26. JULIJ 2006 26 JULY 2006 št./No 141 20 TRGOVINA IN DRUGE STORITVENE DEJAVNOSTI DISTRIBUTIVE TRADE AND OTHER SERVICE ACTIVITIES št./No 29 POSLOVNE TENDENCE V STORITVENIH DEJAVNOSTIH, SLOVENIJA, JULIJ 2006 BUSINESS TENDENCY IN SERVICES, SLOVENIA, JULY 2006 Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih je bila v juliju 2006 za 1 odstotno točko nižja kot v juniju 2006. Glede na vrednost v lanskem juliju je bila višja za 5 odstotnih točk in hkrati za 3 odstotne točke višja od lanskega povprečja ter za 1 odstotno točko nižja od dolgoletnega povprečja. In July 2006 the seasonally adjusted services confidence indicator decreased by 1 percentage point compared to June 2006; compared to July 2005 it increased by 5 percentage points and was 3 percentage points above last year’s average. The indicator was also 1 percentage point below the long-term average. Vrednosti vseh kazalnikov stanj in pričakovanj so se v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem izboljšale, razen vrednost kazalnika pričakovane prodajne cene. The observed indicators for appreciation of the situation and expectations increased compared to the previous month, except the expected selling prices. 1. KAZALNIK ZAUPANJA1) V SLOVENIJI IN EU2), APRIL 2002–JULIJ 2006 CONFIDENCE INDICATOR1) IN SLOVENIA AND EU2), APRIL 2002–JULY 2006 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 A 2002 M J J A S O N D J 2003 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2004 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % desezonirani podatki - Slovenija seasonally adjusted data - Slovenia dolgoletno povprečje long-term average desezonirani podatki - EU seasonally adjusted data - EU © SURS 1) Kazalnik zaupanja je povprečje odgovorov (ravnotežij) na vprašanja o poslovnem položaju ter sedanjem in pričakovanem povpraševanju. The confidence indicator is an average of responses (balances) to questions on business situation and present and expected demand. 2) Vir podatkov je Evropska komisija (http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm). Podatki o EU za zadnji mesec niso na voljo. The source for EU data is the European Commission (http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm). Data for the EU for the last month are not available. Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 2 Rapid reports No 141/2006 2. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV V STORITVENIH DEJAVNOSTIH V SLOVENIJI, APRIL 2002–JULIJ 2006 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN SERVICES IN SLOVENIA, APRIL 2002 - JULY 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months Poslovni položaj / Business situation 10 20 30 40 50 60 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Pričakovane prodajne cene1) / Selling prices1) expectations © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand 0 10 20 30 40 50 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS originalni podatki raw data desezonirani podatki seasonally adjusted data dolgoletno povprečje long-term average 1) Sezonska komponenta ni prisotna. / No seasonal component. Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 Rapid reports No 141/2006 3 2.1 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v gostinstvu in s turizmom povezanih dejavnostih, julij 2005-julij 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in hotels and restaurants and in tourist assistance activities, July 2005-July 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months Poslovni položaj / Business situation -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -10 0 10 20 30 40 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS -30 -15 0 15 30 45 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - gostinstvo in s turizmom povezane dejavnosti hotels and restaurants, and tourist assistance activities ⎯ storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 4 Rapid reports No 141/2006 2.2 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v kopenskem, vodnem in zračnem prometu, julij 2005-julij 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in land, water and air transport, July 2005-July 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months Poslovni položaj / Business situation -55 -40 -25 -10 5 20 35 50 65 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - kopenski, vodni in zračni promet land, water and air transport ⎯ storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 Rapid reports No 141/2006 5 2.3 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost pošte, telekomunikacij in obdelava podatkov, julij 2005-julij 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in post and telecommunications and in data processing, July 2005-July 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months 10 25 40 55 70 85 100 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -20 0 20 40 60 80 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -30 -15 0 15 30 45 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - pošta, telekomunikacije in obdelava podatkov post