219 KB0 KB200420202020Svetličič, Marjanštevilka:1letnik:54str. 3-16ISSN:1318-2803COBISSID_HOST:47946499URN:URN:NBN:SI:doc-XXHZOPDEslUrad RS za makroekonomske analize in razvojIB revija (Ljubljana)Donald TrumpGlobalizacijaGlobalizationInternational tradeinvesticijeMednarodna trgovinapredelovalna industrijatrgovinska bilancatrgovinske vojnezaposlenostKdo plačuje zapitek Trumpove politike|The article analyses the extent to which predictions that the price of Trump's election will be paid primarily by his voters are true. It focuses on an analysis of U.S. economic growth during the Trump administration, the implications of the America First strategy, the trade wars, their impact on employment (especially in manufacturing), welfare (wages), and last but not least, the reputation of the U.S. in the world. The results in terms of growth rates (at least until the pandemic) have been relatively good. Nevertheless, the global reputation of the US in the world has been tarnished. The trade wars have harmed American interests (the trade balance deteriorated) more than they have affected its partners, particularly China. Employment increased (less in manufacturing), but less than promised during the election campaign and so the promised return of jobs from abroad never materialised (US investment abroad even increased). Tax policy, on the other hand, has benefited the rich and businesses, but worsened the position of workers compared to capital owners, also due to the erosion of health care and the restriction to trade unions' associationČlanek analizira, v kolikšni meri so se uresničile napovedi, da bodo ceno Trumpove izvolitve plačali predvsem njegovi volivci. Osredotoča se na analizo ameriške gospodarske rasti v času Trumpove administracije, implikacije strategije "najprej Amerika", trgovinske vojne, vpliva na zaposlenost (posebej v predelovalni industriji), blaginjo (plače) in ne nazadnje na analizo ugleda ZDA v svetu. Še najboljši so bili rezultati na področju stopenj rasti (vsaj do pandemije), vendar je kljub temu prišlo do okrnjenja ugleda ZDA v svetu. Trgovinska vojna je škodila ameriškim interesom (trgovinska bilanca se je poslabšala) in prizadela partnerice, ne le Kitajsko. Zaposlenost se je sicer povečala (manj v obljubljeni predelovalni industriji), toda manj od napovedane in predvidenega vračanja delovnih mest iz tujine, saj so se ameriške investicije v tujini celo povečale. Davčna politika je razbremenila bogate in podjetja ter poslabšala položaj delavcev v primerjavi z lastniki kapitala, tudi zaradi upadanja zdravstvene zaščite ter omejevanja sindikalnega združevanjaTEXTznanstveno časopisjejournalsSlovenian National E-content AggregatorNational and University Library of SloveniaUrad RS za makroekonomske analize in razvoj