Original Scientific Article Systems Approach to Cultural Tourism and Events Tadeja Jere Jakulin University of Primorska, Faculty of Tourism Studies – Turistica, Slovenia tadeja.jerejakulin@upr.si In this paper, we will present the systems approach methodology, which has been widely used in the natural sciences and engineering for the last seven decades since Ludwig von Bertalanffy published his manifesto on general systems theory (1952) andNorbertWiener his on cybernetics (1948). The intention of general systems the- ory and cybernetics is the ‘ontology’ of action, which is shown by feedback informa- tion. Its goal is to find a method to predict the consequence of a decision-making action. Industrial engineering recognised it when Forrester published Industrial Dy- namics (1961), and social sciences rediscovered it with Senge’s work on the learning organisation The Fifth Discipline (1990). Cultural tourism is an element of a com- plex tourism system within global and local dimensions, in which cultural events, as even smaller elements, play essential roles within the range of tourism goods and services. As a methodology for the research of complex phenomena, the systems ap- proachwill explain two of itsmethods, systems thinking andmodelling, as those that can significantly influence decision-making when taken into account. We will show the appropriateness of the methodology within cultural tourism decision-making and modelling. Keywords: systems approach, analytical and systems thinking, complexity, cultural tourism and events, modelling https://doi.org/10.26493/2335-4194.12.185-191 Introduction The systems approach became an optimal methodol- ogy for creating solutions within engineering and the natural sciences a few decades ago. The feedback loop, which represents the circle within a system, shows that correct anticipation of the future outcome is possible only if a decision-maker observes problems in reality from a systems point of view. Such a point of view, or ‘the big picture,’ is a view in which all observed sub- jects or objects are seen as connected, interdependent, influencing each other, as is known in nature and en- gineering. Frequently, it is difficult to see closed con- nections and interdependency within social and or- ganisational systems composed of elements (compo- nents, departments) that are nested within each other even though they are not only elements but also sys- tems. Nesting and the difficulties of seeing boundaries among the elementsmake them complex systems and, as such, they need appropriate methodology to ex- plain them, as well as solutions for their problems. Tourism and its subsystems of cultural tourism with events and all their connections, boundaries, and in- terdependency represent systems complexity. The sys- tems approach, with its systems thinking and mod- elling methods, can survive the most rigid testing and can find systems solutions. Analytical and Systems Thinking A vision without systems thinking ends up painting lovely pictures of the future with no deep understand- ing of the forces that must be mastered to move from here to there (Senge, 1990). Academica Turistica, Year 12, No. 2, December 2019 | 185 Tadeja Jere Jakulin Systems Approach to Cultural Tourism and Events (1) People, decision makers for cultural tourism policy (2) Process of creating cultural tourism policy (3) Cultural tourism policy created Figure 1 Model of Conventional (Linear) Thinking (C) Group of experts and decision-makers (D) Processes and programs of creation (A) Cultural tourism policy created (E) Environment(B) Feedback Information Figure 2 Systems Model of Cultural Tourism Policy Some relevant paradigms to analysis were descri- bed by Rosenhead (1989) and Mulej et al. (1994), in- cluding soft analysis, the hard study of a system, criti- cal thinking, strategic options development and anal- ysis, and the dialectical theory of systems. The linear (analytical) approach is based on interpretation as a three-step thought process. It takes apart that which it seeks to understand, then attempts to explain the be- haviour of the parts taken separately, and finally, and finally tries to develop an aggregate understanding of the components into an explanation of the whole. The systems approach uses a different process. It puts the system in the context of the larger environ- ment of which it is a part and studies the role it plays in the larger whole. The parts are no longer the primary focus. The elements are essential, but what ismore im- portant is the interrelationship between the elements as they work together to fulfil the purpose of the whole system.A systems approach is optimal for understand- ing interdependency, which requires a way of think- ing differently than analysis; it needs systems thinking. The number of works dedicated to the systems think- ing, systems models, and methodologies devoted to social, economic and natural sciences is enormous. These include System Dynamics (Forester, 1961), Sys- tem Thinking (Senge, 1990; Vennix, 1996), Autopoi- etic System (Maturana & Varela, 1998), Living Sys- tems (Miller, 1978), Viable Systems (Beer, 1959), An- ticipatory Systems (Rosen, 1985) as well as others. Sys- tems thinking searches for the optimal solutions and answers from right to the left, as presented with the systems model of cultural tourism policy in Figure 2. The primary step