and telecommunication, data processing ⎯ storitvene dejavnosti Services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 6 Rapid reports No 141/2006 2.4 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost finančno posredništvo, julij 2005-julij 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in financial intermediation, July 2005-July 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -60 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 45 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS 0 15 30 45 60 75 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - finančno posredništvo financial intermediation ⎯ storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 Rapid reports No 141/2006 7 2.5 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost poslovanje z nepremičninami, najem in poslovne storitve, julij 2005-julij 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in real estate activities, renting and business services, July 2005-July 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -10 0 10 20 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations © SURS -15 0 15 30 45 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand 0 10 20 30 40 50 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - poslovanje z nepremičninami, najem in poslovne storitve real estate activities, renting and business services ⎯ storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 8 Rapid reports No 141/2006 2.6 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnosti javne higiene in druge storitvene dejavnosti, julij 2005-julij 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in sewage disposal and other service activities, July 2005-July 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % © SURS -20 -5 10 25 40 55 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS % -30 -10 10 30 50 70 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS % -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -20 0 20 40 60 J 2005 A S O N D J 2006 F M A M J J % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - dejavnost javne higiene in druge osebne storitvene dejavnosti sewage disposal and other service activities ⎯ storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 Rapid reports No 141/2006 9 3. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV V STORITVENIH DEJAVNOSTIH V SLOVENIJI IN EU1), APRIL 2002–JULIJ 2006 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN SERVICES IN SLOVENIA AND EU1), APRIL 2002 - JULY 2006 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Kazalnik zaupanja / Confidence indicator -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Kazalnik zaupanja / Confidence indicator © SURS Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % ©SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment desezonirani podatki - Slovenija seasonally adjusted data - Slovenia desezonirani podatki - EU seasonally adjusted data - EU 1) Podatki o EU za zadnji mesec niso na voljo. Vir podatkov je Evropska komisija (http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm). Data for the EU for the last month are not available. The source for EU data is the European Commission (http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm). Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 10 Rapid reports No 141/2006 METODOLOŠKA POJASNILA METHODOLOGICAL EXPLANATIONS Namen raziskovanja Purpose of the survey Namen kvalitativne Ankete o poslovnih tendencah v storitvenih dejavnostih (vprašalnik PA-STOR/M) je mesečno pridobivanje informacij o stanjih glavnih ekonomskih kazalnikov ter ocenitev njihovega gibanja v naslednjih mesecih. Rezultati ankete so osnova za izračun kazalnika zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih. The purpose of the qualitative Survey on Business Tendency in Services (questionnaire PA-STOR/M) is to get monthly information about current situations of major economic indicators and to evaluate their movement in the following months. The survey results are the basis for evaluation of the confidence indicator in services. Panelno anketo o poslovnih tendencah v storitvenih dejavnostih izvajamo v Sloveniji od aprila 2002 s poenotenim vprašalnikom, na podlagi poenotene metodologije in z enako periodiko, kakor jo izvajajo v državah članicah Evropske unije že več desetletij; to omogoča neposredno primerljivost podatkov. The Panel Survey on Business Tendency in Services is being carried out in Slovenia since April 2002 with the harmonised questionnaire, methodology and periodicity, which have been used in EU Member States for several decades. Therefore, all data are directly comparable. Enote opazovanja Observation units Opazujemo podjetja, ki so po Standardni klasifikaciji dejavnosti (SKD) razvrščena v storitveno dejavnost, in sicer: We are monitoring units that are registered in services according to the Standard Classification of Activities (SKD): • 55 - Gostinstvo • 60 - Kopenski promet; cevovodni transport • 61 - Vodni promet • 62 - Zračni promet • 63.3 - Dejavnost