review Prevalence and malignancy risk of focal colorectal incidental uptake detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT: a meta-analysis Giorgio Treglia1, Silvia Taralli2, Marco Salsano3, Barbara Muoio4, Ramin Sadeghi5, Luca Giovanella1 1 Department of Nuclear Medicine and PET/CT Center, Oncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Bellinzona, Switzerland 2 Institute of Nuclear Medicine, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy 3 Institute of Radiology, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy 4 School of Medicine, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy 5 Nuclear Medicine Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran Radiol Oncol 2014; 48(2): 99-104. Received 18 December 2012 Accepted 1 May 2013 Correspondence to: Giorgio Treglia, M.D., Department of Nuclear Medicine and PET/CT Center, Oncology Institute of Southern Switzerland, Via Ospedale 12, CH-6500 Bellinzona, Switzerland. Telephone: +41918118919; Fax: +41918118250; E-mail: giorgiomednuc@libero.it Disclosure: No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed. Background. The aim of the study was to meta-analyze published data about prevalence and malignancy risk of focal colorectal incidentalomas (FCIs) detected by Fluorine-18-Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography or positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT). Methods. A comprehensive computer literature search of studies published through July 31st 2012 regarding FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT was performed. Pooled prevalence of patients with FCIs and risk of malignant or premalignant FCIs after colonoscopy or histopathology verification were calculated. Furthermore, separate calculations for geographic areas were performed. Finally, average standardized uptake values (SUV) in malignant, prema-lignant and benign FCIs were reported. Results. Thirty-two studies comprising 89,061 patients evaluated by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT were included. The pooled prevalence of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT was 3.6% (95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 2.6-4.7%). Overall, 1,044 FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT underwent colonoscopy or histopathology evaluation. Pooled risk of malignant or premalignant lesions was 68% (95% CI: 60-75%). Risk of malignant and premalignant FCIs in Asia-Oceania was lower compared to that of Europe and America. A significant overlap in average SUV was found between malignant, premalignant and benign FCIs. Conclusions. FCIs are observed in a not negligible number of patients who undergo 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT studies with a high risk of malignant or premalignant lesions. SUV is not reliable as a tool to differentiate between malignant, premalignant and benign FCIs. Further investigation is warranted whenever FCIs are detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT. Key words: PET/CT; fluorodeoxyglucose; colonic uptake; incidentaloma; focal uptake; colorectal cancer Introduction Colorectal incidentalomas (CIs) are defined as unexpected colorectal findings that are discovered on an imaging study unrelated to the large bowel. CIs represent a challenge for the clinicians: some of these findings are benign but the risk of malignancy in CIs might be significant.1 As Fluorine-18-Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography or positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT) are increasingly used, especially for onco-logic patients, incidental uptake detected by these functional imaging methods are also increasing. 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT may sometimes reveal an unexpected area of increased radiopharmaceutical FIGURE 1. Flow chart of the search for eligible studies on the prevalence or malignancy risk of focal colorectal incidental uptake detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT. uptake within the large bowel in patients referred for other diseases and this finding is defined as CI.1'2 Both focal, segmental and diffuse unexpected 18F-FDG uptake in the large bowel were reported. Segmental and diffuse increased uptake of 18F-FDG in the large bowel are considered at low risk of malignancy, being more likely associated with inflammation, physiological uptake or radiopharmaceutical excretion. Conversely, unexpected focal 18F-FDG uptake in the large bowel is of greater concern since it may represent both benign, pre-malignant (i.e. colonic adenomas) or malignant lesions (i.e. primary colorectal cancer or metastatic lesions).12 Several articles have reported data about the prevalence and the malignancy risk of focal colorectal incidental uptake (FCIs) detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT with discordant results. A systematic review about this topic and