389 48,785 51,097 67,736 67,150 68,286 65,316 75-79 44,507 45,216 46,308 60,963 63,664 60,378 65,269 80-84 32,210 33,707 36,890 41,216 56,891 58,639 62,211 85-89 14,513 18,637 26,085 29,815 42,910 48,201 49,701 90-94 4,177 4,172 12,179 15,784 20,834 31,932 36,055 95-99 1,278 1,501 3,288 5,680 8,128 14,260 19,667 100+ 130 157 302 1,126 2,089 3,845 8,105 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 18: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,026,590 2,003,903 1,914,158 1,786,388 1,633,033 1,446,602 0 19,387 18,938 15,929 12,766 12,379 10,971 9,004 1 19,000 19,116 16,400 12,997 12,467 11,235 9,173 2 18,284 19,525 16,848 13,256 12,531 11,486 9,351 3 18,016 19,121 17,282 13,546 12,576 11,719 9,538 4 17,541 18,388 17,686 13,870 12,611 11,932 9,736 5 18,048 18,105 18,055 14,223 12,646 12,125 9,942 6 18,052 17,616 18,394 14,601 12,690 12,294 10,157 7 18,361 18,111 18,696 15,004 12,752 12,438 10,380 8 18,041 18,104 18,948 15,418 12,836 12,555 10,606 9 18,207 18,403 19,154 15,844 12,947 12,645 10,835 10 18,990 18,074 19,317 16,274 13,094 12,711 11,064 11 19,226 18,232 19,436 16,690 13,276 12,752 11,289 12 19,438 19,008 19,790 17,090 13,489 12,773 11,508 13 19,842 19,238 19,339 17,480 13,739 12,780 11,718 14 20,432 19,448 18,566 17,847 14,030 12,783 11,916 15 20,347 19,856 18,253 18,187 14,357 12,794 12,103 16 22,506 20,461 17,751 18,513 14,724 12,827 12,281 17 22,711 20,405 18,253 18,821 15,133 12,897 12,453 18 23,816 22,593 18,271 19,094 15,569 13,004 12,613 19 26,212 22,820 18,607 19,330 16,027 13,149 12,757 20 26,413 23,934 18,323 19,528 16,492 13,334 12,880 21 25,693 26,330 18,527 19,685 16,945 13,558 12,979 22 27,340 26,528 19,349 20,075 17,380 13,812 13,054 23 27,788 25,803 19,626 19,661 17,803 14,101 13,106 24 28,333 27,440 19,877 18,924 18,198 14,424 13,141 25 29,795 27,879 20,319 18,639 18,558 14,775 13,167 26 30,633 28,414 20,939 18,151 18,890 15,151 13,194 27 31,049 29,865 20,881 18,643 19,185 15,550 13,230 28 31,525 30,693 23,037 18,640 19,431 15,959 13,285 29 31,300 31,100 23,232 18,943 19,632 16,379 13,363 30 30,857 31,568 24,301 18,625 19,789 16,801 13,468 31 31,485 31,334 26,641 18,791 19,905 17,209 13,609 32 30,420 30,886 26,798 19,570 20,254 17,599 13,786 33 29,712 31,505 26,039 19,809 19,804 17,978 13,995 34 29,979 30,435 27,626 20,024 19,037 18,333 14,241 35 30,124 29,720 28,025 20,430 18,722 18,656 14,523 36 28,855 29,979 28,520 21,013 18,205 18,952 14,837 37 28,303 30,115 29,924 20,926 18,666 19,216 15,179 38 29,030 28,839 30,708 23,037 18,637 19,432 15,546 39 29,941 28,278 31,075 23,200 18,911 19,604 15,925 4 CD 31,508 28,993 31,495 24,228 18,569 19,734 16,316 41 32,068 29,889 31,221 26,513 18,707 19,822 16,709 42 31,799 31,439 30,731 26,631 19,452 20,140 17,089 43 30,899 31,981 31,294 25,840 19,660 19,666 17,449 44 31,378 31,698 30,185 27,365 19,841 18,878 17,799 45 31,825 30,783 29,418 27,713 20,211 18,539 18,122 46 30,936 31,243 29,615 28,150 20,750 17,995 18,411 47 30,886 31,668 29,684 29,473 20,626 18,417 18,674 48 30,974 30,765 28,365 30,180 22,660 18,357 18,901 49 30,060 30,694 27,748 30,475 22,775 18,591 19,080 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 18: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 31,525 30,756 28,370 30,810 23,730 18,218 19,214 51 32,182 29,825 29,159 30,464 25,908 18,316 19,305 52 32,241 31,249 30,580 29,911 25,963 19,006 19,353 53 30,710 31,867 31,000 30,371 25,127 19,166 19,624 54 31,552 31,893 30,623 29,212 26,538 19,298 19,120 55 30,285 30,345 29,624 28,367 26,802 19,612 18,313 56 29,551 31,141 29,940 28,465 27,144 20,080 17,945 57 28,776 29,857 30,218 28,426 28,331 19,906 17,370 58 26,094 29,104 29,233 27,060 28,913 21,810 17,732 59 24,812 28,304 29,027 26,371 29,097 21,855 17,629 60 24,254 25,642 28,936 26,850 29,306 22,697 17,804 61 19,757 24,351 27,921 27,476 28,866 24,700 17,392 62 16,382 23,777 29,106 28,700 28,236 24,665 17,431 63 20,661 19,347 29,504 28,948 28,550 23,781 18,029 64 21,176 16,017 29,366 28,463 27,346 25,014 18,115 65 21,162 20,169 27,762 27,374 26,409 25,157 18,165 66 20,002 20,631 28,299 27,499 26,370 25,358 18,384 67 20,009 20,571 26,937 27,575 26,180 26,324 18,724 68 19,027 19,392 26,069 26,496 24,761 26,703 18,457 69 18,065 19,340 25,101 26,093 23,961 26,700 20,103 70 18,120 18,328 22,542 25,762 24,196 26,677 20,003 71 17,605 17,334 21,143 24,602 24,525 26,046 20,598 72 17,087 17,308 20,394 25,350 25,368 25,241 22,212 73 16,491 16,731 16,376 25,326 25,264 25,238 21,950 74 16,104 16,157 13,310 24,829 24,513 23,885 20,907 75 15,794 15,500 16,462 23,049 23,188 22,707 21,694 76 15,227 15,043 16,477 23,029 22,872 22,327 21,494 77 14,498 14,641 16,032 21,432 22,476 21,761 21,294 8 7 12,937 13,996 14,705 20,256 21,127 20,158 21,668 79 12,017 13,197 14,218 18,922 20,268 19,062 21,478 80 11,012 11,657 13,027 16,498 19,409 18,735 20,936 81 9,921 10,699 11,856 14,895 17,923 18,402 20,269 82 9,024 9,671 11,326 13,809 17,776 18,392 19,095 83 7,997 8,590 10,410 10,603 16,950 17,542 17,773 8 7,068 7,667 9,524 8,138 15,786 16,222 16,924 85 6,340 6,659 8,567 9,480 13,780 14,464 15,147 86 4,861 5,746 7,749 8,829 12,837 13,330 13,416 7 8 4,070 5,026 6,932 7,914 11,026 12,117 12,218 88 2,415 3,748 6,031 6,614 9,534 10,430 10,869 89 1,457 3,042 5,111 5,761 8,007 9,034 9,075 90 1,254 1,749 4,033 4,702 6,240 7,691 7,627 91 963 1,020 3,259 3,760 4,929 6,232 6,540 92 1,136 845 2,565 3,110 3,960 5,339 5,497 93 1,104 625 1,975 2,438 2,598 4,301 4,630 94 844 708 1,487 1,883 1,661 3,336 3,614 95 618 653 1,080 1,402 1,593 2,367 2,684 96 388 473 761 1,036 1,194 1,757 1,861 97 275 330 540 739 844 1,175 1,297 98 173 195 321 504 544 775 867 99 101 131 203 328 358 479 534 100+ 155 183 214 494 536 613 740 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 19: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,000,834 991,121 944,724 876,689 798,403 705,639 0 9,926 9,729 8,183 6,557 6,359 5,635 4,624 1 9,801 9,802 8,409 6,662 6,392 5,759 4,701 2 9,406 9,964 8,627 6,784 6,415 5,879 4,784 3 9,095 9,838 8,841 6,926 6,431 5,992 4,874 4 9,099 9,441 9,042 7,087 6,444 6,097 4,972 5 9,371 9,127 9,226 7,264 6,459 6,193 5,075 6 9,273 9,129 9,397 7,456 6,479 6,277 5,183 7 9,443 9,398 9,550 7,662 6,509 6,350 5,297 8 9,351 9,297 9,679 7,875 6,552 6,411 5,413 9 9,437 9,465 9,786 8,094 6,610 6,458 5,531 10 9,774 9,370 9,870 8,316 6,687 6,493 5,650 11 9,873 9,454 9,932 8,532 6,783 6,517 5,768 12 10,010 9,788 10,083 8,740 6,895 6,530 5,882 13 10,087 9,885 9,945 8,942 7,026 6,536 5,993 14 10,532 10,019 9,536 9,132 7,178 6,540 6,096 15 10,502 10,095 9,213 9,307 7,346 6,547 6,193 16 11,536 10,544 9,209 9,473 7,535 6,564 6,285 17 11,645 10,526 9,481 9,629 7,745 6,599 6,374 18 12,378 11,572 9,390 9,766 7,966 6,652 6,454 19 13,640 11,686 9,567 9,879 8,194 6,721 6,523 20 13,760 12,417 9,483 9,969 8,424 6,808 6,579 21 13,457 13,673 9,575 10,035 8,645 6,913 6,621 22 14,374 13,789 9,917 10,188 8,857 7,034 6,649 23 14,516 13,484 10,021 10,055 9,062 7,173 6,667 24 14,776 14,397 10,164 9,652 9,254 7,331 6,678 25 15,586 14,537 10,247 9,335 9,429 7,504 6,685 26 16,092 14,796 10,696 9,331 9,591 7,692 6,693 27 16,176 15,603 10,674 9,593 9,736 7,892 6,708 28 16,622 16,108 11,699 9,491 9,857 8,098 6,733 29 16,548 16,191 11,802 9,656 9,955 8,310 6,770 30 16,124 16,634 12,515 9,562 10,032 8,524 6,822 31 16,459 16,559 13,750 9,646 10,087 8,730 6,893 32 15,703 16,134 13,857 9,977 10,229 8,928 6,983 33 15,724 16,465 13,549 10,073 10,088 9,120 7,089 34 15,646 15,708 14,444 10,207 9,681 9,299 7,215 35 15,729 15,726 14,575 10,282 9,358 9,462 7,359 36 15,030 15,644 14,820 10,718 9,345 9,612 7,519 37 14,601 15,721 15,607 10,686 9,596 9,744 7,694 38 14,953 15,018 16,090 11,689 9,485 9,852 7,881 39 15,445 14,584 16,154 11,776 9,636 9,936 8,073 4 CD 15,928 14,927 16,570 12,465 9,531 9,999 8,271 41 16,374 15,408 16,470 13,664 9,599 10,038 8,469 42 16,051 15,879 16,022 13,748 9,909 10,163 8,660 43 15,808 16,312 16,315 13,419 9,987 10,007 8,840 44 16,146 15,980 15,536 14,271 10,099 9,588 9,014 45 16,370 15,727 15,514 14,367 10,152 9,252 9,173 46 15,729 16,050 15,391 14,573 10,555 9,220 9,315 47 15,748 16,259 15,422 15,302 10,499 9,445 9,443 48 15,943 15,610 14,690 15,730 11,450 9,314 9,552 49 15,414 15,614 14,220 15,746 11,505 9,439 9,636 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 19: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 16,046 15,791 14,499 16,100 12,142 9,313 9,697 51 16,612 15,250 14,905 15,950 13,267 9,355 9,735 52 16,515 15,854 15,294 15,463 13,307 9,630 9,749 53 15,852 16,389 15,638 15,685 12,948 9,678 9,845 54 16,291 16,269 15,247 14,877 13,719 9,756 9,668 55 15,615 15,591 14,927 14,791 13,760 9,775 9,238 56 14,931 15,995 15,146 14,604 13,900 10,127 8,888 57 14,787 15,306 15,249 14,558 14,531 10,036 8,828 58 13,013 14,611 14,547 13,793 14,868 10,900 9,012 59 12,516 14,445 14,452 13,276 14,810 10,907 8,854 60 11,971 12,692 14,510 13,454 15,065 11,458 8,937 61 9,472 12,188 13,911 13,742 14,845 12,459 8,781 62 7,993 11,637 14,350 14,007 14,310 12,435 8,780 63 9,807 9,192 14,716 14,223 14,429 12,036 8,994 64 10,005 7,742 14,488 13,767 13,599 12,680 8,990 65 9,938 9,474 13,765 13,375 13,427 12,639 9,010 66 9,334 9,638 13,990 13,458 13,158 12,681 8,970 67 9,276 9,542 13,252 13,425 13,009 13,158 9,226 68 8,671 8,928 12,510 12,678 12,213 13,351 9,071 69 8,098 8,833 12,212 12,451 11,633 13,174 9,764 70 8,031 8,215 10,579 12,340 11,651 13,258 9,672 71 7,714 7,628 9,993 11,656 11,742 12,907 10,046 72 7,182 7,516 9,365 11,822 11,788 12,273 10,784 73 6,782 7,169 7,244 11,894 11,765 12,184 10,608 74 6,309 6,623 5,958 11,460 11,169 11,284 10,100 75 6,108 6,203 7,095 10,629 10,617 10,924 10,446 76 5,764 5,719 7,004 10,515 10,426 10,472 10,197 77 5,433 5,483 6,708 9,666 10,121 10,100 9,994 8 7 4,585 5,119 6,051 8,825 9,272 9,222 10,099 79 4,076 4,769 5,750 8,303 8,801 8,514 9,944 80 3,539 3,973 5,114 6,902 8,397 8,232 9,484 81 2,784 3,481 4,521 6,228 7,600 7,971 9,179 82 2,523 2,974 4,218 5,544 7,344 7,645 8,543 83 2,094 2,297 3,786 4,047 6,993 7,241 7,712 8 1,872 2,040 3,268 3,117 6,328 6,472 7,207 85 1,581 1,654 2,836 3,448 5,462 5,738 6,221 86 1,162 1,442 2,400 3,130 4,978 5,199 5,550 7 8 991 1,183 2,092 2,727 4,167 4,602 4,839 88 561 843 1,755 2,211 3,422 3,793 4,185 89 335 694 1,452 1,865 2,857 3,195 3,374 90 296 378 1,059 1,451 2,075 2,662 2,702 91 215 215 801 1,105 1,609 2,066 2,220 92 220 182 581 873 1,209 1,679 1,788 93 227 125 375 652 730 1,318 1,392 94 166 122 273 460 455 960 1,042 95 104 121 180 321 401 653 716 96 82 84 125 214 283 457 474 97 44 50 80 143 187 285 310 98 32 37 44 91 112 170 191 99 15 18 27 56 68 100 106 100+ 25 27 24 63 82 102 121 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 20: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,025,756 1,012,782 969,434 909,699 834,630 740,963 0 9,461 9,209 7,746 6,209 6,020 5,336 4,380 1 9,199 9,314 7,991 6,335 6,075 5,476 4,472 2 8,878 9,560 8,221 6,471 6,116 5,607 4,567 3 8,921 9,283 8,441 6,620 6,145 5,727 4,663 4 8,442 8,948 8,645 6,784 6,167 5,835 4,764 5 8,677 8,978 8,829 6,959 6,188 5,933 4,868 6 8,779 8,488 8,997 7,145 6,211 6,017 4,974 7 8,918 8,713 9,146 7,342 6,242 6,087 5,083 8 8,690 8,806 9,269 7,543 6,284 6,144 5,193 9 8,770 8,938 9,369 7,750 6,337 6,187 5,304 10 9,216 8,704 9,447 7,957 6,407 6,217 5,414 11 9,353 8,778 9,504 8,158 6,493 6,235 5,522 12 9,428 9,219 9,707 8,350 6,594 6,243 5,626 13 9,755 9,353 9,394 8,538 6,713 6,243 5,725 14 9,900 9,428 9,030 8,715 6,852 6,243 5,820 15 9,845 9,760 9,040 8,880 7,010 6,247 5,910 16 10,970 9,917 8,542 9,040 7,189 6,263 5,996 17 11,066 9,879 8,771 9,191 7,388 6,298 6,079 18 11,438 11,021 8,881 9,328 7,603 6,352 6,159 19 12,572 11,133 9,039 9,451 7,832 6,428 6,234 20 12,653 11,517 8,840 9,559 8,068 6,527 6,301 21 12,236 12,657 8,952 9,649 8,300 6,645 6,359 22 12,966 12,739 9,432 9,886 8,524 6,779 6,404 23 13,272 12,319 9,604 9,606 8,741 6,928 6,439 24 13,557 13,043 9,713 