of the system approach starts at A: the outputs or vision of the optimal cultural tourism policy. The expert group uses as fundamental ques- tions the questions about the influence of optimal cul- tural tourism (outputs, A) to the environment (E – other people, nature, community), uses feedback in- formation (B – what will cultural tourism policy bring to the E) and asks 1. What will the vision (A), outputs, organisational effectiveness, environmental effective- ness (Getz & Frisby, 1988) bring to the environment, environmental uncertainty, community context, net- works complexity (E)? and 2. What is the current sit- uation (C), inputs, ideas, teams, finances, material re- sources, facilities (Getz & Frisby, 1988) for achieving (A)? and 3. How can they help in the process (B) either with the help or without any worries if they cannot in- fluence the process? To avoid the trap of the simplicity of systems thinking, one can build a simulation model of effective decision-making in which one attempts to implement the optimal systems solutions. The model helps identify the flows and uses of resources, includ- ing money and information, which are the life-blood of all events. It helps identify key stakeholders who have to be brought into decision-making (Getz, 2004). Systems evaluation helps the manager keep the ‘big picture’ in mind, whereas the natural tendency is to get lost in daily problem-solving. The systems model differs from the linear model. Environment and feedback information are those parts of systems thinking and modelling that enable see- 186 | Academica Turistica, Year 12, No. 2, December 2019 Tadeja Jere Jakulin Systems Approach to Cultural Tourism and Events Complex tourism system Catering & accommodation systems Travel & transport systems Cultural tourism, events systems Education systems Supporting systems (banks, services, etc.) Sport, recreation and wellness systems State administration systems Legislation, safety & insurance systems Health systems Environment Figure 3 Interdependency of the Cultural Tourism System, Other Subsystems and the Environment ing the ‘big picture’ point of view to an observer. The model’s feedback information shows internal eval- uation, which pertains to management’s collective responsibility to ensure that all functions and pro- grammes are meeting goals and that operations are as efficient as possible. The external evaluation covers both the organisation’s linkages with other agencies and stakeholders and the impacts of its actions (Getz, 2004) Ongoing assessment helps steer the institution, or- ganisation, and manager towards meeting their goals. The event can always be improved, marketing en- hanced, and benefits increased. Furthermore, evalu- ation can help avoid and suggest ways to eliminate or enhance negative consequences. Evaluation means assigning a value or worth to something, and it inher- ently involves subjective judgment as well as technical analysis (Getz, 2004). The Complexity of Cultural Tourism and Events The art of systems thinking lies in seeing through com- plexity to the underlying structures generating change (Senge, 1990). In the context of tourism, we can use an expanded concept of culture. From this point of view, culture serves not only human education through the pro- vision of music, theatre, museums, exhibitions, fes- tivals and listed buildings, but permeates every area of human life (Dreyer, 2000). According to Adams (2008), cultural tourism is a type of special interest tourism involving leisure travel to view or experience the distinctive character of a place, its peoples, and its products or productions. The complexity of cultural tourism and events is visible since they are elements of a more extensive, tourism system. The word ‘com- plex’ is used only to indicate that the problem treated here cannot be expressed solely in hard (quantitative) relations and that most relevant values are qualita- tive.We consider complex systems to be networks cre- ated of many components, which interact among each other in a nonlinear manner; theymay evolve through self-organisation so that they are neither completely regular nor completely random (Sayama, 2015). With a conception of complex systems, we also present a system within which the complexity of interactions among system elements plays a leading role. These elements are systems themselves and, for this reason, the behaviour of a system as a whole can hardly be pre- Academica Turistica, Year 12, No. 2, December 2019 | 187 Tadeja Jere Jakulin Systems Approach to Cultural Tourism and Events dicted: the system of systems, which exchanges energy and informationwith its environment while in transit, inflected by internal and external influences. Organ- isational systems are complex because of the existing relations and nesting of its subsystems. This is repre- sented in Figure 3. The systemswithin a system of tourism nest within each other, which means that they represent subsys- tems at the same time that they represent systems as wholes. The interdependency and relations among the entities of these subsystems are far more critical than independent systems. This is especially seen between the subsystems of travel and transport, catering and accommodation, art and culture, sports, recreation and wellness subsystems. There are certain interde- pendent relationships among all subsystems, which