a metaanalysis providing pooled estimates of prevalence and malignancy risk of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT are still lacking. Therefore, the objective of our article is to meta-analyze published data about prevalence and malignancy risk of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT, in order to derive more robust estimates in this regard. Methods Search strategy A comprehensive computer literature search of the PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus databases was conducted to find relevant published articles on the prevalence and malignancy risk of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT. We used a search algorithm that was based on a combination of the terms: "incidental" AND "PET" OR "positron emission tomography" OR "fluorodeoxyglucose" OR "FDG". No beginning date limit was used; the search was updated until July 31st, 2012. Only articles in English language were selected. To expand our search, references of the retrieved articles were also screened for additional studies. Study selection Original articles investigating both the prevalence and the malignancy risk of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT were eligible for inclusion. The exclusion criteria were: a) articles not providing information about prevalence or malignancy risk of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT; b) articles not in English language; c) overlap in patient data (in this case the most complete article was included). Three researchers independently reviewed the titles and abstracts of the retrieved articles, applying the inclusion and exclusion criteria mentioned above. Articles were rejected if they were clearly ineligible. The same three researchers then independently reviewed the full-text version of the remaining articles to determine their eligibility for inclusion. Data extraction For each included study, information was collected concerning basic study data (authors, year of publication, country), instrumentation used (PET or PET/CT), number of patients evaluated with PET or PET/CT, number of FCIs detected by PET or PET/CT, number of FCIs verified by colonoscopy or histology, final diagnosis of FCIs, average standardized uptake values (SUV) in malignant, prema-lignant and benign FCIs. Statistical analysis The prevalence of patients with FCIs who underwent PET or PET/CT was obtained from individual studies using this formula: prevalence of FCIs = number of patients with FCIs / number of patients evaluated with PET or PET/CT x100. The risk of malignant or premalignant FCIs detected by PET or PET/CT was obtained from individual studies using this formula: risk of malignant or premalignant FCIs = number of malignant or premalignant lesions found between FCIs / number of FCIs revealed by PET or PET/CT and verified by colonoscopy or histology x100. Patients with a history of colorectal cancer were excluded from the analysis. A random-effects model was used for statistical pooling of the data; pooled data were presented with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) and displayed using forest plots. A I-square statistic was also performed to test for heterogeneity between studies. A sub-analysis of the risk of malignant and premalignant FCIs taking into account different geographic areas was carried out. Statistical analyses were performed using StatsDirect statistical software version 2.7.9 (StatsDirect Limited, UK). Results The comprehensive computer literature search from PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus databases revealed 519 articles. Reviewing titles and abstracts, 492 articles were excluded because they did not report any data on prevalence neither on malignancy risk of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT. One article was excluded because not in English language.3 Twenty-six articles were selected and retrieved in full-text version; seven additional studies were found screening the references of these articles. Out of these 33 articles potentially eligible for inclusion, after reviewing the full-text article, one article was excluded due to possible data overlap.4 Finally, 32 studies including 89,061 patients met all inclusion and exclusion criteria, and they were included in our meta-analysis (Figure 1) 25-35; 18 studies had data to calculate the pooled prevalence of FCIs and 31 studies had data to calculate the pooled risk of malignant of premalignant FCIs. The characteristics of the included studies are presented in Table 1. Overall, the pooled prevalence of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT in the included studies was 3.6% (95% CI: 2.6-4.7%), ranging from 0.4% to 16.3% (Figure 2). Overall, 1,044 FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT underwent colonoscopy or histology verification. Pooled risk of malignant or premalignant lesions between FCIs was 68% (95% CI: 60-75%), ranging from 16% to 100% in the included studies (Figure 3). The included studies were statistically heterogeneous (I-square: > 75%) both for prevalence and risk of malignant or premalignant FCIs. Concerning geographic distribution, the pooled risk of malignant or premalignant lesions in FCIs Prevalence of focal colorectal incidentalomas Zhuang H et al. 2002 Chen YK et al 2003 Lardlnois D et al. 2005 Ishimori T et al 2005 Gutman F et al. 2005 van Westreenen HL et al 2005 Even-Sapir E et al. 2006 Hemandas AK et al. 2008 Lee ST etat. 2008 Lee JC et al. 2009 Weston BR etat. 2010 LuboldtWetal. 