9,272 8,944 7,094 6,463 25 14,209 13,342 10,071 9,304 9,129 7,271 6,482 26 14,541 13,618 10,243 8,820 9,298 7,459 6,500 27 14,873 14,262 10,207 9,049 9,449 7,658 6,522 28 14,903 14,586 11,337 9,149 9,574 7,861 6,552 29 14,752 14,910 11,430 9,287 9,676 8,069 6,593 30 14,733 14,933 11,786 9,062 9,758 8,277 6,646 31 15,026 14,776 12,891 9,145 9,818 8,478 6,716 32 14,717 14,752 12,941 9,594 10,024 8,671 6,803 33 13,988 15,040 12,490 9,735 9,716 8,858 6,906 34 14,333 14,727 13,181 9,816 9,356 9,034 7,026 35 14,395 13,994 13,450 10,148 9,364 9,194 7,164 36 13,825 14,335 13,700 10,296 8,860 9,341 7,318 37 13,702 14,394 14,317 10,240 9,070 9,472 7,485 38 14,077 13,821 14,618 11,348 9,152 9,581 7,665 39 14,496 13,695 14,921 11,423 9,275 9,668 7,852 4 CD 15,580 14,066 14,925 11,762 9,038 9,735 8,045 41 15,694 14,481 14,751 12,849 9,108 9,783 8,240 42 15,748 15,559 14,709 12,883 9,543 9,977 8,429 43 15,091 15,669 14,978 12,421 9,673 9,659 8,609 44 15,232 15,718 14,649 13,094 9,742 9,289 8,785 45 15,455 15,057 13,904 13,346 10,060 9,286 8,949 46 15,207 15,192 14,224 13,577 10,195 8,775 9,096 47 15,138 15,409 14,262 14,172 10,127 8,972 9,231 48 15,031 15,155 13,674 14,450 11,210 9,042 9,349 49 14,646 15,079 13,528 14,729 11,270 9,152 9,444 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 20: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 15,479 14,965 13,870 14,711 11,588 8,904 9,517 51 15,570 14,575 14,254 14,515 12,641 8,961 9,570 52 15,726 15,395 15,286 14,448 12,655 9,375 9,603 53 14,858 15,478 15,362 14,685 12,180 9,488 9,779 54 15,261 15,624 15,377 14,335 12,818 9,541 9,452 55 14,670 14,754 14,697 13,577 13,042 9,837 9,074 56 14,620 15,146 14,794 13,861 13,244 9,953 9,057 57 13,989 14,551 14,969 13,869 13,800 9,869 8,542 58 13,081 14,493 14,686 13,267 14,045 10,910 8,721 59 12,296 13,859 14,575 13,095 14,288 10,949 8,775 60 12,283 12,950 14,426 13,397 14,241 11,239 8,867 61 10,285 12,163 14,010 13,734 14,021 12,241 8,611 62 8,389 12,140 14,757 14,693 13,926 12,230 8,650 63 10,854 10,156 14,789 14,725 14,121 11,745 9,035 64 11,171 8,275 14,878 14,696 13,747 12,334 9,125 65 11,224 10,695 13,997 13,999 12,982 12,518 9,154 66 10,668 10,993 14,310 14,041 13,212 12,677 9,415 67 10,733 11,029 13,684 14,150 13,172 13,167 9,498 68 10,356 10,465 13,559 13,818 12,548 13,352 9,387 69 9,967 10,507 12,889 13,642 12,328 13,527 10,340 70 10,089 10,113 11,963 13,422 12,545 13,419 10,331 71 9,891 9,706 11,150 12,945 12,783 13,139 10,553 72 9,905 9,792 11,030 13,527 13,580 12,968 11,428 73 9,709 9,563 9,132 13,432 13,499 13,054 11,342 74 9,795 9,533 7,352 13,369 13,344 12,601 10,807 75 9,686 9,297 9,367 12,420 12,571 11,783 11,248 76 9,463 9,324 9,472 12,514 12,447 11,855 11,297 77 9,065 9,158 9,324 11,766 12,355 11,661 11,300 8 7 8,352 8,877 8,654 11,431 11,855 10,936 11,569 79 7,941 8,427 8,468 10,620 11,466 10,548 11,534 80 7,473 7,684 7,912 9,596 11,012 10,503 11,452 81 7,137 7,217 7,335 8,668 10,324 10,430 11,090 82 6,501 6,697 7,108 8,265 10,432 10,747 10,551 83 5,903 6,293 6,625 6,556 9,957 10,301 10,060 8 5,196 5,627 6,256 5,021 9,459 9,751 9,717 85 4,759 5,005 5,731 6,032 8,318 8,726 8,926 86 3,699 4,304 5,349 5,699 7,860 8,131 7,867 7 8 3,079 3,843 4,840 5,187 6,858 7,515 7,379 88 1,854 2,906 4,276 4,403 6,112 6,637 6,684 89 1,122 2,348 3,660 3,896 5,150 5,838 5,700 90 958 1,372 2,974 3,251 4,165 5,030 4,925 91 748 805 2,459 2,656 3,320 4,167 4,320 92 916 664 1,984 2,236 2,751 3,660 3,710 93 877 500 1,600 1,786 1,868 2,983 3,238 94 678 586 1,214 1,423 1,206 2,376 2,572 95 514 532 900 1,081 1,192 1,715 1,968 96 306 389 637 822 911 1,300 1,386 97 231 280 460 596 657 890 988 98 141 158 278 414 432 605 676 99 86 113 176 273 289 379 428 100+ 130 156 190 432 454 512 619 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 21: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,034,220 2,058,003 2,022,872 1,957,942 1,878,003 1,768,113 0 19,387 19,243 17,374 14,822 15,395 14,971 13,620 1 19,000 19,459 17,877 15,114 15,477 15,268 13,824 2 18,284 19,797 18,333 15,422 15,520 15,532 14,030 3 18,016 19,356 18,754 15,749 15,532 15,761 14,238 4 17,541 18,589 19,127 16,100 15,529 15,955 14,450 5 18,048 18,276 19,450 16,467 15,520 16,114 14,663 6 18,052 17,762 19,733 16,845 15,521 16,235 14,876 7 18,361 18,233 19,970 17,236 15,542 16,318 15,091 8 18,041 18,206 20,149 17,623 15,586 16,364 15,300 9 18,207 18,488 20,281 18,008 15,660 16,373 15,502 10 18,990 18,145 20,368 18,381 15,770 16,348 15,699 11 19,226 18,288 20,411 18,729 15,919 16,294 15,882 12 19,438 19,053 20,594 19,046 16,099 16,217 16,049 13 19,842 19,275 20,019 19,347 16,316 16,122 16,199 14 20,432 19,481 19,140 19,619 16,574 16,030 16,332 15 20,347 19,899 18,748 19,868 16,872 15,958 16,452 16 22,506 20,538 18,203 20,121 17,226 15,934 16,574 17 22,711 20,538 18,703 20,382 17,641 15,979 16,706 18 23,816 22,787 18,758 20,630 18,098 16,094 16,841 19 26,212 23,058 19,154 20,859 18,579 16,268 16,968 20 26,413 24,196 18,948 21,058 19,064 16,496 17,074 21 25,693 26,602 19,241 21,221 19,530 16,771 17,154 22 27,340 26,801 20,155 21,527 19,962 17,078 17,202 23 27,788 26,069 20,527 21,070 20,372 17,414 17,222 24 28,333 27,695 20,872 20,304 20,741 17,777 17,217 25 29,795 28,119 21,403 20,001 21,062 18,156 17,200 26 30,633 28,637 22,105 19,505 21,347 18,548 17,182 27 31,049 30,072 22,113 19,997 21,589 18,947 17,175 28 31,525 30,883 24,305 20,001 21,775 19,342 17,190 29 31,300 31,274 24,499 20,319 21,916 19,732 17,231 30 30,857 31,727 25,533 20,019 22,013 20,106 17,304 31 31,485 31,479 27,818 20,209 22,069 20,456 17,416 32 30,420 31,018 27,908 21,017 22,267 20,772 17,569 33 29,712 31,628 27,071 21,287 21,711 21,070 17,756 34 29,979 30,546 28,581 21,535 20,854 21,335 17,979 35 30,124 29,822 28,903 21,975 20,467 21,563 18,238 36 28,855 30,073 29,325 22,591 19,894 21,764 18,525 37 28,303 30,202 30,661 22,524 20,314 21,931 18,834 38 29,030 28,921 31,381 24,634 20,255 22,048 19,161 39 29,941 28,353 31,690 24,760 20,512 22,128 19,490 4 CD 31,508 29,062 32,059 25,725 20,162 22,170 19,821 41 32,068 29,953 31,738 27,932 20,301 22,174 20,145 42 31,799 31,497 31,206 27,961 21,057 22,324 20,446 43 30,899 32,036 31,733 27,074 21,279 21,726 20,718 44 31,378 31,749 30,589 28,508 21,481 20,833 20,973 45 31,825 30,832 29,793 28,767 21,873 20,410 21,197 46 30,936 31,288 29,964 29,120 22,437 19,800 21,387 47 30,886 31,710 30,009 30,370 22,325 20,175 21,549 48 30,974 30,804 28,669 31,010 24,359 20,079 21,678 49 30,060 30,730 28,032 31,242 24,435 20,293 21,759 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age (years) Table 21: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 31,525 30,790 28,638 31,525 25,329 19,908 21,802 51 32,182 29,856 29,413 31,130 27,439 20,007 21,808 52 32,241 31,279 30,824 30,533 27,407 20,709 21,777 53 30,710 31,895 31,234 30,960 26,477 20,886 21,887 54 31,552 31,920 30,846 29,764 27,810 21,040 21,262 55 30,285 30,369 29,838 28,893 27,994 21,382 20,351 56 29,551 31,165 30,150 28,968 28,264 21,883 19,902 57 28,776 29,878 30,423 28,912 29,395 21,725 19,266 58 26,094 29,124 29,431 27,525 29,928 23,651 19,595 59 24,812 28,324 29,221 26,818 30,066 23,667 19,464 60 24,254 25,661 29,128 27,293 30,239 24,469 19,631 61 19,757 24,368 28,108 27,919 29,762 26,439 19,214 62 16,382 23,794 29,296 29,149 29,100 26,335 19,265 63 20,661 19,365 29,698 29,403 29,401 25,363 19,897 64 21,176 16,032 29,561 28,916 28,166 26,556 20,015 65 21,162 20,183 27,952 27,824 27,214 26,644 20,105 66 20,002 20,644 28,497 27,961 27,174 26,801 20,372 67 20,009 20,584 27,132 28,052 26,990 27,760 20,772 68 19,027 19,405 26,266 26,974 25,556 28,129 20,540 69 18,065 19,352 25,302 26,586 24,755 28,118 22,272 70 18,120 18,341 22,735 26,275 25,022 28,106 22,176 71 17,605 17,346 21,338 25,122 25,395 27,475 22,794 72 17,087 17,320 20,594 25,917 26,302 26,669 24,474 73 16,491 16,744 16,555 25,936 26,255 26,717 24,196 74 16,104 16,169 13,473 25,473 25,538 25,357 23,101 75 15,794 15,512 16,668 23,702 24,240 24,205 23,957 76 15,227 15,055 16,699 23,739 23,996 23,885 23,781 77 14,498 14,653 16,268 22,157 23,676 23,389 23,629 8 7 12,937 14,010 14,945 21,006 22,356 21,794 24,130 79 12,017 13,211 14,473 19,699 21,564 20,740 24,055 80 11,012 11,670 13,286 17,245 20,784 20,534 23,614 81 9,921 10,712 12,118 15,650 19,331 20,345 23,083 82 9,024 9,684 11,604 14,585 19,327 20,528 21,999 83 7,997 8,603 10,695 11,274 18,615 19,825 20,752 8 7,068 7,681 9,815 8,725 17,529 18,590 20,084 85 6,340 6,673 8,862 10,239 15,508 16,864 18,323 86 4,861 5,760 8,049 9,629 14,667 15,852 16,636 7 8 4,070 5,040 7,235 8,729 12,818 14,738 15,551 88 2,415 3,761 6,330 7,390 11,300 13,015 14,277 89 1,457 3,056 5,399 6,530 9,712 11,613 12,362 90 1,254 1,761 4,290 5,416 7,757 10,233 10,825 91 963 1,032 3,495 4,412 6,311 8,616 9,735 92 1,136 857 2,775 3,723 5,234 7,705 8,643 93 1,104 637 2,158 2,987 3,560 6,528 7,731 94 844 721 1,646 2,366 2,376 5,350 6,484 95 618 659 1,208 1,809 2,378 4,043 5,213 96 388 474 861 1,376 1,872 3,217 3,961 97 275 331 618 1,014 1,398 2,326 3,063 98 173 195 373 717 958 1,671 2,296 99 101 131 240 485 673 1,138 1,606 100+ 155 184 263 809 1,225 1,910 3,297 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 22: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,004,655 1,018,887 1,001,259 966,113 924,908 869,929 0 9,926 9,844 8,891 7,584 7,884 7,668 6,978 1 9,801 9,902 9,104 7,696 7,891 7,788 7,054 2 9,406 10,044 9,303 7,824 7,885 7,898 7,137 3 9,095 9,912 9,492 7,969 7,871 7,996 7,227 4 9,099 9,509 9,663 8,133 7,855 8,081 7,323 5 9,371 9,191 9,814 8,310 7,840 8,153 7,423 6 9,273 9,187 9,949 8,497 7,834 8,209 7,527 7 9,443 9,451 10,065 8,694 7,841 8,249 7,634 8 9,351 9,346 10,155 8,891 7,863 8,272 7,740 9 9,437 9,509 10,223 9,089 7,902 8,279 7,846 10 9,774 9,411 10,269 9,284 7,963 8,271 7,950 11 9,873 9,490 10,293 9,466 8,045 8,249 8,049 12 10,010 9,821 10,401 9,634 8,144 8,216 8,140 13 10,087 9,914 10,237 9,794 8,263 8,175 8,223 14 10,532 10,045 9,803 9,937 8,401 8,134 8,296 15 10,502 10,121 9,459 10,064 8,556 8,099 8,360 16 11,536 10,581 9,446 10,192 8,738 8,088 8,424 17 11,645 10,589 9,725 10,321 8,950 8,110 8,493 18 12,378 11,662 9,654 10,439 9,177 8,163 8,558 19 13,640 11,791 9,855 10,537 9,407 8,238 8,610 20 13,760 12,523 9,796 10,610 9,632 8,334 8,644 21 13,457 13,777 9,914 10,659 9,841 8,450 8,662 22 14,374 13,892 10,282 10,791 10,033 8,583 8,663 23 14,516 13,585 10,415 10,651 10,215 8,733 8,651 24 14,776 14,498 10,587 10,246 10,380 8,901 8,631 25 15,586 14,637 10,701 9,928 10,524 9,081 8,608 26 16,092 14,894 11,181 9,927 10,654 9,272 8,588 27 16,176 15,700 11,188 10,195 10,765 9,468 8,577 28 16,622 16,202 12,233 10,101 10,852 9,665 8,579 29 16,548 16,282 12,339 10,277 10,918 9,861 8,597 30 16,124 16,722 13,043 10,196 10,962 10,051 8,633 31 16,459 16,643 14,266 10,294 10,986 10,229 8,691 32 15,703 16,215 14,362 10,642 11,095 10,390 8,772 33 15,724 16,544 14,039 10,756 10,935 10,542 8,871 34 15,646 15,783 14,922 10,908 10,512 10,678 8,989 35 15,729 15,797 15,038 11,002 10,176 10,795 9,126 36 15,030 15,712 15,269 11,458 10,154 10,899 9,278 37 14,601 15,787 16,040 11,444 10,400 10,985 9,441 38 14,953 15,082 16,508 12,457 10,286 11,046 9,612 39 15,445 14,644 16,556 12,537 10,439 11,088 9,784 4 CD 15,928 14,985 16,956 13,209 10,338 11,108 9,955 41 16,374 15,463 16,841 14,389 10,413 11,108 10,123 42 16,051 15,931 16,378 14,453 10,734 11,192 10,277 43 15,808 16,362 16,658 14,103 10,822 11,010 10,416 44 16,146 16,027 15,863 14,937 10,947 10,568 10,545 45 16,370 15,772 15,828 15,013 11,013 10,212 10,658 46 15,729 16,094 15,693 15,199 11,434 10,166 10,753 47 15,748 16,300 15,712 15,910 11,391 10,383 10,833 48 15,943 15,649 14,969 16,321 12,353 10,246 10,895 49 15,414 15,651 14,486 16,318 12,399 10,370 10,934 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 22: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 16,046 15,825 14,756 16,655 13,020 10,246 10,952 