Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 ECONOMIC-GEOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENTIATED DEVELOPMENT IN CROATIAN COASTAL REGION Zdenko Braičic Ph.D., Assistant Professor Faculty of Teacher Education University of Zagreb Savska 77, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia e-mail: zdenko.braicic@ufzg.hr Jelena Lončar Ph.D., Senior Assistant Faculty of Science Department of geography University of Zagreb Marulicev trg 19/II, 10 000 Zagreb, Croatia e-mail: jloncar@geog.pmf.hr UDK: 911.3:33:911.6 COBISS: 1.01 Abstract Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development in Croatian Coastal Region The main characteristic of the current development process in Republic of Croatia's coastal area is its unevenness. While former studies on differences in regional development have mainly discussed inequalities in terms of coast/inland/islands, this study analyzes a differentiated economic development along the Croatian coast, not including the islands. Basic analytical spatial units are cities and municipalities that can be classified^ into seven major coastal spatial units (sub-regions): Istria, Rijeka, Sub-Velebit, Zadar, Šibenik, Split and Dubrovnik-Neretva coastal area. In order to rate the level of development and determine differences in economic activities of coastal spatial region, several economic indicators have been taken into account. The results have confirmed that Istria and Rijeka coastal subregions are the most prosperous parts of Croatian coast. The economic orientation of cities and municipalities on the coast has been determined with the index of specialization. Key words Coastal spatial units, economic development, indicators, functional specialization, Croatia Uredništvo je članek prejelo 2.3.2015 7 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... 1. Introduction The main characteristic of the current development process in Republic of Croatia's coastal region is its unevenness. Unbalanced development trends have led to great disproportions in the level of development of cities and villages, coast and hinterland, north and the south (Fredotovic 1992), which is why there is no homogeneity or development system in the coastal region (Šimunovic 2007a, 29). Although the differences have existed before, it is evident that they were intensified while abandoning the socialist system and restructuring the overall economy (Feletar and Glamuzina 2002). Regional disparity is reflected, among other things, in "the excessive accumulation of people and goods on the coastal line and emigration from islands and littoral areas" (Šimunovic 2007b, 171). The coastal areas is characterized by intensive human activities, rapid population growth, exceptional interdependence of spatial, biological, cultural, economic and other processes, the existence of several natural systems (marine, continental, transitional, river) and the fact that it is a very ecologically sensitive area (Trumbic 2004). Adriatic area in a favorable economic, political and development framework, this space can be economically activated the fastest and in the most profitable way and therefore mediate in a rapid and efficient involvement of Croatia in global development (Kalogjera 1994, 60). While former studies on differences in regional development have mainly discussed inequalities in terms of coast/inland/islands, this study analyzes a differentiated economic development along the Croatian coast, not including the islands. According to 2011 census, the coastal area (without islands) is populated by one million inhabitants or 23.7% of Croatian population (Croatian Bureau of Statistics [CBS], 2013). The same area also holds almost a quarter of total employment in legal entities (24.1%) and a slightly smaller share of total unemployment (22.8%). Almost 90% of tourism takes place in the coastal area, whether it is related to natural attractiveness and the ecological component, whether to recreational purposes and leisure (Šimičic 1994, 35). Today the situation in tourism industry is such that it takes a strategic commitment to raise the general level of quality of all services that make a certain tourist product recognizable and valuable on the market. In strategic orientation, a great importance needs to be given to a process of supply diversification (Šimičic 1994, 38). And the industry was here of great importance, especially twenty years ago when it was the main economic activity and the engine of economic development. Due to technical and technological advance in maritime traffic, transport by sea has become cost-effective and enabled cheap transport of mass cargo to and from the biggest and greatest distances. The concept of coastal industry development is based on this. However, the industry in the Mediterranean, including the Croatian coastal zone, has been based on processing of local raw materials (Petric 1992). Based on these facts, the authors of this study have set up two hypotheses to be further confirmed or dismissed in the research: (1) some parts of Croatian coastal region are more economically developed than others and (2) some parts of Croatian coastal area (cities and municipalities) are more or less specialized in certain areas of economic activity. 