2010 Peng Jet al. 2 011 Treglia G et al. 2012 Farquharson AL etal. 2012 Yildirim D et al 2012 Gill RS etal. 2012 Shim JH et al. 2012 combined L 0.086 (0.051. 0.135) 0.007(0.004. 0.010) 0.031 (0.016. 0.056) 0.004 (0.002. 0.008) 0.026(0.019. 0.035) 0.030(0.015. 0.053) 0.014 (0.010. 0.020) 0.091 (0.044. 0.161) 0.029(0.023. 0.036) 0.037(0.029. 0.047) 0.152(0.115. 0.195) 0.021 (0.016. 0.028) 0.013(0.011. 0.016) 0.011 (0.008. 0.014) 0.095(0.072. 0.123) 0.034 (0.023. 0.049) 0.014 (0.009. 0.021) 0.163(0.119. 0.216) 0.036(0.026. 0.047) "Г-г 0.05 1 I ' 0.10 0.15 0.20 proportion (95% confidence interval) "i-I 0.25 FIGURE 2. Plot of individual studies and pooled prevalence of patients with focal colorectal incidental uptake detected by leF-FDG-PET or PET/CT, including 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Prevalence of patients with focal colorectal incidental uptake ranged from 0.4% to 16.3%, with pooled estimate of 3.6% (95%CI: 2.6-4.7%). The included studies were statistically heterogeneous (I-square: > 75%). was lower in Asia-Oceania (62%; 95% CI: 43-79%) compared to America (70%; 95% CI: 61-79%) and Europe (70%; 95% CI: 65-74%). A statistically significant difference in average SUV between malignant, premalignant and benign FCIs was reported in some articles; nevertheless, a significant overlap about SUV was found between these three groups (Table 1). Discussion The increasing use of 18F-FDG-PET and PET/CT is associated with a concomitant increase in the number of patients with FCIs. The major difference between PET/CT and other imaging studies is that PET/CT provides both anatomic and metabolic information about incidental lesions found in the large bowel. The pattern of 18F-FDG uptake in the large bowel on PET imaging influences the likelihood of malignancy. Diffuse and segmental increased uptake detected at 18F-FDG-PET or PET/ CT in the large bowel are usually associated with benign conditions 1,2: such cases were not covered FIGURE 3. Plot of individual studies and pooled risk of malignant or premalignant lesions between focal colorectal incidental uptake detected by leF-FDG-PET or PET/ CT, including 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). The risk of malignant or premalignant lesions ranged from 16% to 100%, with pooled estimate of 68% (95%CI: 60-75%). The included studies were statistically heterogeneous (I-square: > 75%). by this meta-analysis. We focused our analysis on FCIs because they can be associated with malignant or premalignant conditions in a significant number of cases.12 Several single-center studies have reported the prevalence of FCIs and risk of malignant and premalignant lesions between FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT with discordant findings.25-35 In order to derive more robust estimates and obtain evidence-based data about this topic, we performed a meta-analysis pooling published data. Pooled results of our meta-analysis indicate that FCIs are observed in about 3.6% of patients performing 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT. Moreover, in our pooled analysis FCIs were associated with a high risk of malignant or premalignant lesions (68%), considering colonoscopy or histology confirmation as reference standard. Therefore, whenever a focal hot spot is detected within the large bowel, the 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT report should suggest further investigation, such as colonoscopy, in order to exclude a malignant or premalignant lesions.12 In the calculation of pooled malignancy risk, we considered premalignant lesions together with malignant lesions because colonic adenomas can transform from adenoma to carcinoma and progress insidiously in asymptomatic patients. Performing a sub-analysis for geographic areas we found that the risk of malignant or premalig-nant lesions between FCIs was higher in America and Europe compared to Asia and Oceania. A possible explanation of this finding is that the prevalence of colorectal cancer is superior in these geographic areas.36 A significant difference in average SUV between malignant, premalignant and benign FCIs was reported in some articles (Table 1). Nevertheless, a significant overlap about SUV was found between these three groups. Therefore, SUV alone should not be used to