51 16,612 15,283 15,153 16,488 14,132 10,293 10,949 52 16,515 15,885 15,534 15,983 14,153 10,578 10,926 53 15,852 16,419 15,871 16,192 13,771 10,636 10,984 54 16,291 16,297 15,470 15,365 14,532 10,728 10,782 55 15,615 15,617 15,143 15,266 14,556 10,761 10,327 56 14,931 16,020 15,357 15,067 14,681 11,135 9,956 57 14,787 15,329 15,455 15,011 15,305 11,058 9,886 58 13,013 14,633 14,746 14,232 15,635 11,945 10,069 59 12,516 14,466 14,645 13,701 15,565 11,947 9,908 60 11,971 12,712 14,699 13,875 15,814 12,496 9,997 61 9,472 12,206 14,094 14,161 15,582 13,506 9,845 62 7,993 11,654 14,531 14,425 15,033 13,471 9,856 63 9,807 9,208 14,897 14,642 15,149 13,052 10,091 64 10,005 7,756 14,666 14,179 14,299 13,708 10,106 65 9,938 9,487 13,937 13,781 14,123 13,663 10,149 66 9,334 9,650 14,163 13,868 13,851 13,706 10,132 67 9,276 9,553 13,420 13,840 13,703 14,204 10,428 68 8,671 8,938 12,673 13,085 12,893 14,413 10,296 69 8,098 8,842 12,374 12,861 12,305 14,243 11,050 70 8,031 8,223 10,730 12,757 12,337 14,351 10,972 71 7,714 7,636 10,142 12,071 12,451 14,008 11,383 72 7,182 7,523 9,511 12,258 12,523 13,371 12,190 73 6,782 7,175 7,370 12,352 12,530 13,314 12,033 74 6,309 6,629 6,071 11,928 11,939 12,398 11,523 75 6,108 6,208 7,227 11,094 11,396 12,061 11,944 76 5,764 5,723 7,141 11,005 11,238 11,628 11,729 77 5,433 5,486 6,847 10,152 10,964 11,286 11,571 8 7 4,585 5,123 6,186 9,307 10,107 10,393 11,768 79 4,076 4,772 5,886 8,792 9,658 9,683 11,690 80 3,539 3,975 5,245 7,349 9,283 9,449 11,276 81 2,784 3,482 4,646 6,668 8,478 9,247 11,051 82 2,523 2,974 4,344 5,972 8,271 8,980 10,449 83 2,094 2,296 3,907 4,394 7,964 8,631 9,613 8 1,872 2,039 3,382 3,412 7,302 7,851 9,171 85 1,581 1,653 2,944 3,806 6,400 7,104 8,125 86 1,162 1,440 2,500 3,490 5,933 6,587 7,460 7 8 991 1,181 2,187 3,076 5,066 5,987 6,726 88 561 839 1,842 2,526 4,254 5,090 6,044 89 335 691 1,531 2,161 3,641 4,438 5,097 90 296 373 1,120 1,708 2,720 3,844 4,293 91 215 211 850 1,323 2,177 3,120 3,735 92 220 177 619 1,066 1,694 2,666 3,209 93 227 120 398 813 1,062 2,214 2,689 94 166 118 291 586 690 1,720 2,190 95 104 119 193 420 641 1,256 1,657 96 82 84 135 289 479 953 1,221 97 44 50 88 201 337 652 902 98 32 37 48 132 216 429 637 99 15 18 31 84 142 282 411 100+ 25 27 27 104 205 376 703 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 23: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,029,565 1,039,116 1,021,613 991,829 953,095 898,184 0 9,461 9,399 8,483 7,238 7,511 7,303 6,642 1 9,199 9,557 8,773 7,418 7,586 7,480 6,770 2 8,878 9,753 9,030 7,598 7,635 7,634 6,893 3 8,921 9,444 9,262 7,780 7,661 7,765 7,011 4 8,442 9,080 9,464 7,967 7,674 7,874 7,127 5 8,677 9,085 9,636 8,157 7,680 7,961 7,240 6 8,779 8,575 9,784 8,348 7,687 8,026 7,349 7 8,918 8,782 9,905 8,542 7,701 8,069 7,457 8 8,690 8,860 9,994 8,732 7,723 8,092 7,560 9 8,770 8,979 10,058 8,919 7,758 8,094 7,656 10 9,216 8,734 10,099 9,097 7,807 8,077 7,749 11 9,353 8,798 10,118 9,263 7,874 8,045 7,833 12 9,428 9,232 10,193 9,412 7,955 8,001 7,909 13 9,755 9,361 9,782 9,553 8,053 7,947 7,976 14 9,900 9,436 9,337 9,682 8,173 7,896 8,036 15 9,845 9,778 9,289 9,804 8,316 7,859 8,092 16 10,970 9,957 8,757 9,929 8,488 7,846 8,150 17 11,066 9,949 8,978 10,061 8,691 7,869 8,213 18 11,438 11,125 9,104 10,191 8,921 7,931 8,283 19 12,572 11,267 9,299 10,322 9,172 8,030 8,358 20 12,653 11,673 9,152 10,448 9,432 8,162 8,430 21 12,236 12,825 9,327 10,562 9,689 8,321 8,492 22 12,966 12,909 9,873 10,736 9,929 8,495 8,539 23 13,272 12,484 10,112 10,419 10,157 8,681 8,571 24 13,557 13,197 10,285 10,058 10,361 8,876 8,586 25 14,209 13,482 10,702 10,073 10,538 9,075 8,592 26 14,541 13,743 10,924 9,578 10,693 9,276 8,594 27 14,873 14,372 10,925 9,802 10,824 9,479 8,598 28 14,903 14,681 12,072 9,900 10,923 9,677 8,611 29 14,752 14,992 12,160 10,042 10,998 9,871 8,634 30 14,733 15,005 12,490 9,823 11,051 10,055 8,671 31 15,026 14,836 13,552 9,915 11,083 10,227 8,725 32 14,717 14,803 13,546 10,375 11,172 10,382 8,797 33 13,988 15,084 13,032 10,531 10,776 10,528 8,885 34 14,333 14,763 13,659 10,627 10,342 10,657 8,990 35 14,395 14,025 13,865 10,973 10,291 10,768 9,112 36 13,825 14,361 14,056 11,133 9,740 10,865 9,247 37 13,702 14,415 14,621 11,080 9,914 10,946 9,393 38 14,077 13,839 14,873 12,177 9,969 11,002 9,549 39 14,496 13,709 15,134 12,223 10,073 11,040 9,706 4 CD 15,580 14,077 15,103 12,516 9,824 11,062 9,866 41 15,694 14,490 14,897 13,543 9,888 11,066 10,022 42 15,748 15,566 14,828 13,508 10,323 11,132 10,169 43 15,091 15,674 15,075 12,971 10,457 10,716 10,302 44 15,232 15,722 14,726 13,571 10,534 10,265 10,428 45 15,455 15,060 13,965 13,754 10,860 10,198 10,539 46 15,207 15,194 14,271 13,921 11,003 9,634 10,634 47 15,138 15,410 14,297 14,460 10,934 9,792 10,716 48 15,031 15,155 13,700 14,689 12,006 9,833 10,783 49 14,646 15,079 13,546 14,924 12,036 9,923 10,825 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 23: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 15,479 14,965 13,882 14,870 12,309 9,662 10,850 51 15,570 14,573 14,260 14,642 13,307 9,714 10,859 52 15,726 15,394 15,290 14,550 13,254 10,131 10,851 53 14,858 15,476 15,363 14,768 12,706 10,250 10,903 54 15,261 15,623 15,376 14,399 13,278 10,312 10,480 55 14,670 14,752 14,695 13,627 13,438 10,621 10,024 56 14,620 15,145 14,793 13,901 13,583 10,748 9,946 57 13,989 14,549 14,968 13,901 14,090 10,667 9,380 58 13,081 14,491 14,685 13,293 14,293 11,706 9,526 59 12,296 13,858 14,576 13,117 14,501 11,720 9,556 60 12,283 12,949 14,429 13,418 14,425 11,973 9,634 61 10,285 12,162 14,014 13,758 14,180 12,933 9,369 62 8,389 12,140 14,765 14,724 14,067 12,864 9,409 63 10,854 10,157 14,801 14,761 14,252 12,311 9,806 64 11,171 8,276 14,895 14,737 13,867 12,848 9,909 65 11,224 10,696 14,015 14,043 13,091 12,981 9,956 66 10,668 10,994 14,334 14,093 13,323 13,095 10,240 67 10,733 11,031 13,712 14,212 13,287 13,556 10,344 68 10,356 10,467 13,593 13,889 12,663 13,716 10,244 69 9,967 10,510 12,928 13,725 12,450 13,875 11,222 70 10,089 10,118 12,005 13,518 12,685 13,755 11,204 71 9,891 9,710 11,196 13,051 12,944 13,467 11,411 72 9,905 9,797 11,083 13,659 13,779 13,298 12,284 73 9,709 9,569 9,185 13,584 13,725 13,403 12,163 74 9,795 9,540 7,402 13,545 13,599 12,959 11,578 75 9,686 9,304 9,441 12,608 12,844 12,144 12,013 76 9,463 9,332 9,558 12,734 12,758 12,257 12,052 77 9,065 9,167 9,421 12,005 12,712 12,103 12,058 8 7 8,352 8,887 8,759 11,699 12,249 11,401 12,362 79 7,941 8,439 8,587 10,907 11,906 11,057 12,365 80 7,473 7,695 8,041 9,896 11,501 11,085 12,338 81 7,137 7,230 7,472 8,982 10,853 11,098 12,032 82 6,501 6,710 7,260 8,613 11,056 11,548 11,550 83 5,903 6,307 6,788 6,880 10,651 11,194 11,139 8 5,196 5,642 6,433 5,313 10,227 10,739 10,913 85 4,759 5,020 5,918 6,433 9,108 9,760 10,198 86 3,699 4,320 5,549 6,139 8,734 9,265 9,176 7 8 3,079 3,859 5,048 5,653 7,752 8,751 8,825 88 1,854 2,922 4,488 4,864 7,046 7,925 8,233 89 1,122 2,365 3,868 4,369 6,071 7,175 7,265 90 958 1,388 3,170 3,708 5,037 6,389 6,532 91 748 821 2,645 3,089 4,134 5,496 6,000 92 916 680 2,156 2,657 3,540 5,039 5,434 93 877 517 1,760 2,174 2,498 4,314 5,042 94 678 603 1,355 1,780 1,686 3,630 4,294 95 514 540 1,015 1,389 1,737 2,787 3,556 96 306 390 726 1,087 1,393 2,264 2,740 97 231 281 530 813 1,061 1,674 2,161 98 141 158 325 585 742 1,242 1,659 99 86 113 209 401 531 856 1,195 100+ 130 157 236 705 1,020 1,534 2,594 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 24: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 2,022,644 2,050,052 2,162,222 2,225,215 2,273,187 2,335,886 2,393,259 0 19,387 19,860 20,358 19,232 22,137 24,441 25,311 1 19,000 20,172 20,921 19,632 22,156 24,726 25,496 2 18,284 20,371 21,382 20,028 22,109 24,943 25,671 3 18,016 19,848 21,770 20,420 22,013 25,090 25,833 4 17,541 19,010 22,076 20,811 21,889 25,171 25,989 5 18,048 18,635 22,303 21,193 21,759 25,187 26,129 6 18,052 18,066 22,470 21,559 21,640 25,142 26,257 7 18,361 18,490 22,579 21,909 21,548 25,034 26,372 8 18,041 18,422 22,615 22,226 21,485 24,872 26,463 9 18,207 18,667 22,602 22,510 21,459 24,654 26,530 10 18,990 18,291 22,546 22,752 21,475 24,390 26,576 11 19,226 18,408 22,445 22,946 21,538 24,087 26,590 12 19,438 19,148 22,280 23,082 21,634 23,757 26,571 13 19,842 19,352 21,442 23,187 21,766 23,411 26,520 14 20,432 19,554 20,344 23,258 21,941 23,081 26,441 15 20,347 19,993 19,784 23,315 22,168 22,802 26,351 16 22,506 20,698 19,146 23,418 22,475 22,626 26,283 17 22,711 20,815 19,644 23,588 22,889 22,595 26,264 18 23,816 23,193 19,774 23,793 23,374 22,700 26,283 19 26,212 23,557 20,300 24,015 23,893 22,914 26,315 20 26,413 24,745 20,255 24,234 24,405 23,214 26,330 21 25,693 27,172 20,731 24,426 24,883 23,579 26,314 22 27,340 27,372 21,840 24,559 25,302 23,979 26,259 23 27,788 26,628 22,410 24,013 25,673 24,399 26,163 24 28,333 28,230 22,952 23,185 25,981 24,830 26,033 25 29,795 28,624 23,671 22,843 26,222 25,254 25,886 26 30,633 29,108 24,544 22,328 26,411 25,662 25,741 27 31,049 30,505 24,687 22,820 26,547 26,047 25,612 28 31,525 31,281 26,957 22,839 26,615 26,394 25,515 29 31,300 31,637 27,145 23,183 26,638 26,704 25,455 30 30,857 32,059 28,107 22,924 26,623 26,966 25,436 31 31,485 31,784 30,275 23,164 26,568 27,177 25,467 32 30,420 31,296 30,220 24,029 26,454 27,329 25,551 33 29,712 31,881 29,227 24,363 25,673 27,445 25,674 34 29,979 30,779 30,574 24,681 24,628 27,516 25,834 35 30,124 30,036 30,735 25,192 24,090 27,542 26,028 36 28,855 30,270 31,002 25,872 23,397 27,540 26,241 37 28,303 30,383 32,191 25,847 23,728 27,507 26,461 38 29,030 29,087 32,778 27,952 23,607 27,425 26,685 39 29,941 28,508 32,965 28,001 23,825 27,316 26,892 4 CD 31,508 29,206 33,224 28,830 23,455 27,185 27,080 41 32,068 30,086 32,803 30,865 23,594 27,027 27,235 42 31,799 31,621 32,183 30,702 24,364 26,819 27,353 43 30,899 32,151 32,629 29,615 24,613 25,957 27,421 44 31,378 31,856 31,414 30,851 24,852 24,843 27,463 45 31,825 30,931 30,553 30,916 25,287 24,237 27,467 46 30,936 31,380 30,667 31,088 25,891 23,482 27,433 47 30,886 31,796 30,660 32,171 25,799 23,748 27,375 48 30,974 30,885 29,270 32,657 27,814 23,571 27,290 49 30,060 30,805 28,591 32,751 27,797 23,731 27,160 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 24: Population by age and sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 31,525 30,861 29,160 32,910 28,548 23,311 27,006 51 32,182 29,922 29,902 32,404 30,485 23,397 26,832 52 32,241 31,341 31,283 31,706 30,255 24,108 26,634 53 30,710 31,953 31,666 32,047 29,118 24,304 26,388 54 31,552 31,973 31,254 30,771 30,259 24,489 25,496 55 30,285 30,420 30,221 29,827 30,252 24,870 24,359 56 29,551 31,211 30,513 29,844 30,345 25,410 23,727 57 28,776 29,923 30,769 29,735 31,320 25,268 22,947 58 26,094 29,166 29,759 28,293 31,710 27,188 23,171 59 24,812 28,363 29,535 27,542 31,720 27,116 22,962 60 24,254 25,698 29,431 27,985 31,782 27,786 23,083 61 19,757 24,403 28,397 28,586 31,203 29,610 22,634 62 16,382 23,827 29,580 29,799 30,445 29,319 22,680 63 20,661 19,395 29,977 30,036 30,679 28,145 23,335 64 21,176 16,061 29,833 29,529 29,366 29,175 23,483 65 21,162 20,212 28,216 28,417 28,353 29,090 23,615 66 20,002 20,673 28,760 28,549 28,270 29,094 23,935 67 20,009 20,610 27,390 28,638 28,052 29,934 24,396 68 19,027 19,431 26,520 27,548 26,569 30,196 24,193 69 18,065 19,377 25,556 27,162 25,737 30,088 25,968 70 18,120 18,365 22,977 26,859 26,005 30,004 25,809 71 17,605 17,370 21,577 25,704 26,393 29,303 26,344 72 17,087 17,344 20,836 26,533 27,334 28,431 27,957 73 16,491 16,767 16,773 26,584 27,316 28,463 27,538 74 16,104 16,192 13,675 26,146 26,614 27,050 26,272 75 15,794 15,535 16,909 24,378 25,324 25,875 27,055 76 15,227 15,078 16,955 24,463 25,131 25,568 26,776 77 14,498 14,676 16,537 22,892 24,868 25,099 26,551 8 7 12,937 14,033 15,214 21,760 23,568 23,481 27,053 79 12,017 13,233 14,756 20,479 22,831 22,441 26,983 80 11,012 11,693 13,572 17,996 22,119 