8 Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 2. Theoretical background In recent years, region has been "rediscovered" as an important source of competitive advantages and organization of global space economy (Dunning 2007). The European Union has recognized very early the importance of regional policies. EU Regional Policy is the most important instrument for achieving cohesion and implies adjusting to new developments infrastructure development, reducing unemployment, stimulating industry and other forms of economic activity to improve competitiveness of local economy. As a part of EU, Croatia also became a beneficiary of these policies and programs. But, projects and programs that the EU offers to member states for regional development often result in the weakness in their implementation which is related not only to inadequate institutional and managerial capacities but also to difficulties and lack of adequate project documentation necessary for implementation of EU funded projects (Mine 2009). Cities, towns, countries and all local entities in global economy have the challenge and opportunity of crafting their own economic activities. This is true for the poorest as well as wealthiest localities (Blakely and Leigh 2009). But, from territorial point of view, only limited number of localities and regions seem to be reaping benefits from new opportunities provided by globalization. The „winning regions" can be divided into three categories: large metropolitan regions (financial, business, real estate and insurance services), intermediate industrial regions (these types of areas often combine labor costs advantages with respect to core areas making themselves attractive locations for new industrial investment) and tourist regions (tourist industry) (Pike Rodrigez-Pose and Tomaney 2006). Regional economics, in that way, helps to determine where different types of economic activity will prosper (Edwards 2007). But, local economic development should be distinguished from economic growth (Blakely and Leigh 2009). The new regionalism ideas that are driven from the model of local economic growth that draws from "new industrial spaces", "learning regions", "innovative milleu", and "regional innovation systems", have significant limitations. They do not measure economic growth or decline, but simply recognize "success"(Ersoy and Taylor 2012). For regions to be successful, the importance of knowledge in today modern economies for achieving development is inevitable. Numerous studies clearly indicate that even a moderate increase in the sphere of knowledge in a society can significantly increase the GDP. It can also bring greater investment in scientific research, and more pronounced general development of society. The EU has long been aware of this, therefore it is clear why the creation of knowledge society has been chosen as a priority in economic development (Mine 2009). 3. Data and methodological framework Development is profoundly a geographical phenomenon. Any definition of local and regional development requires an appreciation of fundamentally geographical concepts of space, territory, place and scale. Local and regional territories are dynamic and changing over time (Pike Rodrigez-Pose and Tomaney 2006). Local growth is, as practice showed, affected by location decisions (Blair and Caroll 2009). Taking into account different approaches in separating coastal areas in the world, Croatian coastal region discussed in this study includes administrative cities and municipalities whose territory extends along the coastline as well as cities and municipalities whose capital is up to 10 km away from the coast. These 9 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... administrative cities and municipalities are basic analytical spatial units classified into seven major coastal spatial units: Istria, Rijeka, Sub-Velebit, Zadar, Sibenik, Split and Dubrovnik- Neretva coastal area (Fig. 1). Fig. 1: The explored area - Croatian coastal region. Different indicators can be used to identify differences in economic activities of spatial units, or quantitatively and qualitatively identify and document spatial disparities. Kulke (2004) outlines that economic and geographical considerations can be explored by the following groups of indicators: a) economic indicators (describing the situation and dynamics of economic development in spatial units, such as income per capita, proportion of economic sectors, rate of unemployment, export quotas), b) social indicators (describing personal living conditions of spatial units' inhabitants, such as life expectancy, infant mortality, rate of illiteracy, number of physicians per 1000 inhabitants, access to drinking water) and c) ecological and economic indicators (describing the degree of using the environmental volume of consumption of natural resources). Since the population is a fundamental agent in economic growth and a factor of regional structure transformation, Croatian geographical research of regional development often use socio-demographic indicators (Nejasmic 2001; Pejnovic 2004; Zivic and Pokos 2005). In analyzing regional disparities in Croatia, Sic (2003) relies on three groups of indicators: 10 Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 demographic (layout and development of