293 KB0 KB2025Chetty, SivanEita, Joel HinaunyeNwogbo, Afamefuna Emmanuelštevilka:2letnik:23str. 121-146, 233DOI:10.26493/1854-6935.23.121-146ISSN:1854-6935COBISSID_HOST:281140739URN:URN:NBN:SI:doc-8BGQ2I0BenUniversity of Primorska PressManaging global transitionsaged/elderly populationdelovno sposobno prebivalstvodemografijademographicsDumitrescu-Hurlin panel causalityDumitrescu-Hurlinova panelna vzročnosthipoteza življenjskega ciklahousehold savinglife-cycle hypothesispanel ARDLpanelna ARDLstarejše prebivalstvovarčevanje gospodinjstevworking age populationThe impact of demographic dynamics on household saving in pre-COVID-19 South Africa|This paper examines the effect of demographic dynamics on household saving in pre-COVID-19 South Africa, across all nine provinces of South Africa. The study used panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) and Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality methods. The results revealed a longrun relationship between demographic dynamics and household saving in South Africa, showing that the White working age population had a significant effect on South Africa’s household saving in both the long-run and short-run, while the Black and Coloured working age population groups significantly impacted household saving only in the long-run. However, the Asian/Indian working age population had no effect on household saving in either the long run or short run. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality analysis revealed a bidirectional causality running between Asian/Indian, Black, and Coloured population groups and household saving, while a unidirectional causality was found running from the White population group to household savingPričujoči članek preučuje vpliv demografskih dinamik na varčevanje gospodinjstev v Južni Afriki pred pandemijo covida-19, in sicer v vseh devetih provincah Južne Afrike. Raziskava je uporabila metodo PARDL (iz angl. panel autoregressive distributed lag) in Dumitrescu-Hurlinovo metodo panelne vzročnosti. Rezultati so pokazali dolgoročno povezavo med demografskimi dinamikami in varčevanjem gospodinjstev v Južni Afriki. Ugotovljeno je bilo, da ima delovno sposobno belo prebivalstvo pomemben vpliv na varčevanje gospodinjstev tako na dolgi kot na kratki rok, medtem ko imata delovno sposobni skupini temnopoltih in mešane rase pomemben vpliv le na dolgi rok. Po drugi strani pa delovno sposobno prebivalstvo azijskega/indijskega porekla nima vpliva na varčevanje gospodinjstev niti na dolgi niti na kratki rok. DumitrescuHurlinova analiza panelne vzročnosti je pokazala obojesmerno vzročnost med skupinami azijskega/indijskega in temnopoltega prebivalstva ter prebivalstva mešane rase in varčevanjem gospodinjstev, medtem ko je bila enosmerna vzročnost ugotovljena med belo populacijo in varčevanjem gospodinjstevTEXTznanstveno časopisjejournalsSlovenian National E-content AggregatorNational and University Library of SloveniaUniverza na Primorskem, Fakulteta za management