22,323 26,551 81 9,921 10,735 12,408 16,408 20,695 22,250 26,071 82 9,024 9,708 11,909 15,367 20,825 22,597 25,016 83 7,997 8,627 11,010 11,954 20,225 22,027 23,795 8 7,068 7,703 10,135 9,330 19,222 20,876 23,262 85 6,340 6,696 9,186 11,013 17,200 19,197 21,510 86 4,861 5,784 8,378 10,449 16,474 18,322 19,873 7 8 4,070 5,064 7,568 9,570 14,614 17,340 18,920 88 2,415 3,785 6,660 8,200 13,096 15,625 17,767 89 1,457 3,079 5,718 7,342 11,481 14,275 15,799 90 1,254 1,784 4,580 6,183 9,368 12,928 14,257 91 963 1,054 3,765 5,124 7,815 11,224 13,275 92 1,136 879 3,020 4,406 6,661 10,389 12,270 93 1,104 660 2,377 3,612 4,678 9,161 11,476 94 844 745 1,840 2,930 3,244 7,847 10,153 95 618 672 1,366 2,297 3,361 6,238 8,658 96 388 475 986 1,794 2,760 5,247 7,047 97 275 331 716 1,362 2,160 4,036 5,883 98 173 196 440 994 1,560 3,103 4,804 99 101 132 287 697 1,160 2,285 3,691 100+ 155 185 329 1,286 2,533 4,935 10,900 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 25: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 998,606 1,012,571 1,072,287 1,105,864 1 1,129,286 1,160,451 1,188,398 0 9,926 10,074 10,352 9,789 11,296 12,489 12,949 1 9,801 10,110 10,534 9,904 11,222 12,558 12,976 2 9,406 10,214 10,688 10,036 11,134 12,608 13,012 3 9,095 10,068 10,821 10,183 11,036 12,637 13,055 4 9,099 9,653 10,929 10,345 10,938 12,644 13,104 5 9,371 9,322 11,009 10,513 10,847 12,628 13,154 6 9,273 9,307 11,071 10,685 10,771 12,590 13,206 7 9,443 9,562 11,112 10,854 10,714 12,528 13,257 8 9,351 9,447 11,125 11,012 10,679 12,444 13,301 9 9,437 9,601 11,118 11,157 10,668 12,336 13,339 10 9,774 9,494 11,092 11,288 10,686 12,211 13,370 11 9,873 9,566 11,044 11,395 10,731 12,069 13,387 12 10,010 9,890 11,069 11,476 10,796 11,915 13,389 13 10,087 9,976 10,848 11,541 10,880 11,755 13,376 14 10,532 10,101 10,362 11,586 10,982 11,600 13,346 15 10,502 10,176 9,973 11,614 11,103 11,463 13,305 16 11,536 10,658 9,939 11,660 11,262 11,375 13,273 17 11,645 10,719 10,235 11,737 11,470 11,356 13,266 18 12,378 11,850 10,204 11,820 11,702 11,396 13,265 19 13,640 12,008 10,455 11,891 11,929 11,473 13,252 20 13,760 12,746 10,448 11,936 12,136 11,578 13,212 21 13,457 13,996 10,619 11,956 12,313 11,709 13,150 22 14,374 14,107 11,044 12,046 12,460 11,858 13,067 23 14,516 13,799 11,237 11,894 12,586 12,023 12,969 24 14,776 14,710 11,470 11,480 12,690 12,203 12,862 25 15,586 14,847 11,648 11,160 12,769 12,389 12,756 26 16,092 15,101 12,191 11,164 12,832 12,576 12,659 27 16,176 15,901 12,259 11,443 12,875 12,757 12,577 28 16,622 16,397 13,345 11,366 12,893 12,925 12,517 29 16,548 16,471 13,457 11,564 12,895 13,077 12,480 30 16,124 16,905 14,144 11,510 12,878 13,210 12,470 31 16,459 16,820 15,341 11,639 12,844 13,318 12,491 32 15,703 16,385 15,410 12,020 12,883 13,397 12,542 33 15,724 16,706 15,061 12,171 12,684 13,459 12,615 34 15,646 15,939 15,916 12,361 12,226 13,501 12,709 35 15,729 15,947 16,002 12,494 11,862 13,519 12,822 36 15,030 15,855 16,200 12,990 11,820 13,525 12,946 37 14,601 15,924 16,938 13,012 12,054 13,514 13,074 38 14,953 15,212 17,372 14,044 11,934 13,481 13,202 39 15,445 14,769 17,386 14,108 12,088 13,433 13,319 4 CD 15,928 15,104 17,753 14,742 11,994 13,370 13,425 41 16,374 15,577 17,605 15,878 12,081 13,291 13,515 42 16,051 16,040 17,109 15,896 12,419 13,287 13,582 43 15,808 16,466 17,358 15,501 12,528 13,047 13,623 44 16,146 16,126 16,533 16,292 12,676 12,553 13,648 45 16,370 15,866 16,469 16,322 12,766 12,153 13,655 46 15,729 16,182 16,305 16,462 13,214 12,073 13,640 47 15,748 16,385 16,297 17,128 13,195 12,267 13,614 48 15,943 15,730 15,526 17,493 14,167 12,112 13,572 49 15,414 15,728 15,019 17,444 14,187 12,227 13,509 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 25: Population by age and sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 16,046 15,898 15,265 17,738 14,764 12,098 13,432 51 16,612 15,352 15,640 17,528 15,830 12,149 13,341 52 16,515 15,950 16,000 16,979 15,799 12,445 13,235 53 15,852 16,480 16,317 17,150 15,364 12,515 13,203 54 16,291 16,355 15,897 16,282 16,082 12,624 12,939 55 15,615 15,672 15,550 16,147 16,057 12,675 12,426 56 14,931 16,071 15,747 15,913 16,135 13,073 12,007 57 14,787 15,377 15,829 15,825 16,717 13,014 11,901 58 13,013 14,678 15,102 15,010 17,003 13,916 12,061 59 12,516 14,508 14,986 14,447 16,889 13,890 11,881 60 11,971 12,751 15,027 14,595 17,099 14,400 11,962 61 9,472 12,242 14,406 14,860 16,825 15,377 11,805 62 7,993 11,688 14,833 15,105 16,230 15,293 11,821 63 9,807 9,239 15,188 15,304 16,315 14,820 12,072 64 10,005 7,785 14,945 14,817 15,418 15,447 12,102 65 9,938 9,514 14,203 14,398 15,210 15,359 12,165 66 9,334 9,675 14,422 14,471 14,907 15,364 12,170 67 9,276 9,576 13,667 14,430 14,733 15,838 12,502 68 8,671 8,959 12,908 13,654 13,883 16,023 12,391 69 8,098 8,861 12,602 13,418 13,264 15,821 13,186 70 8,031 8,240 10,940 13,309 13,285 15,911 13,092 71 7,714 7,650 10,342 12,606 13,397 15,541 13,493 72 7,182 7,536 9,702 12,799 13,470 14,866 14,313 73 6,782 7,186 7,537 12,902 13,483 14,804 14,129 74 6,309 6,639 6,219 12,476 12,878 13,844 13,577 75 6,108 6,216 7,389 11,628 12,325 13,496 14,020 76 5,764 5,730 7,302 11,552 12,179 13,052 13,794 77 5,433 5,492 7,005 10,687 11,917 12,711 13,637 8 7 4,585 5,126 6,335 9,827 11,040 11,780 13,873 79 4,076 4,775 6,033 9,314 10,598 11,047 13,826 80 3,539 3,976 5,383 7,823 10,239 10,835 13,421 81 2,784 3,482 4,773 7,128 9,415 10,671 13,239 82 2,523 2,973 4,469 6,417 9,247 10,445 12,645 83 2,094 2,294 4,027 4,754 8,977 10,138 11,787 8 1,872 2,035 3,492 3,718 8,316 9,345 11,393 85 1,581 1,648 3,045 4,170 7,378 8,585 10,288 86 1,162 1,434 2,591 3,855 6,931 8,093 9,633 7 8 991 1,174 2,272 3,428 6,014 7,503 8,891 88 561 832 1,918 2,844 5,141 6,533 8,205 89 335 682 1,597 2,461 4,490 5,847 7,150 90 296 364 1,169 1,969 3,432 5,217 6,248 91 215 201 887 1,545 2,816 4,383 5,657 92 220 166 643 1,263 2,253 3,891 5,088 93 227 110 409 978 1,455 3,373 4,495 94 166 108 296 716 976 2,753 3,888 95 104 116 196 526 948 2,128 3,155 96 82 85 139 371 742 1,719 2,515 97 44 50 91 266 549 1,261 2,027 98 32 37 50 181 372 897 1,580 99 15 19 32 119 260 643 1,138 100+ 25 27 28 159 444 1,091 2,795 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 26: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 1,024,038 1,037,481 1,089,935 1,119,351 1,143,901 1,175,435 1,204,861 0 9,461 9,786 10,005 9,443 10,841 11,952 12,361 1 9,199 10,063 10,386 9,728 10,934 12,168 12,520 2 8,878 10,158 10,695 9,992 10,976 12,335 12,658 3 8,921 9,780 10,949 10,236 10,977 12,453 12,778 4 8,442 9,357 11,147 10,466 10,951 12,527 12,885 5 8,677 9,313 11,294 10,679 10,912 12,559 12,975 6 8,779 8,759 11,399 10,874 10,870 12,551 13,051 7 8,918 8,929 11,467 11,055 10,834 12,506 13,115 8 8,690 8,975 11,490 11,214 10,806 12,428 13,162 9 8,770 9,066 11,483 11,353 10,790 12,318 13,191 10 9,216 8,797 11,454 11,464 10,789 12,179 13,207 11 9,353 8,842 11,401 11,551 10,806 12,018 13,203 12 9,428 9,258 11,212 11,606 10,838 11,842 13,182 13 9,755 9,376 10,594 11,645 10,886 11,656 13,143 14 9,900 9,453 9,983 11,672 10,959 11,481 13,095 15 9,845 9,817 9,811 11,703 11,065 11,339 13,046 16 10,970 10,040 9,207 11,758 11,214 11,252 13,010 17 11,066 10,097 9,410 11,852 11,419 11,239 12,998 18 11,438 11,343 9,571 11,972 11,672 11,304 13,018 19 12,572 11,548 9,844 12,125 11,964 11,441 13,064 20 12,653 12,000 9,807 12,298 12,269 11,636 13,118 21 12,236 13,176 10,112 12,471 12,570 11,870 13,163 22 12,966 13,265 10,796 12,513 12,842 12,121 13,191 23 13,272 12,829 11,174 12,119 13,087 12,376 13,194 24 13,557 13,520 11,482 11,705 13,291 12,627 13,171 25 14,209 13,777 12,023 11,683 13,453 12,865 13,130 26 14,541 14,007 12,351 11,164 13,580 13,085 13,082 27 14,873 14,604 12,428 11,376 13,672 13,289 13,035 28 14,903 14,883 13,611 11,473 13,721 13,469 12,999 29 14,752 15,167 13,688 11,620 13,743 13,627 12,974 30 14,733 15,153 13,963 11,414 13,744 13,755 12,966 31 15,026 14,964 14,933 11,525 13,724 13,859 12,976 32 14,717 14,911 14,810 12,009 13,571 13,931 13,009 33 13,988 15,174 14,166 12,192 12,990 13,985 13,059 34 14,333 14,840 14,658 12,320 12,404 14,015 13,125 35 14,395 14,089 14,733 12,698 12,228 14,023 13,206 36 13,825 14,414 14,801 12,883 11,577 14,015 13,295 37 13,702 14,459 15,253 12,835 11,674 13,993 13,388 38 14,077 13,875 15,406 13,908 11,673 13,944 13,484 39 14,496 13,739 15,579 13,892 11,737 13,883 13,573 4 CD 15,580 14,101 15,471 14,087 11,461 13,815 13,655 41 15,694 14,509 15,199 14,987 11,513 13,736 13,720 42 15,748 15,581 15,074 14,806 11,945 13,533 13,771 43 15,091 15,685 15,271 14,114 12,086 12,911 13,798 44 15,232 15,730 14,882 14,559 12,176 12,290 13,815 45 15,455 15,065 14,085 14,594 12,521 12,084 13,812 46 15,207 15,197 14,361 14,627 12,676 11,408 13,793 47 15,138 15,411 14,363 15,043 12,604 11,481 13,761 48 15,031 15,155 13,744 15,164 13,647 11,458 13,718 49 14,646 15,078 13,572 15,307 13,610 11,503 13,651 TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Age [years] Table 26: Population by age and sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (con.) Age (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection year 2030 2040 2050 2060 50 15,479 14,962 13,895 15,172 13,783 11,213 13,574 51 15,570 14,570 14,262 14,877 14,655 11,248 13,491 52 15,726 15,390 15,283 14,727 14,456 11,663 13,400 53 14,858 15,472 15,349 14,897 13,754 11,789 13,185 54 15,261 15,619 15,357 14,489 14,177 11,866 12,557 55 14,670 14,748 14,671 13,681 14,195 12,195 11,933 56 14,620 15,141 14,766 13,931 14,210 12,337 11,720 57 13,989 14,546 14,940 13,910 14,604 12,254 11,044 58 13,081 14,488 14,657 13,283 14,707 13,273 11,110 59 12,296 13,855 14,549 13,095 14,831 13,226 11,082 60 12,283 12,947 14,404 13,389 14,682 13,386 11,121 61 10,285 12,161 13,992 13,725 14,377 14,233 10,829 62 8,389 12,139 14,748 14,694 14,215 14,026 10,860 63 10,854 10,156 14,788 14,732 14,364 13,325 11,263 64 11,171 8,277 14,888 14,712 13,948 13,728 11,381 65 11,224 10,698 14,012 14,019 13,143 13,731 11,450 66 10,668 10,998 14,339 14,078 13,364 13,730 11,765 67 10,733 11,035 13,723 14,208 13,319 14,095 11,894 68 10,356 10,472 13,612 13,895 12,686 14,173 11,802 69 9,967 10,517 12,953 13,743 12,473 14,268 12,782 70 10,089 10,125 12,037 13,550 12,719 14,093 12,717 71 9,891 9,719 11,235 13,099 12,997 13,762 12,851 72 9,905 9,808 11,133 13,734 13,864 13,565 13,644 73 9,709 9,580 9,236 13,683 13,834 13,660 13,410 74 9,795 9,553 7,456 13,670 13,736 13,206 12,694 75 9,686 9,319 9,520 12,750 12,999 12,379 13,035 76 9,463 9,348 9,653 12,911 12,952 12,515 12,982 77 9,065 9,184 9,531 12,205 12,952 12,388 12,915 8 7 8,352 8,906 8,880 11,932 12,528 11,701 13,180 79 7,941 8,459 8,724 11,165 12,233 11,395 13,157 80 7,473 7,717 8,190 10,174 11,880 11,488 13,130 81 7,137 7,253 7,634 9,280 11,280 11,579 12,832 82 6,501 6,735 7,440 8,950 11,578 12,152 12,371 83 5,903 6,333 6,982 7,200 11,247 11,889 12,008 8 5,196 5,669 6,644 5,612 10,906 11,531 11,870 85 4,759 5,048 6,141 6,843 9,822 10,613 11,221 86 3,699 4,350 5,787 6,594 9,543 10,229 10,240 7 8 3,079 3,890 5,296 6,141 8,600 9,837 10,029 88 1,854 2,953 4,741 5,356 7,954 9,093 9,562 89 1,122 2,396 4,120 4,881 6,991 8,429 8,649 90 958 1,419 3,411 4,214 5,935 7,711 8,009 91 748 853 2,878 3,579 5,000 6,841 7,618 92 916 713 2,377 3,143 4,407 6,498 7,182 93 877 550 1,969 2,634 3,223 5,788 6,981 94 678 637 1,544 2,214 2,269 5,094 6,265 95 514 556 1,170 1,771 2,413 4,110 5,503 96 306 391 847 1,423 2,018 3,528 4,532 97 231 282 625 1,096 1,610 2,774 3,855 98 141 159 391 813 1,188 2,206 3,224 99 86 113 255 577 899 1,642 2,553 100+ 130 157 302 1,126 2,089 3,845 8,105 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ageing Indicators Table 27: Population, ageing indicators by sex, total, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 13.9 13.8 13.7 11.9 10.9 11.2 10.8 15-64 70.0 69.5 65.7 62.5 59.5 55.3 54.7 65+ 16.1 16.7 20.6 25.6 29.6 33.4 34.5 80+ 3.5 3.9 