population), economic (number of business entities, business income, foreign direct investment, unemployment rate, etc.) and indicators of population supply (degree of automobilization, quality of telephone network, etc.). In order to rate the level of development and determine differences in economic activities of coastal spatial region, several economic indicators have been taken into account: a number of employees per 100 inhabitants, percentage of industrial workers, percentage of tourism workers in total number of employees, a number of unemployed per 100 inhabitants, export per capita and budget revenue of cities/municipalities per capita). Due to the unavailability of data on employment in sole proprietorships and free-lancing activities on a city/municipality level, the calculation of all indicators is based on number of employees in legal entities. The industrial workers are considered to be those employed in manufacturing activity, while tourism workers are considered to be those working in activities of providing accommodation and food service activities, which are core businesses and carriers of tourism development. To determine the economic orientation of coastal administrative-territorial units toward some economic activities, the index of specialization was used, and had indicated whether, and to what extent are certain parts of coast specialized in certain economic activities (manufacturing, tourism). The analysis of differentiated development of the coastal zone refers to the year of 2011 (structural analysis) as this was the year of the last Census with newest data in Croatia. Data for the calculation were taken from annual reports of official statistics, and some of the data were obtained at the Institute of public Finance. The obtained results are presented in tables and maps, and have pointed out to some parts of Croatian coast with below- or above- average indicators of economic development, as well as differences in economic activity. 4. Results 4.1 Indicators of differentiated economic development of the coastal region Development is a complex phenomenon which primarily depends on the market, business environment, availability and interpendance of production factors, with an appropriate combination of instruments of economy (Mine 2009). Regional government need to offer mobile investors a unique set of spatially fixed competitive advantage which are either customized to their individual needs or are not easily imitated by other regional governments (Dunning 2007). In order to identify economically more developed parts of the coast, as well as those with less favorable economic characteristics, the differentiated development has been comparatively analyzed and displayed on two levels of economic and geographical considerations - at a level of larger spatial of the coastal belt and at local levels (Tab. 1). With a developed function of labor, Split and Rijeka are the leading urban centers at the Croatian part of the Adriatic coast, with a result being that their coastal units hold most of the employees (work places). If we place into a relation the number of employees and the number of inhabitants, which is the first analyzed indicator, it is most favorable in Rijeka and Istria, and least favorable in Sub-Velebit coastal region. It should be noted that there are certain specifics of the Sub-Velebit coast compared to other coastal units that need to be taken into consideration when interpreting the data: it is an area of less favorable natural and geographical 11 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... conditions in which reside only a few thousands of people, there are only a few urban centers, which is why there are not any significant economic activities or work places. Tab. 1: Chosen indicators of economic development of spatial units in Croatian coastal region in 2011. rtl au cC o Oi CC CO 5T oî 5 O ¿ h s? 3 O ci a> ai ní rv LO fO o^ LO* o K O] LO CO fO 0% aï a U1 ^t O. 1/1 lO O vû lO fM n o fM n LO co o" co LO o co co fM co LO © s co ci Oj fÔ o CO ro o* fO fO OJ fO ai tO LO f^ rvT IO fM ^ fO M C V n Ü) o vû vO lO vû art lO co LO r-N fM fM co r-J tr ■-D CO fv IO fM LO UD LO CO fM fM LO rC fM ^ o co fM O rM fco LO ro to 00 O fM cq ai ro & fO . S ¿ Ji 3 u 1/1 > 0> Ol O co" co o vO O LO VD fÓ fM LO kO a* o CO n fM fx LD (O ta .tu £ fO o Ln ci (M co rM fM c-j rM co VD tO fM LO ai CM rv CT> ^ UD LO ro LO o^ LO o rM lO LO :r.; vo r^ Iv ^f (A O Ln o rv CO O LO co" ^ CO rv co fM Oi LO co oí rM ó fM T a LO M> Ó no ro kO rC L£> o LO "T LO u*i O r^ so n in tr rs « IO Indicator "ïû p o H O 0 flj Q. L0 V 0» S CL Ë 01 „_ e = S S C 5 II Ui s >- o CL E a* «j i/i =3 "O C o II -Q E 3 2 "¡5 o C trt Qf 1> >. O Cl E Ü « -g S h >-1/) o if ¡- aj ° o V i. I| m E £ c E =3 o c yl ÎJ ai > o Cl E a 'o ai E 3 2 "iü O C E (A 3 O C Š si žS t| " « ° o i. « Ë m o O o u ai CL u CL 0 01 a. "3 a> o CL E ai c 3 fl o - ai 2 c ¿ II o; T C «J "Q. flj U CL OJ C D > S "S a» TJ 3 CÛ v Cl O C Q. "O u- O o o ai d. ■Û r II U) O C Si s £ s II isl o aj i- ai q) >■ -D O ¡g z ai Sources: Croatian Bureau of Statistics [CBS] 2012a, 2012b, 2013; Croatian Employment Service [CES] 2012; Ministry of Finance [MF] 2013; own analysis. 