differentiate between malignant, premalignant and benign FCIs. Indeed, it is well known that SUV is influenced by several factors, related to the patient as well as to technical aspects and procedures. Any calculation of a pooled SUV obtained by different studies - acquired with different tomographs, scan protocols, 18F-FDG injected activity, and patient characteristics - is in our opinion inappropriate, and therefore we decided not to meta-analyze data about SUV. The present study has some limitations, related to the included articles, such as the selection bias in the calculation of malignancy risk and the heterogeneity between studies. Indeed, only a percentage of FCIs detected by 18F-FDG-PET or PET/CT underwent colonoscopy or histopathology confirmation in the included studies and this may represent a selection bias in the calculation of the risk of malignant or premalignant lesions. Furthermore, the included studies were statistically heterogeneous in their estimates of prevalence of FCIs and risk of malignant or premalignant lesions. This heterogeneity is likely to stem from diversity in methodological aspects between different studies. The baseline differences between the patients performing PET or PET/CT in the included studies may have TABLE 1: Characteristics of the included studies about focal colorectal incidental uptake detected by leF-FDG PET or PET/CT Country Device used No. of patients evaluated No. of patients with FCIs No. of FCIs No. of FCIs verified by colonoscopy or histology Final diagnosis of FCIs Malignant Pre-malignant Benign Average SUV in FCIs No lesions identified Malignant FCIS Pre-malignant Benign FCIs FCIs Authors Year Zhuang H et al. 2002 USA/Brazil PET 197 17 17 14 5 1 8 n.a. n.a. n.a. Tatlidil R et al. 2002 USA PET 3000 n.a. n.a. 13 6 4 3 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. Chen YK et al. 2003 Taiwar PET 3210 22 23 23 6 17 0 0 5.74 ± 2.26* 3.56 ± 0.68* n.a. Pandit-Taskar N et al. 2004 USA PET 1000 n.a n.a. 10 1 7 0 2 13.6 7.0 ± 3.0 n.a. Agress H et al. 2004 USA PET 1750 n.a. n.a. 27 3 18 3 3 n.a n.a n.a. Kamel EM et al. 2004 Switzerland PET/CT 3281 n.a. n.a. 54 9 27 9 9 n.a n.a n.a. Lardinois D et al. 2005 Switzerland/ Russia PET/CT 350 11 11 11 0 8 3 0 n.a. n.a n.a. Ishimori T et al. 2005 USA PET/CT 1912 8 8 4 4 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. Gutman F et al. 2005 France PET/CT 1716 45 n.a. 2 3 10 1 7 15 ± 11.6 12.0+3.7 25 van Westreenen HL et al. 2005 The Netherlands PET 366 11 11 8 2 6 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. Israel O et al. 2005 Israel PET/CT 4390 n.a. n.a. 24 6 9 3 6 n.a. 14.0 ± 10.5 n.a. Even-Sapir E et al. 2006 Israel PET/CT 2360 33 39 29 13 7 5 4 n.a n.a n.a. Wang G et al. 2007 China/ Australia PET/CT 1727 n.a. n.a. 1 3 4 3 n.a. n.a. n.a. Hemandas AK et al. 2008 UK PET/CT 110 10 10 7 0 7 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. Terauchi T et al. 2008 Japan PET 2911 n.a. 111 111 7 11 9 84 8.31 n.a. n.a. Lee ST et al. 2008 Australia PET/CT 2916 85 95 45 12 24 2 7 n.a. n.a. n.a. Tessonnier L et al. 2008 France PET/CT 4033 n.a. n.a. 44 8 25 4 7 12.3 ± 5 9.8 ± 6.1 8.2+2.1 Strobel K et al. 2009 Switzerland PET/CT 598 n.a. 14 14 5 8 0 1 n.a. n.a. n.a. Lee JC et al. 2009 Australia PET/CT 1665 62 70 35 11 12 5 7 n.a. n.a. n.a. Weston BR et al. 201C USA PET/CT 330 50 52 52 10 25 2 15 17.2* 14.2 ± 7.2* n.a. Kei PL et al. 201C USA/ Singapore/ Hong Kong PET/CT 2250 n.a. n.a. 22 4 13 1 4 n.a. 20.7 ± 11.3* 12.0* Özkol V et al. 2010 Turkey PET/CT 2370 n.a n.a. 16 3 3 7 3 n.a. n.a. n.a. Luboldt W et al. 2010 Germany PET/CT 2338 50 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Peng J et al. 2011 China PET/CT 10978 148 n.a. 125 32 23 5 65 9.7* 8.2* 6.1* Treglia G et al. 2012 Italy PET/CT 6000 64 n.a. 51 13 19 8 11 9.6 ± 4.7 8.5 ± 5.2 6.5 + 3. Farquharson AL et al. 2012 UK PET/CT 555 53 n.a. 26 2 17 3 4 n.a. n.a. n.a. Salazar Andia G et al. 2012 Spain PET/CT 2220 n.a. n.a. 55 13 27 10 5 n.a. n.a. n.a. Oh J-R et al. 2012 Republic of Korea PET/CT 21317 n.a. 296 102 32 43 13 14 13.6 ± 4.9* 8.4 ± 4.5* 6.8* Lin M et al. 2012 Australia PET/CT 649 n.a. n.a. 18 3 9 4 2 6.0 10.4 5.8 Yildirim D et al. 2012 Turkey PET/CT 823 28 28 19 6 2 1 10 n.a n.c n.a. Gill RS et al. 2012 Canada PET or PET/CT 1500 2 2 7 2 2 1 2 7.4 n.a. 4.1 Shim JH et al. 2012 South Korea PET/CT 239 39 46 46 8 24 14 8.9 5.5 n.a. Legend: FCIs = focal colorectal incidental uptake; pts = patients; n.a. = not available; *significant statistical difference contributed to the observed heterogeneity too. However, such variability was accounted for in a random-effects model. Lastly, we did not perform a sub-analysis taking into account the device used (PET vs. PET/CT) or the site of FCIs (rectum and different colonic segments) because sufficient data in this regard could not be retrieved from the included studies. 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