potovalnih agencij in organizatorjev potovanj; s turizmom povezane dejavnosti • 64 - Pošta in telekomunikacije • 65 - Finančno posredništvo, razen zavarovalništva in dejavnosti pokojninskih skladov • 66 - Zavarovalništvo in dejavnost pokojninskih skladov, razen obveznega socialnega zavarovanja • 67 - Pomožne dejavnosti v finančnem posredništvu • 70 - Poslovanje z nepremičninami • 71 - Dajanje strojev in opreme brez upravljavcev v najem; izposojanje izdelkov široke porabe • 72 - Obdelava podatkov, podatkovne baze in s tem povezane dejavnosti • 73 - Raziskovanje in razvoj • 74 - Druge poslovne dejavnosti • 90 - Dejavnosti javne higiene • 93 - Druge storitvene dejavnosti • 55 - Hotels and restaurants • 60 - Land transport; transport via pipelines • 61 - Water transport • 62 - Air transport • 63.3 - Activities of travel agencies and tour operators; tourist assistance activities • 64 - Post and telecommunications • 65 - Financial intermediation, except insurance and pension funding • 66 - Insurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security • 67 - Activities auxiliary to financial intermediation • 70 - Real estate activities • 71 - Renting of machinery and equipment without operator and of personal and household goods • 72 - Data processing, database activities and other computer related activities • 73 - Research and development • 74 - Other business activities • 90 - Sewage and refuse disposal, sanitation and similar activities • 93 - Other service activities Vzorec podjetij je oblikovan na podlagi dveh meril: The sample of enterprises was selected by two criteria: • razvrstitve storitvenega podjetja po SKD-ju in • velikosti storitvenega podjetja (števila zaposlenih po Zakonu o gospodarskih družbah). • classification of the enterprise according to the Standard Classification of Activities, • size of the enterprise (the number of employees in accordance with the Companies Act). Vir podatkov Data source Na vprašalnik PA-STOR/M odgovarjajo direktorji podjetij ali drugi vodilni delavci med 1. in 10. v mesecu. Respondents answering the monthly PA-STOR/M questionnaire are managers of enterprises or other executives. They respond between the 1st and the 10th of the month. Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 Rapid reports No 141/2006 11 Zajetje Coverage V panelni vzorec smo zajeli vsa velika in srednje velika podjetja ter 11 % malih podjetij (ali 15 % zaposlenih v malih podjetjih), ki so razvrščena v storitveno dejavnost. Panelni vzorec pokriva 17 % podjetij vzorčnega okvira ali 69 % zaposlenih v storitvenih dejavnostih. The panel includes all large and medium-sized enterprises and 11% of small enterprises (or 15% employees of small enterprises), the principal activity of which is classified into services. The panel covers 17% of the enterprises of the studied population or 69% of employees in services. Način zbiranja podatkov Method of data collection Anketo izvajamo mesečno, po pošti. The survey is carried out monthly by mail. Definicije in pojasnila Definitions and explanations Ravnotežje je razlika med pozitivnimi in negativnimi odgovori, izraženimi v odstotkih. Ravnotežja prikazujejo gibanje opazovanih ekonomskih kazalnikov (stanj in pričakovanj), ne pa dejanskih velikosti ekonomskih kazalnikov. Grafikoni prikazujejo ravnotežja po posameznih vprašanjih. The balance is the difference between positive and negative answers, expressed in percent. The balance shows the movement of observed economic indicators (present situation and future expectations), and not the real size of economic indicators. The charts show the balance by individual questions. Kjer so prikazane primerjave kazalnikov s kazalniki za EU, so vrednosti desezonirane. To so vrednosti, pri katerih je izločen vpliv sezone, vsebujejo pa trend-cikel in naključno komponento. Podatki za EU so desezonirani z metodo DAINTIES, za Slovenijo pa z metodo TRAMO/SEATS, ki temelji na modelih ARIMA. In the charts with comparisons with EU indicators, data are seasonally adjusted. Values are adjusted for the seasonal component, but include the trend-cycle component and the irregular component. Data for EU are seasonally adjusted by the DAINTIES method and for Slovenia by the TRAMO/SEATS method, which is based on ARIMA models. Pri oblikovanju modelov je upoštevano obdobje od aprila 2002 do januarja 2006, razen pri časovni vrsti Pričakovane prodajne cene, kjer je upoštevano obdobje od januarja 2003 do januarja 2006. Pri časovni vrsti Pričakovane prodajne cene sezonska komponenta ni prisotna. The designing of the models is based on the time period from April 2002 to January 2006, except for time series Selling prices expectations where the designing of the model is based on the time period from January 2003 to January 2006. In the time series Selling prices expectations the seasonal component is not present. Kazalnik zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih je povprečje odgovorov (ravnotežij) na vprašanja o poslovnem položaju ter sedanjem in pričakovanem povpraševanju po storitvah. The confidence indicator in services is the arithmetic mean of responses (balances) to the questions on business situation, and present and expected demand. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v gostinstvu in s turizmom povezanih dejavnostih združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 55 - Gostinstvo in 63.3 - Dejavnost potovalnih agencij in organizatorjev potovanj; s turizmom povezane dejavnosti. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in hotels and restaurants and in tourist assistance activities show results for 55 - Hotels and restaurants and 63.3 - Activities of travel agencies and tour operators; tourist assistance activities. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v kopenskem, vodnem in zračnem prometu združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 60 - Kopenski promet; cevovodni transport, 61 - Vodni promet in 62 - Zračni promet. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in land, water and air transport show results for 60 - Land transport; transport via pipelines, 61 - Water transport and 62 - Air transport. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnosti pošte in telekomunikacij ter obdelave podatkov združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 64 - Pošta in telekomunikacije in 72 - Obdelava podatkov, podatkovne baze in s tem povezane dejavnosti. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in post, telecommunications and data processing show results for 64 - Post and telecommunications and 72 - Data processing, database activities and other computer related activities. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost finančno posredništvo združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 65 - Finančno posredništvo, razen zavarovalništva in dejavnosti pokojninskih skladov, 66 - Zavarovalništvo in dejavnost pokojninskih skladov, razen obveznega socialnega zavarovanja, 67 - Pomožne dejavnosti v finančnem posredništvu. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in financial intermediation show results for 65 - Financial intermediation, except insurance and pension funding, 66 - Insurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security and 67 - Activities auxiliary to financial intermediation. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost poslovanje z nepremičninami, najem in poslovne storitve združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 70 - The charts Evolution of economic indicators in real estate activities, renting and business services show results for 70 - Real estate activities, 71 - Renting of machinery and Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 12 Rapid reports No 141/2006 Poslovanje z nepremičninami, 71 - Dajanje strojev in opreme brez upravljavcev v najem; izposojanje izdelkov široke porabe, 73 - Raziskovanje in razvoj in 74 - Druge poslovne dejavnosti. equipment without operator and of personal and household goods, 73 - Research and development and 74 - Other business activities. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnosti javne higiene in druge storitvene dejavnosti združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 90 - Dejavnosti javne higiene in 93 - Druge storitvene dejavnosti. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in sewage disposal and other service activities show results for 90 - Sewage and refuse disposal, sanitation and similar activities and 93 - Other service activities. Objavljanje Publishing Sodelujoči v anketi prejmejo mesečno informacijo o poslovnih tendencah v storitvenih dejavnostih. Participants in the survey get the monthly information on the business tendency in services. Drugim uporabnikom so ti podatki prav tako dostopni na ravni storitvenih dejavnosti. Objavljamo jih mesečno v Statističnih informacijah in podatkovni bazi SI-STAT (http://www.stat.si). Other users can also get data for services published monthly in Rapid Reports and in the SI-STAT database (http://www.stat.si/eng). VPRAŠANJA QUESTIONS Poslovni položaj v zadnjih 3 mesecih: dober, zadovoljiv, slab? Business situation over the past 3 months: improved, remained unchanged, deteriorated? Povpraševanje v zadnjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? Demand over the past 3 months: increased, remained unchanged, decreased? Zaposlovanje v zadnjih treh mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, padlo? Employment over the past 3 months: increased, remained unchanged, decreased? Povpraševanje v naslednjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? Demand over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? Zaposlovanje v naslednjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? Employment over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? Prodajne cene v naslednjih 3 mesecih: zvišale, ostale enake, znižale? Prices over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? KOMENTAR COMMENT Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih je bila v juliju 2006 za 1 odstotno točko nižja