12 Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 The analysis at a local level has shown that a more favorable ratio of the number of employees (at legal entities) and the number of inhabitants is a characteristic of cities and municipalities along the western and eastern coast of Istria (see Fig. 2). At the rest of the coast, this ratio is more favorable in macro-regional and regional centers (Split, Rijeka, Pula, Zadar, Sibenik, Dubrovnik), and their administrative-territorial units and some suburban municipalities (such as Zemunik Donji near Zadar, Bakar near Rijeka, etc.), while in the south, due to advanced harbor functions, the city of Ploce stands out. Those are the administrative-territorial units that stand out with higher concentration of economic activities and work places. On the other hand, less than 5 employees per 100 inhabitants are recorded in municipalities Marcana (Istrian coast), Bibinje, Galovac, Jasenice, Novigrad and Razanac (Zadar coast), Dugi Rat in Split and Slivno in Dubrovnik coastal area. These are the municipalities that lack a significant economic base, which is why their existence is questionable. Fig. 2: Administrative cities and municipalities in Croatian coastal region according to the number of employees in legal entities per 100 inhabitants in 2011. Sources: CBS 2012a; CBS 2013. Since tourism and industry are significant factors of socio- geographic changes in coastal part of Croatia, below are isolated the cities and municipalities that stand 13 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... out with significant proportion of them (Tab. 2). Cities and municipalities Raša, Kraljeviča, Vrsi and Poličnik have more than 50% of workers employed in manufacturing industry. This is supported by the fact that cities which are also regional centers develop tertiary and quaternary activities, while middle-sized cities are more oriented to secondary and tertiary activities. Smaller cities adapt to the needs of such environment, which is why their structure takes on characteristics of that area (Šimunovic et al. 2011). On the other hand, a high proportion of workers in tourism is noted in cities and municipalities of Makarska Riviera (within the Split coastal area), especially Brela, Tučepi and Podgora where tourism has become a backbone of life (Blaževic and Pepeonik 1996, 179-180). Since among the ten highly industrial municipalities there are no prominently touristic, it is clear that administrative-territorial units with a high share of workers in industry typically have smaller shares of workers in tourism. Tab. 2: Administrative cities and municipalities in the coastal region with largest shares (%) of workers in manufacturing industry and tourism in 2011. Manufacturing industry Tourism Municipality/ Coastal % workers in Municipality/ City Coastal % workers City area industry area in tourism Ra ša Istria 73.1 Brela Split 64.5 Kraljevica Rijeka 62.7 Tučepi Split 63.6 Vrsi Zadar 55.8 Podgora Split 60.2 Poličnik Zadar 53.0 Seget Split 58.3 Trogir Split 47.7 Tar-Vabriga Istria 47.8 Marina Split 46.5 Jasenice Zadar 44.8 Kostrena Rijeka 44.3 Gradac Split 39.4 Klis Split 39.3 Mošcenička Draga Rijeka 38.4 Bakar Rijeka 35.3 Nin Zadar 37.6 Vodnjan Istria 33.1 Podstrana Split 34.5 Source: CBS 2012a; own analysis. High shares of workers in manufacturing industry in some administrative-territorial units are not necessarily a reflection of a high number of employees. Only a dozen cities and municipalities at the coast contain large industrial centers with more than 1,000 industrial work places (Tab. 3). In Istria coast, more than a 1,000 of workers in manufacturing industry are situated in Pula and Labin. Pula is known by a very developed shipbuilding activity, electrical, metal and building materials industry, glass processing, etc. and Labin by mechanical engineering, metal and textile industry. With 5,055 of workers in manufacturing industry, Pula is, after Split and Rijeka, the third largest city of the coastal region, considering the number of industrial work force. In Rijeka coastal area, units with more than a thousand industrial workers are Rijeka and Bakar (and until recently Kostrena). In Bakar, industry has developed significantly during the second half of the 20th century, due to a lack of space in the narrow Rijeka city area. The remaining Bakar's industry is concentrated in industrial-commercial zone Kukuljanovo (where there are more and more shopping malls and less and less industries), and in Kostrena in the location of Urinj. Although many factories have closed, in 2011 there were still 6,837 industrial workers employed in Rijeka, mainly in shipbuilding. Toward the south, industrial activity is lower, especially in the Sub-Velebit area (where it is almost nonexistent), but also in Zadar and Sibenik coastal area. Since many industries have been shut down, and partly since it is located outside of the 14 Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 narrow city area, there are only 1,633 industrial workers in Zadar (2011), working mainly in food industry. Chemical, metal and tobacco industries have mostly disappeared from the economic structure of the city. On the other hand, many entrepreneurial zones have been formed in the suburban municipality of Policnik in the past several years; there is many Zadar firms situated. So we can say that business development is an essential