27. FEBRUAR 2006 27 FEBRUARY 2006 Št./No 49 19 GRADBENIŠTVO CONSTRUCTION Št./No 5 POSLOVNE TENDENCE V GRADBENIŠTVU, SLOVENIJA, FEBRUAR 2006 BUSINESS TENDENCY IN CONSTRUCTION, SLOVENIA, FEBRUARY 2006 Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika zaupanja je bila za 3 odstotne točke višja kot pretekli mesec. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila nižja za 14 odstotnih točk ter za 7 odstotnih točk nižja od lanskega povprečja. The seasonally adjusted value of the confidence indicator rose by 3 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 14 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 7 percentage points. Na rast kazalnika zaupanja je v februarju 2006 vplivalo zvišanje pričakovanega zaposlovanja. The rise of the confidence indicator in February 2006 was influenced by the improvement of expected employment. Kazalniki stanj so se v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem večinoma izboljšali. Pričakovanja za naslednje tri mesece niso ugodna, z izjemo pričakovanega zaposlovanja. Compared to the previous month, the observed indicators for appreciation of the situation mostly deteriorated. The expectations for the next three months are favourable, except for expected employment. 1. KAZALNIK ZAUPANJA V GRADBENIŠTVU 1) V SLOVENIJI IN EU2), MAREC 2002–FEBRUAR 2006 CONSTRUCTION CONFIDENCE INDICATOR 1) IN SLOVENIA AND EU 2), MARCH 2002–FEBRUARY 2006 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 M 2002 A M J J A S O N D J 2003 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2004 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % desezonirani podatki - Slovenija / seasonally adjusted data - Slovenia dolgoletno povprečje / long-term average desezonirani podatki - EU / seasonally adjusted data - EU © SURS 1) Kazalnik zaupanja je povprečje odgovorov (ravnotežij) na vprašanji o sedanjih skupnih naročilih in pričakovanem zaposlovanju. The confidence indicator is an average of responses (balances) to questions on overall order-books assessments and employment expectations. 2) Vir / Source: http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm. Podatki za EU za zadnji mesec niso na voljo. / Data for EU for the last month are not available. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 2 Rapid reports No 49/2006 2. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV V GRADBENIŠTVU V SLOVENIJI, MAREC 2002 - FEBRUAR 2006 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN CONSTRUCTION IN SLOVENIA, MARCH 2002 - FEBRUARY 2006 Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Poslovno stanje / Business situation Tehnične zmogljivosti1) / Technical capacity1) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 3,5 3,8 4,1 4,4 4,7 5 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 mesec/month © SURS Ocena stanj Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih Expectations over the next 3 months -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 90 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Pričakovana skupna naročila / Order-books expectations -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Zaposlovanje / Employment -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations Cene / Prices -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -10 0 10 20 30 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS ⎯ originalni podatki / raw data desezonirani podatki / seasonally adjusted data - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje / long-term average 1) Količina in kakovost opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. / Amount and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 Rapid reports No 49/2006 3 3. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV GLEDE NA VRSTO GRADBENIH OBJEKTOV, SLOVENIJA, FEBRUAR 2005–FEBRUAR 2006 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS BY THE TYPE OF CONSTRUCTION, SLOVENIA, FEBRUARY 2005–FEBRUARY 2006 3.1 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za stavbe, Slovenija, februar 2005 - februar 2006 Evolution of economic indicators for buildings, Slovenia, February 2005 - February 2006 Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Poslovno stanje / Business situation -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Tehnične zmogljivosti1) / Technical capacity1) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F mesec/month © SURS Ocena stanj Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih Expectations over the next 3 months Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovana skupna naročila / Order-books expectations -30 -10 10 30 50 70 90 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zaposlovanje / Employment -20 -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Cene / Prices -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS ⎯ stavbe buildings ⎯ gradbeništvo construction - - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average 1) Količina in kakovost opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. / Amount and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 4 Rapid reports No 49/2006 3.2 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za stanovanjske stavbe, Slovenija, februar 2005 - februar 2006 Evolution of economic indicators for residential buildings, Slovenia, February 2005 - February 2006 Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -70 -40 -10 20 50 80 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Poslovno stanje / Business situation -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Tehnične zmogljivosti1) / Technical capacity1) -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F mesec/month © SURS Ocena stanj Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih Expectations over the next 3 months Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -45 -25 -5 15 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovana skupna naročila / Order-books expectations -30 0 30 60 90 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zaposlovanje / Employment -30 -10 10 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Cene / Prices -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -20 -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS ⎯ stanovanjske stavbe residential buildings ⎯ gradbeništvo construction - - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average 1) Količina in kakovost opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. / Amount