5.3 6.4 9.4 11.2 13.2 85+ 1.3 1.5 2.5 3.1 4.5 5.7 6.7 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 13.9 13.8 14.2 12.8 12.1 12.8 12.8 15-64 70.0 69.5 65.4 61.9 58.9 54.7 53.9 65+ 16.1 16.6 20.4 25.3 29.1 32.5 33.4 80+ 3.5 3.9 5.4 6.7 9.9 12.0 14.1 85+ 1.3 1.5 2.6 3.3 5.0 6.6 7.9 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant % Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 13.9 14.0 15.2 14.6 14.4 15.8 16.4 15-64 70.0 69.5 65.0 61.4 58.6 54.9 53.9 65+ 16.1 16.5 19.8 24.0 27.0 29.4 29.7 80+ 3.5 3.9 5.4 6.7 9.7 11.7 13.4 85+ 1.3 1.5 2.6 3.5 5.2 6.9 8.2 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS % % TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ageing indicators Table 28: Population, ageing indicators by sex, men, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 14.5 14.4 14.1 12.3 11.3 11.7 11.3 15-64 72.9 72.4 68.1 64.7 61.8 57.4 56.8 65+ 12.6 13.3 17.8 23.0 26.9 30.9 31.9 80+ 1.9 2.2 3.5 4.7 7.4 8.8 11.0 85+ 0.6 0.7 1.4 2.0 3.2 4.1 5.0 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 14.5 14.4 14.5 13.1 12.4 13.2 13.2 15-64 72.9 72.4 67.8 64.1 60.8 56.2 55.2 65+ 12.6 13.2 17.7 22.8 26.8 30.7 31.7 80+ 1.9 2.2 3.6 5.0 8.0 9.8 12.3 85+ 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.2 3.7 5.1 6.3 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant % Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 14.5 14.5 15.2 14.6 14.5 15.9 16.7 15-64 72.9 72.4 67.6 63.5 60.1 55.6 54.3 65+ 12.6 13.1 17.2 21.9 25.4 28.5 29.1 80+ 1.9 2.2 3.5 4.9 8.0 9.9 12.2 85+ 0.6 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.9 5.5 7.0 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS % % TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ageing Indicators Table 29: Population, ageing indicators by sex, women, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 13.3 13.2 13.2 11.4 10.4 10.7 10.3 15-64 67.2 66.8 63.5 60.4 57.3 53.4 52.8 65+ 19.4 20.0 23.3 28.2 32.3 35.9 36.9 80+ 5.1 5.6 7.1 8.1 11.3 13.4 15.4 85+ 2.0 2.3 3.6 4.1 5.7 7.2 8.3 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 13.3 13.3 13.9 12.5 11.7 12.4 12.4 15-64 67.2 66.7 63.0 59.8 57.0 53.3 52.6 65+ 19.4 19.9 23.1 27.7 31.3 34.3 35.0 80+ 5.1 5.6 7.2 8.4 11.7 14.0 15.9 85+ 2.0 2.3 3.8 4.5 6.3 8.2 9.5 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant % Age groups (years) 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0-14 13.3 13.5 15.1 14.6 14.3 15.6 16.1 15-64 67.2 66.7 62.4 59.3 57.2 54.2 53.5 65+ 19.4 19.8 22.5 26.1 28.6 30.2 30.4 80+ 5.1 5.6 7.2 8.4 11.4 13.3 14.6 85+ 2.0 2.4 3.8 4.7 6.5 8.4 9.4 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS % % TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ageing indicators Table 30: Age dependency ratio and the ageing index by sex, population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant total, EUROPOP2008 selected years (2008, Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 23.0 24.0 31.3 41.0 49.7 60.4 63.0 YADR 19.8 19.8 20.8 19.0 18.2 20.3 19.7 OADR+ YADR 42.8 43.8 52.1 60.0 68.0 80.7 82.7 Ageing index 115.8 120.9 150.7 216.2 272.6 298.1 319.3 Sources: Eurostat, EUR0P0P2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 23.0 23.9 31.2 40.8 49.4 59.4 61.9 YADR 19.8 19.9 21.7 20.6 20.5 23.3 23.7 OADR+ YADR 42.8 43.8 52.9 61.5 69.9 82.7 85.6 Ageing index 115.8 120.1 144.1 197.9 241.3 254.4 261.3 Sources: Eurostat, EUR0P0P2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 23.0 23.8 30.5 39.1 46.0 53.6 55.2 YADR 19.8 20.1 23.4 23.8 24.5 28.7 30.5 OADR+ YADR 42.8 43.9 53.9 62.9 70.5 82.3 85.7 Ageing index 115.8 118.4 130.7 164.6 187.9 186.5 181.1 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ageing indicators Table 31: Age dependency ratio and the ageing index by sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 17.3 18.3 26.2 35.5 43.5 53.9 56.3 YADR 19.8 19.8 20.8 19.0 18.3 20.4 19.9 OADR+ YADR 37.2 38.2 46.9 54.5 61.8 74.3 76.2 Ageing index 87.3 92.4 126.0 187.1 237.4 263.4 282.2 Sources: Eurostat, EUR0P0P2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 17.3 18.3 26.0 35.6 44.1 54.6 57.4 YADR 19.8 19.9 21.4 20.4 20.3 23.4 23.9 OADR+ YADR 37.2 38.2 47.4 56.0 64.4 78.0 81.3 Ageing index 87.3 91.9 121.9 174.9 216.7 233.1 240.5 Sources: Eurostat, EUR0P0P2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 17.3 18.1 25.4 34.5 42.3 51.3 53.6 YADR 19.8 20.0 22.5 23.0 24.1 28.7 30.7 OADR+ YADR 37.2 38.1 47.9 57.5 66.3 80.0 84.3 Ageing index 87.3 90.8 112.8 149.7 175.6 178.8 174.3 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Ageing indicators Table 32: Age dependency ratio and the ageing index by sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Low variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 28.9 29.9 36.8 46.7 56.3 67.2 69.9 YADR 19.8 19.8 20.8 18.9 18.2 20.1 19.5 OADR+ YADR 48.7 49.7 57.6 65.7 74.5 87.3 89.4 Ageing index 146.0 151.0 176.7 246.6 309.4 334.4 358.0 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Baseline variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 28.9 29.9 36.7 46.3 54.9 64.3 66.5 YADR 19.8 19.9 22.0 20.9 20.6 23.3 23.5 OADR+ YADR 48.7 49.8 58.6 67.2 75.6 87.6 90.1 Ageing index 146.0 149.8 166.9 221.4 266.5 276.4 282.7 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS High variant Ageing indicators 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 OADR 28.9 29.8 36.0 44.0 49.9 55.8 56.8 YADR 19.8 20.2 24.3 24.5 24.9 28.7 30.2 OADR+ YADR 48.7 50.0 60.2 68.5 74.9 84.5 87.0 Ageing index 146.0 147.2 148.4 179.3 200.2 194.3 188.2 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR SLOVENIA, Population, projection variants Table 33: Population by sex, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2008-2060 Projection variants Projection LOW BASELINE HIGH years sex sex sex TOTAL men women TOTAL men women TOTAL men women 2008 2,022,644 998,606 1,024,038 2,022,644 998,606 1,024,038 2,022,644 998,606 1, 024,038 2009 2,024,954 999,873 1,025,081 2,028,743 1, 001,763 1,026,980 2,036,704 1, 005,721 1, 030,983 2010 2,026,590 1,000,834 1,025,756 2,034,220 1, 004,655 1,029,565 2,050,052 1, 012,571 1, 037,481 2011 2,027,480 1,001,432 1,026,048 2,038,924 1, 007,185 1,031,739 2,062,413 1, 018,977 1, 043,436 2012 2,027,680 1,001,703 1,025,977 2,043,047 1, 009,445 1,033,602 2,074,303 1, 025,165 1, 049,138 2013 2,027,272 1,001,681 1,025,591 2,046,941 1, 011,616 1,035,325 2,086,555 1, 031,604 1 054,951 2014 2,026,136 1,001,301 1,024,835 2,050,247 1, 013,518 1,036,729 2,098,425 1, 037,909 1, 060,516 2015 2,024,262 1,000,549 1,023,713 2,052,980 1, 015,128 1,037,852 2,109,920 1 044,002 1, 065,918 2016 2,021,674 999,447 1,022,227 2,055,218 1 016,528 1,038,690 2,121,288 1 050,132 1, 071,156 2017 2,018,336 997,949 1,020,387 2,056,860 1, 017,595 1,039,265 2,132,229 1, 055,997 1, 076,232 2018 2,014,255 996,064 1,018,191 2,057,858 1, 018,347 1,039,511 2,142,692 1, 061,649 1 081,043 2019 2,009,480 993,800 1,015,680 2,058,334 1, 018,818 1,039,516 2,152,921 1 067,183 1, 085,738 2020 2,003,903 991,121 1,012,782 2,058,003 1, 018,887 1,039,116 2,162,222 1 072,287 1, 089,935 2021 1,997,650 988,045 1,009,605 2,057,127 1, 018,615 1,038,512 2,171,158 1 077,108 1, 094,050 2022 1,990,666 984,566 1,006,100 2,055,504 1, 017,952 1,037,552 2,179,315 1 081,539 1 097,776 2023 1,983,002 980,697 1,002,305 2,053,167 1, 016,878 1,036,289 2,186,638 1 085,497 1, 101,141 2024 1,974,664 976,449 998,215 2,050,138 1 015,425 1,034,713 2,193,143 1, 089,033 1, 104,110 2025 1,965,784 971,875 993,909 2,046,651 1 013,703 1,032,948 2,199,357 1, 092,387 1, 106,970 2026 1,956,353 966,980 989,373 2,042,667 1 011,673 1,030,994 2,205,101 1, 095,439 1, 109,662 2027 1,946,438 961,791 984,647 2,038,238 1 009,385 1,028,853 2,210,490 1, 098,261 1, 112,229 2028 1,936,100 956,350 979,750 2,033,491 1 006,902 1,026,589 2,215,718 1 100,997 1, 114,721 2029 1,925,327 950,654 974,673 2,028,358 1 004,190 1,024,168 2,220,606 1, 103,529 1, 117,077 2030 1,914,158 944,724 969,434 2,022,872 1 001,259 1,021,613 2,225,215 1 105,864 1, 119,351 2031 1,902,677 938,596 964,081 2,017,206 998,185 1,019,021 2,229,904 1, 108,156 1, 121,748 2032 1,890,888 932,285 958,603 2,011,353 995,014 1,016,339 2,234,624 1, 1 10,478 1 124,146 2033 1,878,804 925,815 952,989 2,005,270 991,684 1,013,586 2,239,252 1, 1 12,697 1 126,555 2034 1,866,384 919,164 947,220 1,998,900 988,226 1,010,674 2,243,639 1, 114,843 1 128,796 2035 1,853,683 912,375 941,308 1,992,325 984,650 1,007,675 2,247,989 1, 116,951 1 131,038 2036 1,840,698 905,443 935,255 1,985,565 980,981 1,004,584 2,252,362 1, 119,061 1 133,301 2037 1,827,482 898,408 929,074 1,978,764 977,301 1,001,463 2,257,065 1, 121,356 1 135,709 2038 1,814,051 891,276 922,775 1,971,964 973,622 998,342 2,262,256 1, 123,898 1 138,358 2039 1,800,357 884,033 916,324 1,965,028 969,889 995,139 2,267,646 1, 126,533 1 141,113 2040 1,786,388 876,689 909,699 1,957,942 966,113 991,829 2,273,187 1 129,286 1 143,901 2041 1,772,166 869,244 902,922 1,950,776 962,278 988,498 2,279,073 1, 132,136 1, 146,937 2042 1,757,703 861,710 895,993 1,943,537 958,442 985,095 2,285,332 1, 135,221 1, 150,111 2043 1,742,947 854,076 888,871 1,936,072 954,517 981,555 2,291,597 1 138,311 1 153,286 2044 1,727,936 846,358 881,578 1,928,444 950,558 977,886 2,298,052 1, 141,543 1 156,509 2045 1,712,700 838,574 874,126 1,920,654 946,539 974,115 2,304,636 1, 144,838 1 159,798 2046 1,697,207 830,687 866,520 1,912,630 942,408 970,222 2,311,170 1 148,076 1 163,094 2047 1,681,489 822,735 858,754 1,904,375 938,202 966,173 2,317,646 1, 151,324 1 166,322 2048 1,665,540 814,694 850,846 1,895,860 933,892 961,968 2,323,973 1, 154,485 1 169,488 2049 1,649,376 806,578 842,798 1,887,042 929,445 957,597 2,329,974 1, 157,483 1 172,491 2050 1,633,033 798,403 834,630 1,878,003 924,908 953,095 2,335,886 1, 160,451 1 175,435 2051 1,616,550 790,178 826,372 1,868,789 920,310 948,479 2,341,703 1 163,382 1 178,321 2052 1,599,902 781,875 818,027 1,859,276 915,566 943,710 2,347,184 1 166,133 1, 181,051 2053 1,583,171 773,551 809,620 1,849,740 910,809 938,931 2,352,841 1, 168,954 1 183,887 2054 1,566,342 765,186 801,156 1,840,075 905,984 934,091 2,358,486 1, 171,746 1 186,740 2055 1,549,381 756,754 792,627 1,830,124 901,024 929,100 2,363,695 1, 174,312 1 189,383 2056 1,532,318 748,269 784,049 1,820,007 895,959 924,048 2,368,735 1, 176,748 1 191,987 2057 1,515,240 739,776 775,464 1,809,834 890,863 918,971 2,373,806 1, 179,177 1 194,629 2058 1,498,062 731,236 766,826 1,799,428 885,660 913,768 2,378,523 1, 181,445 1 197,078 2059 1,480,890 722,698 758,192 1,789,015 880,436 908,579 2,383,381 1, 183,762 1 199,619 2060 1,463,734 714,159 749,575 1,778,573 875,183 903,390 2,388,270 1, 186,050 1 202,220 2061 1,446,602 705,639 740,963 1,768,1 13 869,929 898,184 2,393,259 1, 188,398 1 204,861 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population Table 34: Population growth1, total, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (2008=100) % Countries 2008 2010 Projection years 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 100.0 100.8 103.7 105.0 105.0 104.0 102.1 BG 100.0 99.0 94.1 88.4 82.8 77.5 71.8 LV 100.0 99.0 94.8 89.6 84.3 79.5 74.1 LT 100.0 99.2 95.7 91.6 86.5 81.3 75.7 RO 100.0 99.6 97.2 93.6 89.4 84.7 79.0 EE 100.0 99.6 97.9 94.7 91.2 88.3 84.6 HU 100.0 99.8 98.5 96.1 93.1 90.2 86.8 PL 100.0 99.9 99.6 97.0 92.4 87.3 81.7 DE 100.0 100.0 99.1 97.5 94.7 90.6 86.1 SK 100.0 100.2 100.6 98.8 94.8 90.0 84.2 CZ 100.0 100.5 101.9 100.7 98.2 95.6 92.0 SI 100.0 100.6 101.7 100.0 96.8 92.8 87.9 NL 100.0 100.6 103.0 104.9 105.0 103.1 101.2 DK 100.0 100.7 103.4 106.1 107.4 107.7 108.1 FI 100.0 100.7 103.8 105.1 104.2 102.8 101.9 MT 100.0 100.7 104.0 105.1 103.4 101.0 98.6 GR 100.0 100.8 103.0 103.2 103.1 102.0 99.1 IT 100.0 100.8 103.2 103.9 104.2 102.9 99.8 AT 100.0 100.8 104.7 107.8 109.5 109.5 108.4 PT 100.0 101.0 104.6 106.6 107.9 107.8 106.1 FX 100.0 101.1 106.0 109.9 113.0 114.8 116.0 UK 100.0 101.2 107.2 113.0 117.5 121.6 125.1 BE 100.0 101.2 106.2 110.2 112.9 114.4 115.4 SE 100.0 101.3 107.3 111.8 114.0 116.2 118.4 LU 100.0 102.5 114.3 125.8 136.2 144.6 151.7 ES 100.0 103.1 112.9 116.3 117.7 117.5 114.6 CY 100.0 103.3 120.1 134.9 146.9 157.5 166.2 IE 100.0 104.5 122.4 133.2 140.9 147.9 152.9 CH 100.0 101.4 107.9 113.7 117.5 119.8 121.1 NO 100.0 101.7 109.3 116.2 121.1 124.5 127.4 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2010. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population Table 35: Population1, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) (EU-27=100) % Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 MT 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 LU 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.14 0.14 CY 0.16 0.16 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.24 0.26 EE 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.24 0.23 0.23 0.22 SI 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.35 LV 0.46 0.45 0.42 0.39 0.37 0.35 0.33 LT 0.68 0.67 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.53 0.50 IE 0.89 0.92 1.05 1.13 1.20 1.27 1.34 FI 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.06 1.06 1.07 SK 1.09 1.08 1.06 1.03 0.98 0.94 0.90 DK 1.11 1.10 1.10 1.12 1.13 1.14 1.17 BG 1.54 1.51 1.40 1.30 1.22 1.15 1.08 AT 1.68 1.68 1.70 1.73 1.75 1.77 1.79 SE 1.85 1.86 1.92 1.98 2.01 2.07 2.15 HU 2.03 2.01 1.93 1.86 1.80 1.76 1.72 CZ 2.09 2.08 2.05 2.00 1.95 1.92 1.88 PT 2.14 2.15 2.16 2.18 2.20 2.22 2.23 BE 2.15 2.16 2.20 2.26 2.31 2.37 2.43 GR 2.26 2.26 2.25 2.23 2.22 2.22 2.20 NL 3.31 3.30 3.29 3.31 3.31 3.28 3.28 RO 4.32 4.27 4.05 3.86 3.68 3.52 3.35 PL 7.69 7.63 7.39 7.11 6.77 6.46 6.16 ES 9.14 9.35 9.95 10.13 10.25 10.33 10.27 IT 12.02 12.02 11.95 11.90 11.92 11.88 11.74 UK 12.37 12.41 12.78 13.31 13.85 14.46 15.16 FX 12.49 12.53 12.77 13.07 13.44 13.79 14.20 DE 16.59 16.45 15.86 15.42 14.96 14.46 13.99 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population Table 36: Population in 0001, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) 000 Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 495,394.0 499,389.4 513,837.6 519,942.1 520,102.5 515,303.5 505,718.5 MT 410.5 413.5 427.0 431.6 424.3 414.8 404.7 LU 482.2 494.2 551.0 606.7 656.8 697.2 731.7 CY 794.6 820.7 954.5 1,072.0 1,167.1 1,251.5 1,320.3 EE 1,338.6 1,333.2 1,311.0 1,267.4 1,221.4 1,181.4 1,132.3 SI 2,022.6 2,034.2 2,058.0 2,022.9 1,957.9 1,878.0 1,778.6 LV 2,269.1 2,247.3 2,151.4 2,032.6 1,912.7 1,803.5 1,682.4 LT 3,365.4 3,337.0 3,219.8 3,083.0 2,912.1 2,736.9 2,547.7 IE 4,414.8 4,614.2 5,404.2 5,881.3 6,220.5 6,530.6 6,752.1 FI 5,299.8 5,337.5 5,500.9 5,569.4 5,520.9 5,448.4 5,401.8 SK 5,398.8 5,407.5 5,432.3 5,332.1 5,115.4 4,859.1 4,547.3 DK 5,475.8 5,512.3 5,661.1 5,807.5 5,881.8 5,895.1 5,920.1 BG 7,642.2 7,564.3 7,187.7 6,752.6 6,329.7 5,923.4 5,484.7 AT 8,334.3 8,404.9 8,723.4 8,988.1 9,122.4 9,127.5 9,037.3 SE 9,182.9 9,305.6 9,853.0 10,270.2 10,470.4 10,671.5 10,875.0 HU 10,045.4 10,023.5 9,893.0 9,651.2 9,352.2 9,061.1 8,716.7 CZ 10,345.9 10,394.1 10,543.4 10,420.2 10,158.5 9,891.9 9,513.8 PT 10,617.4 10,723.2 11,108.2 11,317.3 1 1,452.2 11,448.6 1 1,264.8 BE 10,656.2 10,783.7 11,321.7 11,744.7 12,032.9 12,193.9 12,294.8 GR 11,216.7 11,306.8 11,555.8 11,573.1 11,567.2 1 1,445.3 11,117.9 NL 16,404.3 16,503.5 16,895.7 17,207.7 17,226.2 16,909.5 16,596.2 RO 21,423.4 21,333.8 20,833.8 20,049.1 19,160.7 18,149.2 16,921.4 PL 38,115.6 38,092.2 37,959.8 36,975.0 35,218.9 33,274.7 31,139.0 ES 45,283.3 46,673.4 51,108.6 52,660.7 53,289.9 53,229.0 51,912.6 IT 59,529.0 60,017.3 61,421.0 61,868.2 62,002.0 61,239.9 59,389.6 UK 61,270.3 61,984.0 65,683.1 69,224.1 72,009.3 74,505.8 76,676.7 FX 61,875.8 62,582.7 65,606.6 67,982.0 69,898.3 71,044.5 71,799.6 DE 82,179.1 82,144.9 81,471.6 80,151.6 77,820.8 74,491.4 70,759.3 NO 4,737.2 4,816.2 5,178.0 5,506.5 5,734.6 5,897.5 6,036.8 CH 7,591.4 7,694.8 8,192.2 8,631.2 8,923.7 9,096.3 9,193.1 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population Table 37: Population in 0001, 0-14 years, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) 000 Countries 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 77,543.7 77,624.5 78,898.1 75,533.4 72,610.4 72,413.7 70,952.3 MT 66.8 64.5 62.3 60.3 54.0 52.1 51.3 LU 87.7 88.7 93.3 102.4 109.5 112.9 118.2 CY 139.3 140.0 166.5 178.3 176.3 188.6 197.8 EE 198.6 200.9 221.6 191.2 168.0 171.0 158.4 SI 280.9 281.7 291.6 258.5 236.0 239.9 227.6 LV 310.7 306.8 329.2 277.4 232.0 227.6 206.5 LT 516.0 491.6 476.0 434.3 353.3 335.2 316.1 SK 850.4 821.0 793.6 685.9 578.9 550.7 506.3 FI 894.4 884.8 914.5 909.2 862.7 854.6 850.2 IE 900.5 953.9 1,138.9 1,112.6 1,080.7 1,142.4 1,145.2 DK 1,009.9 997.7 947.7 980.3 1,000.7 959.7 962.7 BG 1,024.4 1,018.3 1,024.5 849.0 761.8 730.9 655.9 AT 1,275.7 1,255.1 1,249.1 1,268.0 1,242.1 1,235.2 1,246.2 CZ 1,476.8 1,466.4 1,548.3 1,333.9 1,224.2 1,247.2 1,167.1 HU 1,508.3 1,485.7 1,464.5 1,311.7 1,196.0 1,169.9 1,104.8 SE 1,541.7 1,537.5 1,718.1 1,777.2 1,699.8 1,739.3 1,789.0 EL 1,601.5 1,620.6 1,661.1 1,502.2 1,472.7 1,500.8 1,438.1 PT 1,628.5 1,641.9 1,605.3 1,500.9 1,489.3 1,488.5 1,441.7 BE 1,801.5 1,810.9 1,895.5 1,912.2 1,895.4 1,916.2 1,922.8 NL 2,934.5 2,889.5 2,649.1 2,694.7 2,686.8 2,524.8 2,486.7 RO 3,259.7 3,221.6 3,057.0 2,596.8 2,270.2 2,142.5 1,941.5 PL 5,900.9 5,705.5 5,606.5 4,851.6 4,011.9 3,848.7 3,538.4 ES 6,619.5 7,007.8 7,924.2 7,041.1 6,775.9 7,018.6 6,703.6 IT 8,347.5 8,411.7 8,216.7 7,570.5 7,557.1 7,534.7 7,214.1 UK 10,743.9 10,752.4 1 1,646.9 12,187.6 12,068.5 12,360.0 12,698.8 DE 11,283.8 11,043.8 10,264.1 10,149.2 9,491.8 9,015.4 8,890.3 FX 1 1,340.2 1 1,524.3 11,932.1 11,796.4 11,914.9 12,106.4 11,973.1 NO 907.4 908.7 932.2 978.5 985.6 986.4 1,008.9 CH 1,176.2 1,169.2 1,206.0 1,264.1 1,260.5 1,272.1 1,310.6 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population Table 38: Population in 0001, 15-64 years, EUR0P0P2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) 000 Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 333,248.5 334,987.4 331,887.3 321,943.6 307,847.7 294,442.3 283,292.6 MT 286.9 288.0 277.9 266.9 261.4 242.2 222.2 LU 326.2 334.9 368.4 385.5 401.5 423.9 441.1 CY 556.8 576.9 644.5 701.3 757.8 772.2 777.0 EE 910.3 905.8 843.3 800.6 758.0 686.5 626.1 SI 1,416.5 1,414.4 1,346.2 1,252.8 1,152.6 1,027.7 956.2 LV 1,566.5 1,550.3 1,422.7 1,304.4 1,194.3 1,042.4 897.5 LT 2,316.3 2,310.0 2,178.0 1,966.1 1,791.7 1,589.2 1,347.2 IE 3,021.5 3,137.3 3,547.7 3,826.3 3,935.7 3,837.8 3,905.4 FI 3,530.0 3,542.2 3,353.8 3,238.8 3,211.3 3,133.2 3,048.6 DK 3,612.8 3,612.2 3,574.9 3,501.8 3,420.7 3,492.6 3,474.9 SK 3,901.4 3,921.8 3,745.6 3,511.8 3,240.8 2,771.4 2,398.3 BG 5,294.8 5,224.6 4,701.2 4,331.9 3,878.0 3,340.6 2,952.6 AT 5,627.5 5,674.2 5,785.8 5,590.7 5,396.4 5,321.5 5,171.7 SE 6,032.8 6,077.8 6,084.7 6,179.9 6,229.9 6,294.3 6,193.1 HU 6,912.6 6,873.0 6,468.1 6,220.8 5,821.5 5,232.0 4,828.8 BE 7,038.5 7,116.3 7,217.7 7,146.8 7,125.7 7,143.9 7,112.0 PT 7,139.0 7,174.2 7,272.8 7,184.7 6,890.4 6,511.6 6,347.4 CZ 7,354.5 7,327.8 6,862.9 6,695.5 6,260.5 5,584.2 5,171.3 GR 7,525.2 7,554.4 7,453.4 7,272.8 6,809.3 6,334.7 6,160.8 NL 11,055.1 1 1,084.6 10,900.7 10,366.4 9,906.5 9,878.6 9,586.7 RO 14,968.7 14,926.6 14,145.5 13,392.1 12,000.5 10,394.0 9,063.8 PL 27,083.4 27,220.3 25,436.3 23,623.8 22,086.7 18,900.4 16,334.8 ES 31,143.4 31,877.5 33,892.0 33,964.2 31,773.9 29,119.9 28,420.8 IT 39,229.8 39,397.5 39,273.2 38,118.0 35,337.0 33,726.9 32,748.5 FX 40,323.5 40,584.5 40,426.1 40,415.2 40,267.7 40,736.9 41,202.4 UK 40,659.8 41,076.4 42,024.8 42,811.5 43,777.8 45,046.7 45,011.5 DE 54,414.8 54,204.1 52,639.0 47,873.0 44,160.2 41,857.0 38,891.9 NO 3,136.5 3,183.6 3,308.8 3,371.0 3,386.3 3,472.4 3,493.6 CH 5,169.5 5,222.8 5,376.9 5,349.2 5,331.4 5,368.6 5,307.8 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population Table 39: Population in 0001, 65+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) 000 Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 84,601.9 86,777.5 103,052.2 122,465.1 139,644.4 148,447.5 151,473.6 MT 56.8 61.0 86.8 104.5 109.0 120.5 131.3 LU 68.3 70.5 89.3 118.7 145.8 160.3 172.4 CY 98.5 103.8 143.5 192.4 233.1 290.7 345.5 EE 229.7 226.6 246.1 275.6 295.4 324.0 347.8 SI 325.3 338.2 420.2 511.5 569.4 610.4 594.7 LV 391.9 390.2 399.5 450.9 486.3 533.5 578.5 IE 492.7 522.9 717.6 942.5 1,204.2 1,550.4 1,701.5 LT 533.1 535.5 565.9 682.5 767.1 812.5 884.5 SK 647.0 664.7 893.1 1,134.4 1,295.8 1,537.1 1,642.7 DK 853.0 902.4 1,138.5 1,325.4 1,460.4 1,442.7 1,482.5 FI 875.4 910.5 1,232.6 1,421.4 1,446.9 1,460.5 1,503.0 BG 1,323.1 1,321.4 1,462.1 1,571.8 1,689.9 1,851.9 1,876.1 AT 1,431.1 1,475.6 1,688.5 2,129.5 2,484.0 2,570.8 2,619.4 CZ 1,514.6 1,599.9 2,132.2 2,390.8 2,673.8 3,060.5 3,175.4 SE 1,608.4 1,690.3 2,050.1 2,313.1 2,540.7 2,637.9 2,892.9 HU 1,624.5 1,664.8 1,960.4 2,118.7 2,334.7 2,659.2 2,783.1 BE 1,816.2 1,856.5 2,208.6 2,685.6 3,011.7 3,133.9 3,260.0 PT 1,849.9 1,907.1 2,230.0 2,631.7 3,072.5 3,448.5 3,475.7 GR 2,090.1 2,131.7 2,441.3 2,798.2 3,285.2 3,609.8 3,519.0 NL 2,414.8 2,529.3 3,345.9 4,146.5 4,632.9 4,506.1 4,522.8 RO 3,194.9 3,185.6 3,631.3 4,060.2 4,890.0 5,612.7 5,916.2 PL 5,131.4 5,166.3 6,917.0 8,499.6 9,120.3 10,525.6 11,265.7 ES 7,520.3 7,788.2 9,292.4 11,655.4 14,740.1 17,090.5 16,788.3 UK 9,866.7 10,155.2 12,011.4 14,225.0 16,163.0 17,099.1 18,966.4 FX 10,212.2 10,473.9 13,248.4 15,770.4 17,715.7 18,201.2 18,624.1 IT 11,951.6 12,208.2 13,931.0 16,179.7 19,107.9 19,978.3 19,426.9 DE 16,480.5 16,897.0 18,568.4 22,129.4 24,168.7 23,619.0 22,977.1 NO 693.3 723.8 937.0 1,156.9 1,362.8 1,438.6 1,534.3 CH 1,245.7 1,302.7 1,609.4 2,017.9 2,331.7 2,455.7 2,574.7 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population Table 40: Population in 0001, total, 80+, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) 000 Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 21,826.5 23,254.7 29,281.1 36,022.3 46,085.2 56,640.0 61,352.0 MT 13.0 13.7 19.4 30.5 39.6 40.9 47.9 LU 16.8 18.6 23.7 30.3 44.0 59.9 65.2 CY 22.1 23.1 32.5 49.0 71.1 90.9 113.9 EE 48.6 53.0 68.4 74.5 95.4 106.8 121.6 SI 71.2 79.6 111.3 135.1 193.3 224.6 246.4 LV 80.9 88.2 112.4 120.4 151.5 178.3 200.1 LT 110.2 121.5 158.0 172.6 228.5 291.9 305.5 IE 122.2 129.7 169.2 250.7 353.3 474.2 647.1 SK 139.7 147.8 175.6 252.9 397.7 454.0 599.6 DK 225.0 226.9 265.5 410.6 478.4 573.7 594.3 FI 229.1 247.6 310.5 455.5 559.2 586.7 583.1 BG 272.5 286.0 328.2 411.8 504.6 568.7 703.8 CZ 348.9 372.7 432.0 691.6 853.7 921.4 1,274.2 HU 372.3 394.5 470.3 598.5 786.1 826.7 1,100.9 AT 384.3 398.3 453.2 601.5 764.9 1,045.2 1,026.0 PT 446.6 480.7 643.8 766.5 967.2 1,197.4 1,440.3 GR 459.6 516.4 749.2 822.3 1,031.9 1,286.8 1,497.5 SE 491.0 495.2 532.6 783.0 878.7 1,016.6 1,092.3 BE 498.6 529.5 631.6 757.9 1,009.6 1,214.2 1,259.9 RO 595.8 647.2 877.3 988.2 1,425.0 1,710.5 2,215.8 NL 615.4 643.5 796.8 1,192.8 1,543.6 1,874.5 1,806.1 PL 1,140.2 1,261.9 1,655.4 2,095.9 3,322.2 3,349.5 4,072.4 ES 2,082.0 2,238.9 2,770.0 3,358.6 4,426.9 6,001.9 7,517.5 UK 2,767.9 2,854.6 3,265.3 4,339.2 5,230.9 6,650.3 6,879.0 FX 3,107.8 3,322.9 3,954.7 4,971.2 6,531.4 7,450.1 7,748.2 IT 3,273.7 3,509.1 4,496.3 5,262.8 6,189.7 8,026.7 8,853.7 DE 3,891.0 4,153.5 5,777.8 6,398.1 8,006.9 10,417.6 9,339.7 NO 218.6 220.8 227.9 345.4 448.2 548.2 601.7 CH 354.8 368.0 439.9 606.1 773.8 996.4 1,019.7 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Age dependency ratio Table 41: Young age dependency ratio1, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 0.2326903 0.2317236 0.2377256 0.2346167 0.2358645 0.2459351 0.2504560 BG 0.1934669 0.1948940 0.2179249 0.1959943 0.1964372 0.2187873 0.2221534 SI 0.1982869 0.1991285 0.2165939 0.2063391 0.2047169 0.2334424 0.2380702 LV 0.1983511 0.1978849 0.2314149 0.2126587 0.1942528 0.2183730 