strongly influence each other. If we map the tourism system to the local (national) or global (international destination), we reach a level of a system, which en- compasses a wide variety of partners, branches and in- stitutions. They create a complex system as such; with all interconnections, interdependency, and nesting in each other (dependent on the size of a subsystem). General Tourism SystemModel Remember, always, that everything you know, and ev- erything everyone knows, is only a model. Get your model out there where it can be viewed. Invite oth- ers to challenge your assumptions and add their own (Meadows, 2008). A society is a real world, which changes by al- tering relations among its participants as well as in- teractions with the environment. Tourism is often studied as an industry, alongside hospitality, with re- lated educational programmes stressing professional career preparation. It is also a social, cultural, and economic phenomenon with all its potential impacts (Getz, 2007). Learning and experience through deci- sion-making provide tourism development and gro- wth that are observed through its evolution. The evo- lution of society and skills as part of the past and the anticipation of the future causes these systems to grow and develop with the environment as the restriction. Thus, we can say that tourism system is, as its subsys- tems, dynamic. Regulation is necessary but far away (P) Tourism process (D) Decision-making team (X) Inputs (Y) Outputs (U)State of environment Figure 4 A General Model of Tourism as a Goal-Oriented System (adapted from Jere Jakulin & Kljajić, 2006) from being sufficient. The most important is a strate- gic vision of a development, and the understanding that the environment influences the prediction of the strategic vision. For this reason, tourism systems can be defined slightly differently, so that the fundamental causes of system behaviour are emphasised. Usually, they are called ‘management subsystems.’ The tourism sys- tem can be described with a model, which is an ide- alised and simplified image of the real situation or phenomenon and contains only necessary quantities and their functional dependencies. The model is an attempt to identify critical variables in a case study and the relationship that exists among them (Kljajić, 1998). In Figure 4, we define a generalmodel of tourism as a goal-oriented system with a pair (P,D). P represents the managing process in the tourism system, D the managing subsystem. Loop P → Y → D → U → P represents feedback information, which functions on the cause-and-effect principle; therefore, we can call it ‘reactive control.’ For small perturbances, such con- trol suffices. For decision making in a tourism system, information from the environment is necessary. The chain X → D → U → P provides feed-forward data, which represents the anticipation of the future state of the situation. It is an essential part of the strategy of goal-oriented systems. The inputs consist of ideas, scenarios, tangible re- sources, human resources, which start the process of cultural tourism policy creation and outputs, which can also include unintended and negative impacts that should be identified through research. The decision- making team plays a role in the model evaluation and 188 | Academica Turistica, Year 12, No. 2, December 2019 Tadeja Jere Jakulin Systems Approach to Cultural Tourism and Events consists of those experts and people who create goals and have responsibility for the system’s development. The team and its capabilities make the systems work towards their balanced functioning and goals. Building a Causal Loop DiagramModel Modelling is a part of systems methodology, which requires more than basic knowledge of the topic one models. By modelling, we understand an activity en- abling us to describe our experiences within a spe- cific procedure (mental model) with one of the ex- isting languages in the framework of a precise the- ory (Jere Jakulin & Kljajić, 2006). Model building in tourism seeks to understand a complex relationship and to aid the management of the place or process (Ja- fari, 2000). From a pragmatic point of view, a system is defined by the double S = (E,R), where ei ∈ E ⊂ U = 1, 2, . . .n represents the set of elements, R ⊆ E×E the relation between the elements, and the U univer- sal set. The construction of concrete systems requires specific knowledgeK(ei) ∈ E (property of elements) to identify the elements of the systems (including those from environments) and a theory T(ei, ej) ⊂ R to find relationships among the elements. Each element ei can be set as well as Rj ∈ R, j = 1, 2, . . .m defining different relations between the elements. Such a procedure is in- ductive and represents the model of a real system. In other words, modelling represents the activity of de- scribing our experiences by using one of the existing languages within the framework of a specific theory such as formal concepts analysis described in (Wolff, 1999). In this way, our experiences also become acces- sible to others in that they may be proven, confirmed, rejected, broadened or generalised. From a causal loop diagram, shown in Figure 5, one can derive that there is one basic circle (–) of the causal loop, whichmeans the growth of tourists’ number and borders of growth, caused by infrastructure and di- minished environment attraction. In a