kot v juniju 2006. Glede na vrednost v juliju 2005 je bila višja za 5 odstotnih točk in hkrati za 3 odstotne točke višja od povprečja preteklega leta ter za 1 odstotno točko nižja od dolgoletnega povprečja. In July 2006 the seasonally adjusted services confidence indicator decreased by 1 percentage point compared to June 2006; compared to July 2005 it increased by 5 percentage points and was 3 percentage points above last year’s average. The indicator was also 1 percentage point below the long-term average. POSLOVNI POLOŽAJ BUSINESS SITUATION Ocena poslovnega položaja je bila v vseh treh primerjavah višja: v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem za 4 odstotne točk, glede na lansko povprečje za 5 odstotnih točk in glede na lanski julij za 6 odstotnih točk. The evaluation of the business situation went up by 4 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to last year’s average it was up by 5 percentage points and compared to July 2005 by 6 percentage points. POVPRAŠEVANJE DEMAND Tudi vrednost kazalnika sedanje povpraševanje je bila višja v vseh treh primerjavah: glede na pretekli mesec za 1 odstotno točko, glede na lanski julij za 6 in glede na lansko povprečje za 8 odstotnih točk. The seasonally adjusted demand indicator went up by 1 percentage point compared to the previous month. Compared to July 2005 it was up by 6 percentage points and 8 percentage points above last year’s average. Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika pričakovano povpraševanje Compared to June 2006, the seasonally adjusted expected Statistične informacije, št. 141/2006 Rapid reports No 141/2006 13 je bila enaka kot junija 2006 in enaka lanskemu povprečju, glede na julij 2005 pa je bila višja za 2 odstotni točki. demand indicator remained stable. Compared to June 2005 it was 2 percentage points higher and equal to last year’s average. ZAPOSLOVANJE EMPLOYMENT Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika zaposlovanje je bila enaka kot v preteklem mesecu, v primerjavi z vrednostjo v lanskem juliju pa je bila višja za 7 odstotnih točk višja in za prav toliko višja je bila tudi od lanskega povprečja. The seasonally adjusted employment indicator was equal to its value in June 2006. Compared to June 2005 and last year’s average it was 7 percentage points higher. Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika pričakovano zaposlovanje je bila za 1 odstotno točko višja od vrednosti v juniju 2006 in 2 odstotni točki višja od lanskega povprečja, glede na julij 2005 pa je bila za 3 odstotne točke nižja. Compared to June 2006, the seasonally adjusted expected employment indicator was 1 percentage point higher and it was 2 percentage points higher than last year’s average. Compared to July 2005 the value was 3 percentage point lower. PRODAJNE CENE SELLING PRICES Cenovna pričakovanja za naslednje tri mesece so bila v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem in glede na lansko povprečje nižja za 1 odstotno točko, glede na isti mesec lanskega leta pa za 3 odstotne točke višja. Price expectations for the next three months went down by 1 percentage point compared to June 2006 and last year’s average. Compared to July 2005 the indicator went up by 3 percentage points. Statistično raziskovanje je sofinancirala Evropska komisija. Za objavljene podatke in besedila je odgovoren izključno Statistični urad Republike Slovenije, in ne Evropska komisija. The business survey is co-financed by the European Commission. However, the European Commission accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever with regard to the material published in this publication. Sestavila / Prepared by: Barbara Čertanec Izdaja, založba in tisk Statistični urad Republike Slovenije, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - Uporaba in objava podatkov dovoljena le z navedbo vira - Odgovarja generalna direktorica mag. Irena Križman - Urednica zbirke Statistične informacije Marina Urbas – Urednica podzbirke Brigita Vrabič Kek - Slovensko besedilo jezikovno uredila Ivanka Zobec - Angleško besedilo jezikovno uredil Boris Panič - Naklada 678 izvodov - ISSN zbirke Statistične informacije 1408-192X - ISSN podzbirke Trgovina in druge storitvene dejavnosti 1408-9327 - Informacije daje Informacijsko središče, tel.: (01) 241 51 04 - El. pošta: info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si. Edited, published and printed by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - These data can be used provided the source is acknowledged - Director-General Irena Križman - Rapid Reports editor Marina Urbas – Subject-matter editor Brigita Vrabič Kek - Slovene language editor Ivanka Zobec - English language editor Boris Panič - Total print run 678 copies - ISSN of Rapid Reports 1408-192X - ISSN of subcollection Business tendency in services 1408-9327 - Information is given by the Information Centre of the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, tel.: +386 1 241 51 04 - E-mail: info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si.