component of local economic development planning because of creation, attraction and retention of business activities that build and maintain a healthy local economy. Many industrial capacities of Sibenik city have disappeared during the economic transition, although we can still find some remains of metal industry that used to be a symbol of urban economy. Tab. 3: Administrative cities and municipalities of the coastal region with a largest number of workers in manufacturing industry and tourism in 2011. Manufacturing industry Tourism Municipality/City Coastal area Number of employees Municipality/City Coastal area Number of employees Split Split 8,244 Dubrovnik Dubrovnik-Neretva 2,376 Rijeka Rijeka 6,837 Opatija Rijeka 1,313 Pula Istria 5,055 Split Split 1,311 Sibenik Sibenik 1,963 Poreč Istria 1,308 Trogir Split 1,932 Rijeka Rijeka 1,188 Zadar Zadar 1,633 Rovinj Istria 1,093 Kastela Split 1,499 Umag Istria 845 Solin Split 1,280 Pula Istria 715 Bakar Rijeka 1,137 Zadar Zadar 705 Labin Istria 1,032 Konavle Dubrovnik-Neretva 420 Source: CBS 2012a; own analysis. Despite the omnipresent deindustrialization and decline in the function of labor, manufacturing industry is still an important element in the economic structure of Split coastal area. Split is, according to number of industrial workers (8,244), a leading industrial center of Croatian coastal region. After the World War II, Split has developed economic and non-economic functions that made it a regional center of Dalmatia (Klempic 2004), but today, because the labor function is weakening and tertiary and quaternary activities in other larger cities in south Croatia are strengthening, due to a new administrative-territorial organization and other reasons, its great gravitational influence has been significantly reduced and narrowed. There are more than 1,000 industrial workers in other neighbouring towns, such as Trogir, Kastela and Solin. But, monopolies can be a problem at local level even in industries that are competitive at the national level (Blair and Caroll 2009). A measure for unemployment was the ratio of the number of unemployed and a number of inhabitants (Fig. 3). While the situation in Split is very negative, in Istria there are much better circumstances. One can say that this situation is partially a consequence of Istria's special position that is more favorable compared to some other parts of Croatia, especially since Croatia is now getting more close to Europe (European Union) and neighboring labor markets (Slovenia and Italy). A relatively favorable ratio of the number of unemployed and total number of inhabitants can be seen in a number of cities and municipalities in the south of Croatia, where tourism is an important factor in lowering unemployment. Although some studies outline that Zadar, thanks to significant investment in infrastructure and construction of the 15 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... highway that connects it with Zagreb and Split, has become an important economic and social center after decades of stagnation (Klempic Bogadi and Podgorelec 2009), we have to note that Zadar and Split are areas with most municipalities with the most unfavorable ratio of the number of unemployed and number of inhabitants. Fig. 3: Administrative cities and municipalities of Croatia coastal region according to the number of unemployed per 100 inhabitants in 2011. Source: CES 2012. Indicators of economic unevenness in the coastal region were export per capita and budget revenue from export (of cities and municipalities) per capita (see Tab. 4). Since manufacturing industry is the main exporter of goods, data on export of specific spatial units indicate the level of industrial development and every increase and decrease in industrial production reflects on export (Teodorovic 2000). Thanks to a more developed manufacturing industry, export per capita in Istria is several times greater than in some other coastal units. The table below shows ten local units with the highest export per capita, and it is clear that most of them are located in the Istria coastal area. When it comes to budget revenue from exports, which is the next analyzed indicator, the situation is similar. Local units in Istria have the least difficulty in bringing budget revenue, while on the other hand, there is a considerable number of local units in the coastal zone that have brought less than 16 Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 2,000 HRK per capita! Most of them are situated in Zadar area, but there are some on other parts of the coast. Therefore, according to the ability to collect revenue, local units vary greatly, and export revenue per capita is also an indicator of their fiscal capacity. Tab. 4: Administrative cities and municipalities of the coastal region with largest export and budget revenue per capita in 2011. Export per capita Original budget revenue per capita Municipality/ City Coastal area Amount in HRK* Municipality/City Coastal region Amount in HRK* Policnik Zadar 107,324 Novigrad Istria 13,708 Krsan Istria 98,642 Funtana Istria 12,539 Labin Istria 79,806 Kostrena Rijeka 9,662 Novigrad Istria 72,972 Bale Istria 9,655 Pula Istria 57,681 Tar-Vabriga Istria 9,072 Buje Istria 48,548 Karlobag Sub-Velebit 8,744 Trogir Split 41,828 Vrsar