vision of cul- tural tourism policy, we have to predict development as a whole to avoid limitations. If in the reinforcement circle, which consists of investments, tourism infras- tructure, environment attraction, only one element starts to fall (–), this means all of the other elements will fall. GDP Cultural tourism policy Quality of cultural tourism supplyEnvironment attraction Tourism infrastructure Investments Cultural tourism events Number of tourists + + + + + + + + + + + – + Figure 5 cld Model of the Interdependence of Cultural Tourism Policy Elements The above-discussed model (Figure 5) requires decision-making given by a group of experts and deci- sion-makers who influence areas of cultural tourism. Figure 5 presents the cultural tourism expert group as a part of the cultural tourism legislative process, in which modelling and ideas about penal code deter- mination represent a knowledge-capturing process in the form of the structure and behaviour of the model. Once the model is defined and validated, experimen- tation with different scenarios is possible. The cultural tourism expert group determines the set of different ideas, which represents possible future activities in the real system. The results gathered as the output of the model are evaluated with the multi-criteria eval- uation function. At this stage, many different multi- criterial evaluation methods may be used, from the weighted average (Vincke, 1992) to the Analytical Hi- erarchy Process (ahp), (Saaty, 2012) and Expert sys- tems (es) (Rajkovič & Bohanec, 1991). Information feedback provides the expert groupwith the possibility of creatively determining a new set of ideas on cultural tourism policy and multi-criteria evaluation func- tions relating to the given situation. Simulated and actual performances of the system are compared to adapt the strategy according to changes in the environ- ment. The systems thinking solving method with sim- Academica Turistica, Year 12, No. 2, December 2019 | 189 Tadeja Jere Jakulin Systems Approach to Cultural Tourism and Events Cultural Tourism Expert Group SD Model (structure and behaviour) Results (Cultural Tourism Policy) Structure and Parameters Multicriteria Evaluation Function Modelling Ideas Output Model Validation Figure 6 The Principle Scheme of Simulation Methodology for Decision-Making Support (adapted from Jere Jakulin & Kljajić, 2006) ulation model follows standard steps: state analysis, development of causal-loop diagrams, writing of the model’s equations, andmodel implementation. Partic- ular scenarios that form and determine a tourist mar- ket in a particular environment are tested on a sim- ulation system. A simulator is connected to the gss (Group Support System). The participants using gss work directly with the system simulator. A system sim- ulator is connected to a database, which is necessary for simulationmodel activation. Simulation results are evaluated both with the group decision-making sup- port system and with expert systems. In all of this, the understanding of the system increases. With the described model, the experimental loop on a simu- lation model has been finished with the help of the system simulator and scenario ranking. The elements of the decision-making support system are Powersim, a tool for the construction and use of a simulator; Ven- tana Group Systems, the Ventana group working sup- port system; dex, a shell of an expert system expert; and Expert Choice, evaluation with the ahp method. Since the work with group decision-making tool is anonymous, it raises creative thinking, which enables a higher flow of ideas and reduces unwanted influ- ences. The participants become more relaxed since no one knows where the ideas come from and, thus, cre- ativity is released; this would not be the case in the more conventional ways of working. The work time decreases and the efficiency of participants increases (Jere Jakulin, 2017). The final result is better, as the decision becomes a group decision with which con- flict between polarised groups is minimised, and a consensus is achieved for the development of further actions. Conclusions The present article discusses the method of describ- ing and modelling the complex cultural tourism sys- tem from the systems and decision-making point of view. The systems approach has become a necessity in contemporary life, which we see as a modern com- plex system composed of a variety of other systems and their elements. In the paper, we discussed the cul- tural tourism system and its elements or subsystem of travelling and transport systems, catering and ac- commodation systems from a systems point of view within the environment. The cultural tourism system was described as a so-called soft system phenomenon, in which people, with their actions, knowledge, and characters play the leading roles, representing a com- plex system of a society. As we reach a certain level of complexity, we must search for an optimal methodol- ogy to find an optimal way of dealing with this com- plexity. The methods of systems dynamics, systems thinking, and modelling are some of them. Therefore, the anticipated system is much closer to describing the essence of complex systems behaviour. However, the influence of the observer in the process of mod- elling the complex system is of primary importance. 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