0.2300757 CZ 0.2008064 0.2001104 0.2255996 0.1992286 0.1955384 0.2233416 0.2256905 DE 0.2073671 0.2037446 0.1949909 0.2120031 0.2149412 0.2153849 0.2285901 ES 0.2125501 0.2198344 0.2338060 0.2073084 0.2132528 0.2410227 0.2358683 IT 0.2127852 0.2135076 0.2092191 0.1986072 0.2138581 0.2234022 0.2202875 EL 0.2128140 0.2145281 0.2228619 0.2065521 0.2162806 0.2369198 0.2334366 RO 0.2177692 0.2158271 0.2161120 0.1939052 0.1891758 0.2061272 0.2141977 PL 0.2178781 0.2096057 0.2204116 0.2053692 0.1816441 0.2036305 0.2166178 SK 0.2179703 0.2093458 0.2118654 0.1952998 0.1786170 0.1987053 0.2110974 EE 0.2181112 0.2217820 0.2627693 0.2387905 0.2216265 0.2491117 0.2529139 HU 0.2181990 0.2161680 0.2264225 0.2108635 0.2054441 0.2236105 0.2288007 LT 0.2227761 0.2127995 0.2185242 0.2209052 0.1972106 0.2109047 0.2346091 AT 0.2266898 0.2211931 0.2158819 0.2267991 0.2301690 0.2321138 0.2409720 PT 0.2281188 0.2288646 0.2207277 0.2089053 0.2161349 0.2285914 0.2271359 MT 0.2329500 0.2239741 0.2240572 0.2257554 0.2065069 0.2151741 0.2307104 CY 0.2502164 0.2426804 0.2584159 0.2542627 0.2326695 0.2442344 0.2546146 FI 0.2533820 0.2497871 0.2726820 0.2807030 0.2686485 0.2727598 0.2788712 SE 0.2555593 0.2529607 0.2823697 0.2875712 0.2728401 0.2763254 0.2888671 BE 0.2559475 0.2544734 0.2626119 0.2675662 0.2659917 0.2682224 0.2703526 UK 0.2642380 0.2617664 0.2771442 0.2846800 0.2756764 0.2743807 0.2821240 NL 0.2654404 0.2606801 0.2430186 0.2599487 0.2712128 0.2555832 0.2593904 LU 0.2688494 0.2650347 0.2533364 0.2657029 0.2727943 0.2664281 0.2680261 DK 0.2795360 0.2762026 0.2651000 0.2799344 0.2925478 0.2747919 0.2770385 FX 0.2812299 0.2839594 0.2951593 0.2918811 0.2958931 0.2971850 0.2905926 IE 0.2980351 0.3040604 0.3210268 0.2907615 0.2745782 0.2976748 0.2932291 CH 0.2275238 0.2238715 0.2242880 0.2363126 0.2364355 0.2369587 0.2469127 NO 0.2892973 0.2854397 0.2817366 0.2902684 0.2910547 0.2840784 0.2887811 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Age dependency ratio Table 42: Old age dependency ratio1, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 0.2538703 0.2590470 0.3105037 0.3803931 0.4536153 0.5041652 0.5346897 IE 0.1630735 0.1666816 0.2022770 0.2463072 0.3059726 0.4039706 0.4356810 SK 0.1658440 0.1694872 0.2384534 0.3230161 0.3998345 0.5546302 0.6849371 CY 0.1768699 0.1799930 0.2226205 0.2743593 0.3075686 0.3765029 0.4446695 PL 0.1894658 0.1897974 0.2719347 0.3597909 0.4129323 0.5568965 0.6896755 MT 0.1979385 0.2118808 0.3124683 0.3913636 0.4171041 0.4976503 0.5907473 CZ 0.2059409 0.2183322 0.3106843 0.3570746 0.4270941 0.5480529 0.6140457 LU 0.2092076 0.2106744 0.2423005 0.3079699 0.3630997 0.3781661 0.3909589 RO 0.2134382 0.2134189 0.2567100 0.3031786 0.4074807 0.5399979 0.6527217 NL 0.2184304 0.2281812 0.3069474 0.3999988 0.4676663 0.4561458 0.4717777 SI 0.2296722 0.2390743 0.3121491 0.4083017 0.4939772 0.5939936 0.6219298 LT 0.2301694 0.2318102 0.2598019 0.3471327 0.4281308 0.5112926 0.6565439 HU 0.2350008 0.2422233 0.3030906 0.3405851 0.4010561 0.5082514 0.5763559 DK 0.2361 142 0.2498285 0.3184716 0.3784962 0.4269180 0.4130686 0.4266397 ES 0.2414735 0.2443154 0.2741755 0.3431657 0.4639049 0.5868996 0.5907066 UK 0.2426643 0.2472270 0.2858169 0.3322703 0.3692044 0.3795862 0.4213671 FI 0.2479775 0.2570487 0.3675292 0.4388618 0.4505685 0.4661259 0.4930250 BG 0.2498831 0.2529184 0.3110015 0.3628342 0.4357646 0.5543768 0.6353956 LV 0.2502083 0.2516940 0.2808300 0.3456564 0.4071952 0.5118267 0.6445265 EE 0.2523433 0.2501438 0.2917685 0.3441816 0.3896485 0.4719448 0.5555082 FX 0.2532555 0.2580755 0.3277189 0.3902094 0.4399478 0.4467977 0.4520160 AT 0.2543014 0.2600643 0.2918271 0.3808902 0.4603016 0.4830940 0.5064839 BE 0.2580313 0.2608855 0.3059974 0.3757821 0.4226545 0.4386746 0.4583824 PT 0.2591232 0.2658336 0.3066276 0.3662914 0.4459141 0.5296003 0.5475823 SE 0.2666122 0.2781164 0.3369293 0.3742850 0.4078225 0.4190964 0.4671174 EL 0.2777482 0.2821844 0.3275463 0.3847495 0.4824603 0.5698563 0.5711975 DE 0.3028688 0.3117288 0.3527504 0.4622516 0.5472974 0.5642779 0.5907947 IT 0.3046566 0.3098718 0.3547210 0.4244634 0.5407340 0.5923545 0.5932152 NO 0.2210461 0.2273436 0.2831743 0.3431939 0.4024454 0.4143005 0.4391608 CH 0.2409783 0.2494281 0.2993135 0.3772377 0.4373510 0.4574136 0.4850823 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Age dependency ratio Table 43: Age dependency ratio1, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 0.4865606 0.4907707 0.5482293 0.6150098 0.6894798 0.7501003 0.7851458 SK 0.3838143 0.3788331 0.4503189 0.5183159 0.5784515 0.7533355 0.8960345 CZ 0.4067473 0.4184426 0.5362840 0.5563032 0.6226325 0.7713945 0.8397363 PL 0.4073440 0.3994031 0.4923463 0.5651601 0.5945764 0.7605270 0.9062933 CY 0.4270864 0.4226734 0.4810363 0.5286219 0.5402380 0.6207373 0.6992842 SI 0.4279590 0.4382029 0.5287430 0.6146408 0.6986941 0.8274360 0.8600001 MT 0.4308885 0.4358549 0.5365255 0.6171191 0.6236111 0.7128245 0.8214577 RO 0.4312074 0.4292460 0.4728220 0.4970838 0.5966565 0.7461251 0.8669194 BG 0.4433501 0.4478124 0.5289264 0.5588285 0.6322019 0.7731641 0.8575490 LV 0.4485593 0.4495790 0.5122448 0.5583151 0.6014480 0.7301998 0.8746022 LT 0.4529454 0.4446097 0.4783260 0.5680379 0.6253414 0.7221973 0.8911529 HU 0.4531998 0.4583912 0.5295131 0.5514486 0.6065002 0.7318619 0.8051566 ES 0.4540236 0.4641498 0.5079814 0.5504740 0.6771577 0.8279223 0.8265749 IE 0.4611086 0.4707421 0.5233038 0.5370687 0.5805508 0.7016454 0.7289101 EE 0.4704545 0.4719258 0.5545378 0.5829722 0.6112750 0.7210566 0.8084221 LU 0.4780570 0.4757091 0.4956370 0.5736728 0.6358940 0.6445943 0.6589851 AT 0.4809911 0.4812574 0.5077090 0.6076893 0.6904706 0.7152078 0.7474559 NL 0.4838708 0.4888614 0.5499660 0.6599476 0.7388791 0.7117290 0.7311681 PT 0.4872420 0.4946982 0.5273553 0.5751966 0.6620490 0.7581917 0.7747183 EL 0.4905621 0.4967125 0.5504081 0.5913016 0.6987408 0.8067761 0.8046341 FI 0.5013595 0.5068358 0.6402112 0.7195647 0.7192171 0.7388857 0.7718963 UK 0.5069023 0.5089933 0.5629610 0.6169503 0.6448808 0.6539669 0.7034911 DE 0.5102359 0.5154735 0.5477413 0.6742547 0.7622386 0.7796629 0.8193849 BE 0.5139787 0.5153589 0.5686094 0.6433483 0.6886462 0.7068970 0.7287350 DK 0.5156502 0.5260311 0.5835716 0.6584306 0.7194658 0.6878605 0.7036782 IT 0.5174418 0.5233793 0.5639400 0.6230706 0.7545921 0.8157567 0.8135027 SE 0.5221714 0.5310771 0.6192990 0.6618562 0.6806626 0.6954218 0.7559846 FX 0.5344854 0.5420349 0.6228781 0.6820905 0.7358410 0.7439827 0.7426087 CH 0.4685020 0.4732995 0.5236015 0.6135503 0.6737865 0.6943724 0.7319950 NO 0.5103434 0.5127833 0.5649109 0.6334623 0.6935002 0.6983789 0.7279419 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population, shares Table 44: Population1, 0-14 years, shares, EUR0P0P2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Countries 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 15.7 15.5 15.4 14.5 14.0 14.1 14.0 BG 13.4 13.5 14.3 12.6 12.0 12.3 12.0 LV 13.7 13.7 15.3 13.6 12.1 12.6 12.3 DE 13.7 13.4 12.6 12.7 12.2 12.1 12.6 SI 13.9 13.8 14.2 12.8 12.1 12.8 12.8 IT 14.0 14.0 13.4 12.2 12.2 12.3 12.1 CZ 14.3 14.1 14.7 12.8 12.1 12.6 12.3 GR 14.3 14.3 14.4 13.0 12.7 13.1 12.9 ES 14.6 15.0 15.5 13.4 12.7 13.2 12.9 EE 14.8 15.1 16.9 15.1 13.8 14.5 14.0 HU 15.0 14.8 14.8 13.6 12.8 12.9 12.7 RO 15.2 15.1 14.7 13.0 11.8 11.8 11.5 AT 15.3 14.9 14.3 14.1 13.6 13.5 13.8 LT 15.3 14.7 14.8 14.1 12.1 12.2 12.4 PT 15.3 15.3 14.5 13.3 13.0 13.0 12.8 PL 15.5 15.0 14.8 13.1 11.4 11.6 11.4 SK 15.8 15.2 14.6 12.9 11.3 11.3 11.1 MT 16.3 15.6 14.6 14.0 12.7 12.6 12.7 SE 16.8 16.5 17.4 17.3 16.2 16.3 16.5 FI 16.9 16.6 16.6 16.3 15.6 15.7 15.7 BE 16.9 16.8 16.7 16.3 15.8 15.7 15.6 CY 17.5 17.1 17.4 16.6 15.1 15.1 15.0 UK 17.5 17.3 17.7 17.6 16.8 16.6 16.6 NL 17.9 17.5 15.7 15.7 15.6 14.9 15.0 LU 18.2 18.0 16.9 16.9 16.7 16.2 16.2 FX 18.3 18.4 18.2 17.4 17.0 17.0 16.7 DK 18.4 18.1 16.7 16.9 17.0 16.3 16.3 IE 20.4 20.7 21.1 18.9 17.4 17.5 17.0 CH 15.5 15.2 14.7 14.6 14.1 14.0 14.3 NO 19.2 18.9 18.0 17.8 17.2 16.7 16.7 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario 11 Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. % TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population, shares Table 45: Population1, 65+, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) Countries 2008 2010 2020 Projection years 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 17.1 17.4 20.1 23.6 26.8 28.8 30.0 IE 11.2 11.3 13.3 16.0 19.4 23.7 25.2 SK 12.0 12.3 16.4 21.3 25.3 31.6 36.1 CY 12.4 12.7 15.0 17.9 20.0 23.2 26.2 PL 13.5 13.6 18.2 23.0 25.9 31.6 36.2 MT 13.8 14.8 20.3 24.2 25.7 29.1 32.4 LU 14.2 14.3 16.2 19.6 22.2 23.0 23.6 CZ 14.6 15.4 20.2 22.9 26.3 30.9 33.4 NL 14.7 15.3 19.8 24.1 26.9 26.6 27.3 RO 14.9 14.9 17.4 20.3 25.5 30.9 35.0 DK 15.6 16.4 20.1 22.8 24.8 24.5 25.0 LT 15.8 16.0 17.6 22.1 26.3 29.7 34.7 SI 16.1 16.6 20.4 25.3 29.1 32.5 33.4 UK 16.1 16.4 18.3 20.5 22.4 23.0 24.7 HU 16.2 16.6 19.8 22.0 25.0 29.3 31.9 FX 16.5 16.7 20.2 23.2 25.3 25.6 25.9 FI 16.5 17.1 22.4 25.5 26.2 26.8 27.8 ES 16.6 16.7 18.2 22.1 27.7 32.1 32.3 BE 17.0 17.2 19.5 22.9 25.0 25.7 26.5 EE 17.2 17.0 18.8 21.7 24.2 27.4 30.7 AT 17.2 17.6 19.4 23.7 27.2 28.2 29.0 LV 17.3 17.4 18.6 22.2 25.4 29.6 34.4 BG 17.3 17.5 20.3 23.3 26.7 31.3 34.2 PT 17.4 17.8 20.1 23.3 26.8 30.1 30.9 SE 17.5 18.2 20.8 22.5 24.3 24.7 26.6 GR 18.6 18.9 21.1 24.2 28.4 31.5 31.7 DE 20.1 20.6 22.8 27.6 31.1 31.7 32.5 IT 20.1 20.3 22.7 26.2 30.8 32.6 32.7 NO 14.6 15.0 18.1 21.0 23.8 24.4 25.4 CH 16.4 16.9 19.6 23.4 26.1 27.0 28.0 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. % TABLES FOR EU-27 MEMBER STATES, Population, shares Table 46: Population1, 80+, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 Member States, Norway and Switzerland, selected years (2008, 2010, 2020, 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2060) % Projection years Countries 2008 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EU-27 4.4 4.7 5.7 6.9 8.9 11.0 12.1 SK 2.6 2.7 3.2 4.7 7.8 9.3 13.2 IE 2.8 2.8 3.1 4.3 5.7 7.3 9.6 CY 2.8 2.8 3.4 4.6 6.1 7.3 8.6 RO 2.8 3.0 4.2 4.9 7.4 9.4 13.1 PL 3.0 3.3 4.4 5.7 9.4 10.1 13.1 MT 3.2 3.3 4.5 7.1 9.3 9.9 11.8 LT 3.3 3.6 4.9 5.6 7.8 10.7 12.0 CZ 3.4 3.6 4.1 6.6 8.4 9.3 13.4 LU 3.5 3.8 4.3 5.0 6.7 8.6 8.9 SI 3.5 3.9 5.4 6.7 9.9 12.0 13.9 LV 3.6 3.9 5.2 5.9 7.9 9.9 11.9 BG 3.6 3.8 4.6 6.1 8.0 9.6 12.8 EE 3.6 4.0 5.2 5.9 7.8 9.0 10.7 HU 3.7 3.9 4.8 6.2 8.4 9.1 12.6 NL 3.8 3.9 4.7 6.9 9.0 11.1 10.9 GR 4.1 4.6 6.5 7.1 8.9 11.2 13.5 DK 4.1 4.1 4.7 7.1 8.1 9.7 10.0 PT 4.2 4.5 5.8 6.8 8.4 10.5 12.8 FI 4.3 4.6 5.6 8.2 10.1 10.8 10.8 UK 4.5 4.6 5.0 6.3 7.3 8.9 9.0 ES 4.6 4.8 5.4 6.4 8.3 11.3 14.5 AT 4.6 4.7 5.2 6.7 8.4 11.5 11.4 BE 4.7 4.9 5.6 6.5 8.4 10.0 10.2 DE 4.7 5.1 7.1 8.0 10.3 14.0 13.2 FX 5.0 5.3 6.0 7.3 9.3 10.5 10.8 SE 5.3 5.3 5.4 7.6 8.4 9.5 10.0 IT 5.5 5.8 7.3 8.5 10.0 13.1 14.9 NO 4.6 4.6 4.4 6.3 7.8 9.3 10.0 CH 4.7 4.8 5.4 7.0 8.7 11.0 11.1 Source: Eurostat, EURQPQP2008, convergence scenario 11 Data for EU-27 Member States are ranked by increasing value for 2008. CHARTS FOR SLOVENIA, Age structure (Slovenia, EU-27] Chart 46: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 EU-27 □ SI EU-27 □ SI Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Chart 47: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 and Slovenia, 2060 2 % EU-27 □ SI EU-27 □ SI Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS 2 % CHARTS FOR SLOVENIA, Age structure (Slovenia, EU-27) Chart 48: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low variant, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 2 % 2008 □ 2060 2008 □ 2060 Source: SORS, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Chart 49: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 2008 □ 2060 2008 □ 2060 Sources: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario 2 % CHARTS FOR SLOVENIA, Age structure (Slovenia, EU-27] Chart 50: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, high