402 KB40 KB200620252012Denac, MatjažObrecht, Matevžštevilka:3/4letnik:58str. 28-37ISSN:0547-3101COBISSID:11129116URN:URN:NBN:SI:doc-OXZORBYVenDruštvo ekonomistov MariborEkonomski center MariborEkonomsko-poslovna fakultetaNaše gospodarstvoenergetikaenergetska politikaenergetski virienvironmental protectionfosilna gorivaobnovljivi energetski virirazvojna strategijaSloveniaSlovenijasustainable developmenttrajnostni razvojvarstvo okoljaA study of key factors for energy policy modelling| Študij ključnih dejavnikov za modeliranje razvoja energetske politike|Environmental problems and high fossil fuel import dependency are core energy problems facing the EU, which has therefore committed itself to increasing its share of renewable energy sources (RES) to 20% by 2020. The implementation of planned measures is usually the most challenging issue in such a situation; therefore, energy models addressing this issue were studied. Because their specificity means that their usability is limited, we developed a more general model focused on the implementation of the planned measures for the development of a more sustainable energy policy with a higher share of RES. The key factors for modelling this transition were identified and examined, and a comparative analysis of Slovenian, EU, and global energy statistics and analyzed energy mix were carried out. In addition, RES potentials were evaluated, future energy demand was forecast, and compatibility of RES potentials and future energy demand was tested. Based on the results, two energy modelling approaches were developedOkoljski problemi in visoka uvozna odvisnost od fosilnih goriv so ključni problemi energetike Evropske unije (EU), zato se je EU med drugim zavezala k povečanju deleža energije iz obnovljivih virov (OVE) na 20 % do leta 2020. Pri tem je posebej problematično izvajanje ukrepov za doseganje teh ciljev, zato smo proučili energetske modele, ki vključujejo tudi delež obnovljivih virov. Energetski modeli so zaradi specifičnosti le omejeno uporabni, zato smo razvili splošnejši model, osredotočen tudi na izvajanje ukrepov za doseganje ciljev energetske politike. Za razvoj trajnostne energetike, z višjim deležem OVE, smo identificirali ključne dejavnike za modeliranje prehoda v trajnostno energetiko. Izvedli smo primerjalno analizo energetske statistike Slovenije, EU in sveta, proučili mešanico energetskih virov, ocenili potenciale OVE in prihodnje povpraševanje po energiji v Sloveniji ter ocenili njuno skladnost. Na tej osnovi smo razvili dva pristopa k modeliranju energetikeTEXTznanstveno časopisjejournalsSlovenian National E-content AggregatorNational and University Library of SloveniaUniverza v Mariboru, Ekonomsko-poslovna fakulteta