Istria 8,110 Bakar Rijeka 40,184 Brtonigla Istria 7,956 Rovinj Istria 38,747 Porec Istria 7,922 Rasa Istria 37,926 Medulin Istria 7,704 * 1 euro = 7,66 HRK (Croatian National Bank exchange rate) http://www.hnb.hr/tecajn1/h-arhiva-tecajn.htm Sources: CBS 2012b; MF 2013; own analysis. In the end we can outline administrative-territorial units that are by three or more indicators (out of six) among twenty municipalities with least favorable characteristics. Zadar area includes even eleven of them (Novigrad, Bibinje, Jasenice, Razanac, Barban, Sv. Lovrec, Galovac, Posedarje, Privlaka, Sukosan, Sv. Filip i Jakov, Vrsi and Zemunik Donji), four of them are located in the Split area (Dugi Rat, Gradac, Marina, Seget), while two of them are situated in Istria (Barban, Sv. Lovrec) and Dubrovnik-Neretva (Slivno, Janjina) coastal subregion. On the territory of these cities and municipalities there is typically a small number of jobs, manufacturing activity and/or tourism are not significantly developed, and the unemployment is high. 4.2 Functional specialization of administrative cities and municipalities in selected economic activities Starting from the assumption that certain parts of the coastal belt are more or less specialized in certain economic activities, indices of specialization were calculated for some administrative cities and municipalities. The results have indicated the cities and municipalities that are specialized in certain economic activities, manufacturing industry or tourism, which are considered to be a significant factor in transformation of the geographical area on the coast. Administrative cities and municipalities with above-average proportion of industry workers in relation to the entire coastal region are specialized in the manufacturing sector. The following map (see Fig. 4), shows the contours of two industrial regions that exist in the coastal area: Split and Rijeka-Istria. Industry dominates there in both economic structure and as a factor of transformation (Feletar and Stiperski 1992). In the manufacturing sector, more specialized are the City of Trogir and municipalities of Marina and Klis within the Split industrial region. We can also highlight the cities of Bakar, Kraljevica and Vodnjan and municipalities Rasa and Kostrena in Rijeka-Istria industrial region. Their index of specialization is greater than 2.00. Outside of these two industrial areas, there are also two suburban 17 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... municipalities in Zadar with the index of specialization 2.00, where a number of enterpreneurial zones were established for productive purposes. Fig. 4: Administrative cities and municipalities of the Croatian coastal region specialized in the sector of manufacturing industry and/or sector of tourism (the activity of providing accommodation and food service activities) in 2011 Sources: CBS 2012a; CBS 2013; own analysis. Since larger cities, or regional and macro-regional centers, are oriented to a larger number of activities (Vresk 1996), instead of specialization, they are characterized by functional diversification. The only regional center that is to some degree specialized in industry sector is Pula, where there are 22.8% of industrial workers and the index of specialization is 1.46. Throughout the whole analysis, the exception is the City of Ploce which was primarily developed as a transit cargo port and is therefore focused on the transport sector. That is a result of its favorable location in the valley of Neretva River which is an important transport corridor through the Dinarides. An especially important traffic route is Ploce-Sarajevo-Samac-Osijek to Hungary which intercepts with several longitudinal directions. Ploce serves as a transit ports primarily for the economy of Bosnia and Herzegovina and other countries such as Hungary, Slovakia and Czech Republic (Curie 1993). 18 Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 The Croatian south, from Omiš to cape Oštra, provides the largest, almost continuous areas of cities and municipalities specialized in tourism, i.e. the economic activity of providing accommodation and food service activities. It includes the southern part of Split (Makarska Riviera) and Dubrovnik coastal area. Together with the cities and municipalities of Makarska Riviera (Baška Voda, Brela, Gradac, Podgora, Podstrana and Tučepi) and Dubrovnik coastal area (Konavle), parts of Istria coast (Poreč, Rovinj, Medulin and Tar-Vabriga) are also significantly specialized in the sector of tourism and hotel and restaurant activity. Their index of specialization is greater than 3.00. Indices greater than that can also be found in cities and municipalities of Lovran, Mošcenička Draga and Opatija (Opatija Riviera), in Jasenice, Nin, and Starigrad in Zadar and Vodice, Tisno and Primošten in Šibenik area. Since regional and macro-regional centers are characterized by functional diversification, they are not specialized in either tourism or hotel and restaurants industry. Among them, only Dubrovnik (17.1%) exceeds the average proportion of workers in tourism for the coastal area (6.6%) and is also the only regional center specialized in that economic activity (its index of specialization is 2.59). There are no other strong tourist centers in other