variant, Slovenia, 2008 and 2060 2 % 1.5 1.5 2008 □ 2060 2008 □ 2060 Source: SORS, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario Chart 51: Age structure of the population by sex, shares, EUROPOP2008 population projection, baseline variant, EU-27 and Slovenia, 2060 1.6 % low ^ baseline I I high 0.4 0.8 low I I baseline high Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario CHARTS FOR SLOVENIA, Population Chart 52: Population by sex, total, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2008-2060 number (000) 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS Chart 53: Population by sex, men, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2008-2060 number (000) 1500 1300 1100 900 700 500 o«-*-*-»-»-f>i(MfNf>icNrommmm*i,<3 OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOuuuuuuuuu NNrMN(MIMN(M(MN(MmiSI\N[MI\NNNNNNNNNN projection years low — baseline - high Source: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS CHARTS FOR SLOVENIA, Population Chart 54: Population by sex, women, EUROPOP2008 population projection, low, baseline and high variants, Slovenia, 2008-2060 number (000) 1500 1300 1100 900 700 500 uuuwuOOQOOOOOOOOOOOO MfMINMfMINMINNNMNMrgiNNNMMM projection years low — baseline - high Vira: Eurostat, EUROPOP2008, convergence scenario and SORS DEFINITIONS1 OF SOME CONCEPTS USED Gross reproduction rate for a given calendar year is the average number of live-born girls which a generation of women in their reproductive age (15-49) would give birth to if their age-specific fertility rates remained equal to those in the observed year. It is calculated by multiplying all values of age-specific fertility rates in the calendar year by the number of living according to mortality tables for age groups of women aged 15-49 and adding them. The gross fertility rate is thus slightly lower than the total fertility rate. Total fertility rate is the average number of live-born children per woman in her reproductive age (15-49). For the calendar year it means the average number of children borne per woman in her reproductive age (15-49) if age-specific fertility rates remained the same as in the observed year. It is calculated by adding all values of age-specific fertility rates in the calendar year. Ageing index is the ratio between the old population (aged 65 years and over) and the young population (aged 0-14 years), multiplied by 100. The lower the ageing index the more favourable the age structure of the population. A normal ageing index ranges between 40 and 50. The sex ratio for children born in the calendar year is the ratio between the number of newborn boys and girls per 1,000 children multiplied by 1,000. Whereas the differences in fertility are very large among countries, the differences in the sex ratio are very small. In population projections the coefficient of 0.517 was used. Young age dependency ratio (the burden of working age population with dependent young people) is the number of people aged 0-14 compared to the number of working age population (aged 15-64) in a country or a territorial unit. Old age dependency ratio (the burden of working age population with dependent old people) is the number of people aged 65+ compared to the number of working age population (aged 15-64) in a country or a territorial unit. Total age dependency ratio (the burden of working age population with dependent young and old people) is the number of people aged 0-14 and 65+ compared to the number of working age population (aged 15-64) in a country or a territorial unit. International migration is spatial movement where previous or next residence of the migrant is abroad. Natural increase is the difference between the number of live births and the number of deaths for a given area in the calendar year. Natural increase per 1000 population is the ratio between the natural increase in the calendar year and the same midyear population for a given area, multiplied by 1000. Net reproduction rate for a given calendar year is the average number of live-born girls which a generation of women in their reproductive age (15-49 years) would give birth to if their age-specific fertility and mortality rates remained equal to that in the observed year. It is calculated by multiplying the gross fertility rate by 0.483 to get the figure for girls. Normally 517 boys and 483 girls are born per 1,000 newborns. Definitions are taken over according to the methodology of Slovenian statistics. DEFINITIONS OF SOME CONCEPTS USED An emigrant is a person who leaves the settlement of former permanent residence with the intention to live permanently in another settlement. A person emigrating abroad is a resident of Slovenia who emigrated from Slovenia. A resident is a person with permanent, temporary or another legally determined residence in Slovenia. The definition of a resident may vary depending on the source. Residents are all people who have their permanent residence in a settlement, meaning that they live there permanently, irrespective of whether they are temporarily absent at the time of the statistical observation. Life expectancy is the average number of years to be lived by a person, aged exactly x years, if the mortality by age during his/her lifetime remains the same as the values of the life tables for the observed year. An immigrant is a person who immigrated to a settlement with the intention to live there permanently. An immigrant from abroad is a resident of Slovenia who immigrated from abroad and registered his/her residence in Slovenia. Population projection - the expression denotes the calculation of the probable future number and structure of population in a certain area by various characteristics based on hypotheses of the future development of fertility, mortality and migration. Migration is spatial movement of a migrant from a settlement in Slovenia to a settlement in some other country (when the observation unit is the Republic of Slovenia). Net migration between municipalities is the difference between the number of immigrants from other municipalities and the number of emigrants to other municipalities of Slovenia in the calendar year. Net international migration is the difference between the number of immigrants from abroad and the number of people emigrating abroad for a given area in the calendar year. Migrant is a person who migrates. Total increase is the sum of natural increase and net migration for a given area in the calendar year. Total increase per 1000 population is the ratio between the total increase in the calendar year and the same midyear population for a given area, multiplied by 1000. General fertility rate is the ratio between the number of live-born children in the calendar year and the same midyear population of women in reproductive age (15-49), multiplied by 1000. Permanent residence is a settlement in which a person settled with the intention of living there permanently and confirmed that with the appropriate administrative procedure. Death is permanent disappearance of all evidence of life of a person at any time after he/she was live-born. Age is the period of time a person has lived from his/her birth to the moment of observation (census, survey) or until the observed event (marriage, birth of the first child, employment, death, etc.). It is usually measured in years, but can also be measured in months, days or even hours. It is determined in two ways: by completed years of age and by the year of birth. The two breakdowns are the same only at the beginning (1 January) and the end (31 December) of each calendar year. If not specified, age is shown in completed years of age. DEFINITIONS OF SOME CONCEPTS USED Age-specific fertility rate is the number of live births to mothers in a given age group per 1,000 women in that age group in a given year. Age-specific mortality rate is the number of deaths in a given age group per 1,000 population in that age group in a given year. Number of deaths per 1,000 population is the number of deaths per 1,000 population in a given year. A dead person is one whose evidence of life permanently disappeared any time after he/ she was live-born. A live-born is a child who immediately after birth showed signs of life (breathing, heartbeat, muscle twitch), even though only for a short period. The duration of pregnancy is not important. Live births per 1,000 population is the number of live births per 1,000 population in a given year. STATISTICAL SIGNS AND ABBREVIATIONS 0-14 population aged 0-14 0-19 population aged 0-19 15-64 population aged 15-64 65+ population aged 65 and over 75+ population aged 75 and over 80+ population aged 80 and over 85+ population aged 85 and over 100+ population aged 100 and over ECOFIN Council of Economy and Finance Ministers of EU Member States and one of the nine formations of the Council of the European Union EU-27 27 Member States of the EU EU-25 25 Member States of the EU EU-15 15 Member States of the EU EUROPOP2008 projection of population in EU Member States for the 2008-2060 period Eurostat Statistical Office of the European Communities OADR Old age dependency ratio YADR Young age dependency ratio OADR+YADR »total« coefficient dependency rate (old and young) Censuses Censuses of Population, Households and Housing 2002 Census Census of Population, Households and Dwellings of the Republic of Slovenia SORS Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia UN United Nations REFERENCES Eurostat, EURQPQP2008, convergence scenario, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/population/data/database (13. 5. 2009) SQRS, SI-STAT Data Portal http://www.stat.si/pxweb/Database/ Dem_soc/Dem_soc.asp (13. 5. 2009) van Imhoff, E., & Keilman, N. (1991); Lipro 2.0: An Application of a Dynamic Demographic Projection Model to Household Structure in the Netherlands: Swets & Zeitlinger Šircelj, M., Ilič, M., et al., Projekcija prebivalstva SR Slovenije 1986-2006, SURS, Ljubljana, 1991 Šircelj, M., Vertot, N., et al., Projekcija prebivalstva Slovenije za obdobje 1995-2020, SURS, Ljubljana, 1995 SQRS, E-Release, Eurostat's Population Projections for Slovenia, 2004-2050, 16. 6. 2005, http://www.stat.si/novica_prikazi.aspx?id=601 SQRS, First Release, Eurostat's Population Projections for Slovenia, 2008-2060, EURQPQP2008, convergence scenario, http://www.stat.si/novica_prikazi.aspx?id=1683 Konstantinos GIANNAKQURIS, Ageing Characterises the Demographic Perspectives of the European Societies, Statistics in Focus, 72/2008, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_QFFPUB/KS-SF-08-072/EN/KS-SF-08-072 EN.PDF (13 May 2009) LIST OF COUNTRIES: NAMES AND ABBREVIATIONS (ISO 3166) Country name Abbr. Country name Abbr. EU-27, TOTAL EU-27 Malta MT Austria AT Germany DE Belgium BE Netherlands NL Bulgaria BG Poland PL Cyprus CY Portugal PT Czech Republic CZ Romania RO Denmark DK Slovakia SK Estonia EE Slovenia SI Finland FI Spain ES France, Metropolitan FX Sweden SE Greece GR United Kingdom UK Iceland IS Italy IT Latvia LV Ireland IE Lithuania LT Norway NO Luxemburg LU Switzerland CH Hungary HU Croatia HR How to obtain statistical data and information? • on Statistical Office's website www.stat.si • via mail, phone, fax and e-mail address: Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia Vožarski pot 12, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia phone: +386 1 241 51 04 fax: +386 1 241 53 44 answering machine: +386 1 475 65 55 e-mail: info.stat@gov.si • by ordering statistical publications address: Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia Vožarski pot 12, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia phone: +386 1 241 52 84 fax: +386 1 241 53 44 e-mail: prodaja.surs@gov.si • by visiting the Information Centre office hours: Monday to Thursday from 9.00 to 15.30 Friday from 9.00 to 14.30