251 KB6 KB2019Barjaktarević, ZoranFurlan, Branimirletnik:21številka:3str. 95-108DOI:10.33179/BSV.99.SVI.11.CMC.21.3.5ISSN:2232-2825COBISSID:6262734URN:URN:NBN:SI:doc-IASRAAS9enGeneralštab Slovenske vojskeSodobni vojaški izzividefence expenditurefinancial contributionsfinanciranjeNATONATO membershipSlovenijastroškivojaška obrambavojskaNATO and Slovenia 15 years on| how accurate were projections about defence expenditure| kako uspešne so bile napovedi izdatkov za obrambo| Nato in Slovenija 15 let pozneje|The financial consequences of NATO membership had been a subject of debate in the reasons for Slovenian accession to the Alliance before 2004. In order to provide projections of financial obligations and defence expenditure of a new NATO member, some authors and institutions had developed appropriate financial assessments. Based on an analysis of the available sources the authors of this article try to find out how accurate those projections were. They recognize objective circumstances responsible for more or less accurate projections, observing a higher quality of assessments about future defence expenditure than those dealing with financial contributions to NATO budget. Among other messages they call for attention in avoiding possible wrong conclusions that the actual reduction of defence budget that had happened in reality is not a consequence of NATO membership as some projectedFinančne posledice članstva v Natu so bile pred letom 2004 predmet razprave o razlogih za članstvo Slovenije v zavezništvu. Zato so se oblikovale ocene, na podlagi katerih so različni avtorji in ustanove napovedovali finančne obveznosti ter obrambne izdatke nove članice. Avtorja tega prispevka na podlagi primerjave ocen in stanja po 15 letih ugotavljata, kako uspešne so bile te napovedi. Prepoznavata objektivne okoliščine, na podlagi katerih se je izoblikovala (ne)uspešna napoved. Pri tem ugotavljata boljšo kakovost opredeljevanja obrambnih izdatkov kot prispevkov za Nato. Obenem opozarjata na nevarnost napačnega razumevanja resničnega zmanjšanja obrambnih izdatkov v Sloveniji kot posledice članstvaTEXTznanstveno časopisjejournalsSlovenian National E-content AggregatorNational and University Library of SloveniaMinistrstvo za obrambo RS