parts of southern Croatia, which is a result of polarized development of Dubrovnik, poor transport infrastructure (port Gruž and Dubrovnik airport are focused on the arrival of tourists almost exclusively to the City of Dubrovnik) and consequences of war occupation of the Dubrovnik which resulted in destroyed municipal infrastructure and housing fund. Today, the development perspectives of these areas are based on reconstruction of tourist and hotel capacities, rural tourism, development of aquaculture, agriculture (in terms of collecting and selling aromatic and medicinal plants and traditional crops such as grapes and olives), bee-keeping, processing of architectural and decorative stone, wind power, etc. (Karlic Mujo 2010). Data in the following map suggest that municipalities that are specialized in the sector of tourism are not also specialized in the sector of manufacturing. Since tourism and industry are traditionally viewed as two opposing human activities and economic sectors with many elements of disagreement (Feletar, Malic and Stiperski 1994), the results is quite expected. In other words, administrative-territorial units with a high share of tourism workers do not typically have a significantly developed industry. A more careful analysis, however, revealed some cities and municipalities in coastal area with above-average employment in both economic activities, meaning the indices of specialization were higher than 1.00. Those are mainly the cities and municipalities in Istria coastal subregion: Labin, Novigrad, Rovinj, Umag and Brtonigla. This indicates certain signs of mutual cooperation between the two activities, for example, food industry serves hotels in tourism. Cooperation opportunities also lie between shipbuilding and nautical tourism (Vojnovic 2001, 122-123). Parts of Istrian coast are an example of how tourism and industry can develop parallel and complement each other. 5. Conclusion Croatian coastal region has always had significant economic potentials that have not always been best directed. This is partly a result of a poorly oriented national and local development policy that has not made benefit from European regional funds and their potential, neither before, when Croatia was only a candidate, nor after accession the EU. 19 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... With the development of tourism, transport, maritime and overall coastal economy, a stronger effect of littoralization has begun at the stage of industrialization, followed by economic transformation of the most of the coastal region. On the other hand, deindustrialization has led to negative consequences and economic deterioration of those areas that had failed to manage an focus on their activities, mostly of the tertiary sector. However, it now comes to realization that tourism cannot be the sole holder of economic progress, but that industrial activity is also one of the foundations for economic prosperity. Therefore, those cities and municipalities that have managed to maintain a mixed economy and have not concentrated only on tourism, are now the most developed areas of the Croatian coastal region. Large cities, regional and macro-regional centers, are still the bearers of overall economic development of the surrounding wider and narrower areas, which is a result of pervasive centralized economy at the coastal belt and Croatia in general. For small municipalities and towns, a good option could be economic specialization, of course, if it is in harmony with natural constraints and greater reliance on local resources and their exploitation. In that way, at least partially, unemployment in that area would be decreased, and the opening of new business (entrepreneurial) zones and incentives to young entrepreneurs and everyone also would make opportunities for self-employment. As the economic conditions, according to the most indicators, are the most favorable in Istria and Rijeka coastal subregions, it can be stated that the northern part of Croatian coast is economically more advanced than the rest of the coast, and it was successful in adopting the changes that Croatian economy has been affected with over the last twenty years. Istria coast has got the best economic indicators: in that northern part of Croatian coast that is closest to Central Europe unemployment is the lowest, export and budget revenue per capita are the highest, as well as the proportion of industrial workers in total number of employed. Nevertheless, there are not marginalized areas in Croatian coast, but it is possible to identify areas that are more or less specialized in certain economic activities. That is especially true in southern Croatia (Dubrovnik coast and southern part of the Split coast), that is primarily focused on tourism and hotels and restaurants and stays "monocultural" without any other economic perspective. Istria is, on the other hand, a good example of successful combination of elements of tourism and manufacturing industry. 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Živic, D., Pokos, N. 2005: Odabrani sociodemografski indikatori razvijenosti Hrvatske i županija. Revija za sociologiju 36 (3-4):207-224. 22 Revija za geografijo - Journal for Geography, 10-1, 2015, 91-106 ECONOMIC-GEOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENTIATED DEVELOPMENT IN CROATIAN COASTAL REGION Summary Adriatic area is a key spatial unit in the Republic of Croatia, with a unique spatial, climatic and ecological identity and economic potential. As the resources of coastal areas should contribute significantly to national economies, it is essential that the Adriatic area is present in national development strategy, which is not a case yet. The initial development based on industry after World War II, based on raw materials and local natural resources, to the early 1990s, has not caused the expected progress in all coastal areas. However, at the poles and centers of development, there was a stronger momentum of economic development that has later spread to surrounding hinterland area. Coastal region of Croatia is one of the regions which still has not recognized and used all the possibilities of European Union projects concerning regional development, while the involvement in global economy and global flows is also very far. Croatian coastal region discussed in this paper includes administrative cities and municipalities whose territory extends along the coastline as well as cities and municipalities whose capital is up to 10 km away from the coast, since it is the economically most active part of the region. These administrative cities and municipalities are basic analytical spatial units classified into seven major coastal spatial units which are mostly the same as the area of the counties: Istria, Rijeka, Sub-Velebit, Zadar, Sibenik, Split and Dubrovnik- Neretva coastal area. Due to privatization of the public sector, globalization of labor market, process of tertiarization through creating new services and the aggression on Croatia, from the beginning of the 1990s, the process of deindustrialization in Croatia has been intensified (Perackovie 2011). During the economic transition, the industry has virtually vanished from a significant part of the coast. Although the share of workers in industry have decreased everywhere, there are some differences, so in the Istria coast the proportion of industrial workers remains 22.1% of total employment, while in the far south (Dubrovnik-Neretva sub-region) it amounts only 3.6%, meaning that the industry is almost nonexistent. Although the unemployment is quite high in most parts of coastal area, especially in the Split area, where many large firms established during the socialist period stopped working or reduced the volume of production, circumstances are more favorable in Istria. In a number of cities and municipalities in Istria, there is less than four unemployed people recorded per 100 inhabitants, which is a precedent on the Croatian Adriatic coast. The reason for that is that communities based on a single industry or a few major employers will be more vulnerable than those with a more diverse economic base. As a result, communities with narrow or declining economic bases will have to develop more sophisticated economic strategies to remain economically and socially desirable places (Blakely and Leigh 2009). Consequently, Zadar, Sibenik and Dubrovnik regional centers are not specialized in the sector of manufacturing industry, nor are the macro-regional (and also important industrial) centers Split and Rijeka. 23 Zdenko Braičic, Jelena Lončar: Economic-Geographic Analysis of Differentiated Development... When talking about tourism, Dubrovnik is the most specialized region in this sector. However, Dubrovnik still suffers because of its poor road infrastructure and transportation connections with the rest of Croatia and the uneven economic activity and capacities of the whole Dubrovnik-Neretva area (Marie 2009). These problems are essential to solve, as investments in infrastructure and their maintenance, and are seen as being essential to sustainability and competitiveness of regional economic systems. Recently though, infrastructure is seen not only as hard infrastructure, but also as soft infrastructure (education, health, governance, knowledge) (Stimson, Stough and Roberts 2006). Istria is the most developed part of Croatian coastal region. For the rest of the Croatian coast, economic conditions are less favorable: unemployment is traditionally the highest in the coastal area of Split, tourism is the least developed in Sub-Velebit area, and manufacturing industry is least active in Dubrovnik area, which is why export is almost completely absent in that area. So, the specific objectives of regional and local economic development, including one in Croatian costal region, should include: strengthening competitive position of regions by developing otherwise underutilized human and natural resource potentials, realizing opportunities for indigenous economic growth by recognizing the opportunities available for locally produced products and services, improving employment levels and long-term career options for local inhabitants, as well as improving the physical environment as a necessary component of improving the climate for business development and enhancing the quality of life of inhabitants. Policies to accomplish these aims include sustainable investment, medium and long-term job creation and building of local institutions capable of sustaining an area's economic validity (Blakely and Leigh 2009). 24