and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 Rapid reports No 49/2006 5 3.3 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za gradbene inženirske objekte, Slovenija, februar 2005 - februar 2006 Evolution of economic indicators for civil engineering, Slovenia, February 2005 - February 2006 Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -75 -50 -25 0 25 50 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Poslovno stanje / Business situation -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Tehnične zmogljivosti1) / Technical capacity1) -10 0 10 20 30 40 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,5 6,0 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F mesec/month © SURS Ocena stanj Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih Expectations over the next 3 months Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -60 -40 -20 0 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovana skupna naročila / Order-books expectations -40 0 40 80 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zaposlovanje / Employment -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Cene / Prices -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -5 0 5 10 15 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS ⎯ gradbeni inženirski objekti civil engineering ⎯ gradbeništvo construction - - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average 1) Količina in kakovost opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. / Amount and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 6 Rapid reports No 49/2006 4. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV V PODJETJIH PO DEJAVNOSTIH, SLOVENIJA, FEBRUAR 2005–FEBRUAR 2006 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN ENTERPRISES BY ACTIVITY, SLOVENIA, FEBRUARY 2005–FEBRUARY 2006 4.1 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v podjetjih z dejavnostjo gradnja objektov in delov objektov, Slovenija, februar 2005 - februar 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in enterprises engaged in construction works, Slovenia, February 2005 - February 2006 Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -60 -20 20 60 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Poslovno stanje / Business situation -35 -25 -15 -5 5 15 25 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Tehnične zmogljivosti1) / Technical capacity1) -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,5 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F mesec/month © SURS Ocena stanj Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih Expectations over the next 3 months Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovana skupna naročila / Order-books expectations -50 -25 0 25 50 75 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zaposlovanje / Employment -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Cene / Prices -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -5 0 5 10 15 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS ⎯ gradnja objektov in delov objektov construction works ⎯ gradbeništvo construction - - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average 1) Količina in kakovost opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. / Amount and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 Rapid reports No 49/2006 7 4.2 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v podjetjih z dejavnostjo inštalacije pri gradnjah, Slovenija, februar 2005 - februar 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in enterprises engaged in installing equipment and fixtures, Slovenia, February 2005 - February 2006 Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Poslovno stanje / Business situation -30 -15 0 15 30 45 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Tehnične zmogljivosti1) / Technical capacity1) -10 0 10 20 30 40 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F mesec/month © SURS Ocena stanj Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih Expectations over the next 3 months Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovana skupna naročila / Order-books expectations -30 0 30 60 90 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zaposlovanje / Employment -40 -20 0 20 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Cene / Prices -30 -20 -10 0 10 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -20 -10 0 10 20 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS ⎯ inštalacije pri gradnjah installation of equipment and fixtures ⎯ gradbeništvo construction - - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average 1) Količina in kakovost opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. / Amount and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 8 Rapid reports No 49/2006 4.3 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v podjetjih z dejavnostjo zaključna gradbena dela, Slovenija, februar 2005 - februar 2006 Evolution of economic indicators in enterprises engaged in finishing works, Slovenia, February 2005 - February 2006 Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Poslovno stanje / Business situation -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Tehnične zmogljivosti1) / Technical capacity1) -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F mesec/month © SURS Ocena stanj Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih Expectations over the next 3 months Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovana skupna naročila / Order-books expectations -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Zaposlovanje / Employment -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations -30 -15 0 15 30 45 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS Cene / Prices -25 -15 -5 5 15 25 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -20 -10 0 10 20 F 2005 M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F % © SURS ⎯ zaključna gradbena dela finishing works ⎯ gradbeništvo construction - - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average 1) Količina in kakovost opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. / Amount and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 Rapid reports No 49/2006 9 5. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV V GRADBENIŠTVU V SLOVENIJI IN EU, MAREC 2002–FEBRUAR 20061) EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN CONSTRUCTION IN SLOVENIA ANDTHE EU, MARCH 2002–FEBRUARY 20061) Obseg gradbenih del / Assessment of building activity -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Zagotovljeno delo2) / Assured work in hand2) 3,5 4,5 5,5 6,5 7,5 8,5 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 mesec/month © SURS Skupna naročila / Overall order-books -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Pričakovane cene / Price expectations -10 -5 0 5 10 15 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Employment expectations -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % © SURS Slovenija / Slovenia EU 1) Vir / Source: http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm. Podatki o EU za zadnji mesec niso na voljo. Podatki so desezonirani. / Data for the EU for the last month are not available. Data are seasonally adjusted. 2) Že začeto ali s pogodbami dogovorjeno delo pri običajnih delovnih urah. Kazalnik opazujejo v EU vsake 3 mesece. / With normal working hours, works in progress and contracts in hand. In the EU the indicator is observed every three months. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 10 Rapid reports No 49/2006 6. OMEJITVENI DEJAVNIKI V GRADBENIŠTVU V SLOVENIJI, MAREC 2002 - FEBRUAR 2006 FACTORS LIMITING BUILDING ACTIVITY IN SLOVENIA, MARCH 2002 - FEBRUARY 2006 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% M 2002 A M J J A S O N D J 2003 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2004 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2006 F ni omejitev / no limits težave s povpraševanjem / weakness in demand težave s ponudbo / supply difficulties hude omejitve / severe obstacles © SURS Graf ponazarja deleže zaposlenih v gradbeništvu, ki se soočajo z naslednjimi skupinami težav: – Skupina "ni omejitev" zajema zaposlene, ki se ne soočajo z omejitvami. – Skupina "težave s povpraševanjem" zajema zaposlene, ki imajo težave z nezadostnim povpraševanjem in konkurenco v dejavnosti. – Skupina "težave s ponudbo" zajema zaposlene, ki imajo težave s slabimi vremenskimi pogoji, visokimi finančnimi stroški, visokimi stroški materiala in dela, težave pri pridobivanju kreditov. V to skupino sodijo tudi podjetja, ki imajo težave s pomanjkanjem usposobljenih delavcev, opreme in materialov. – Skupina "hude omejitve" zajema zaposlene, ki imajo hkrati težave z dejavniki iz skupine "šibko povpraševanje" in z dejavniki iz skupine "težave s preskrbo". The chart on production obstacles shows the share of employees who are facing the following groups of problems: – Group "no limits" includes employees with no limits in building activity. – Group "weakness in demand" includes employees who are facing insufficient demand and competition in own sector. – Group "supply difficulties" includes employees who are facing bad weather conditions, high cost of finance, materials and/or labour; difficulties with access to bank credits, lack of equipment, and shortage of skilled labour and shortage of materials. – Group "severe obstacles" includes employees who are facing at the same time problems from the group "weakness in demand" and those from the group "supply difficulties". Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 Rapid reports No 49/2006 11 METODOLOŠKA POJASNILA METHODOLOGICAL EXPLANATIONS NAMEN STATISTIČNEGA RAZISKOVANJA PURPOSE OF STATISTICAL SURVEY Namen kvalitativne Ankete o poslovnih tendencah v gradbeništvu (PA- GRAD/M) je mesečno pridobivanje informacij o trenutnih stanjih glavnih ekonomskih kazalnikov ter ocenitev njihovega gibanja v naslednjih mesecih. Rezultati anket so osnova za izračun kazalnika zaupanja v gradbeništvu. The purpose of the qualitative Survey on Business Tendency in Construction (hereinafter: PA-GRAD/M) is to get monthly information about current situations of major economic indicators and to evaluate their movement in the following months. The results of the survey are the basis for evaluation of the construction confidence indicator. Anketo o poslovnih tendencah v gradbeništvu izvajamo v Sloveniji od marca 2002 s poenotenim vprašalnikom, na podlagi poenotene metodologije in z enako periodiko, kot jo izvajajo v državah članicah Evropske unije že več desetletij. Zato so vsi podatki neposredno primerljivi. We have been carrying out the Survey on Business Tendency in Construction in Slovenia since March 2002 with the harmonised questionnaire, methodology and periodicity, which have been used in EU Member States for several decades. Therefore, all data are directly comparable. ENOTE OPAZOVANJA OBSERVATION UNITS Opazujemo podjetja, ki so razvrščena v gradbeništvo, to je v oddelek Standardne klasifikacije dejavnosti (SKD) 45, in imajo 11 zaposlenih ali več ter so bila izbrana na podlagi dveh meril, in sicer: We are monitoring units that are registered in construction – division 45 of the Standard Classification of Activities (SKD) and have 11 or more employees. They were selected by two criteria: − velikosti (število zaposlenih, skladno z zakonom o gospodarskih družbah) in − razvrstitve podjetja po SKD-ju. − the size of the enterprise (the number of employees in accordance with the Companies Act), − classification of the enterprise according to the SKD. VIRI SOURCES Na vprašalnik odgovarjajo direktorji podjetij ali drugi vodilni delavci med 1. in 10. v mesecu. Respondents to the monthly questionnaire are managers of enterprises or other executives. They respond between the 1st and the 10th in the month. ZAJETJE COVERAGE V anketi sodeluje 433 izbranih gradbenih podjetij. V anketo smo zajeli vsa velika in srednjevelika podjetja in vsa mala podjetja z 11 zaposlenimi in več. 433 enterprises participate in the survey. We included all large and medium- sized enterprises and all small enterprises with 11 employees and more. NAČIN ZBIRANJA PODATKOV METHOD OF DATA COLLECTING Anketo izvajamo mesečno po pošti. The survey is carried out monthly by mail. UTEŽEVANJE ODGOVOROV WEIGHTS FOR RESPONSES Odgovori so uteženi tako, da odražajo relativno pomembnost posameznega podjetja v vzorcu. Znotraj oddelkov SKD so odgovori uteženi s številom zaposlenih. Responses to individual questions are weighted so that they reflect relative importance of individual enterprise in the panel. Inside divisions of Standard Classification of Activities (SKD) responses are weighted with the number of employees. NEODGOVORI NON-RESPONSES Neodgovore vsak mesec obdelamo skladno s poenoteno metodologijo; delež neodgovorov se giblje med 5 in 10 % (povprečno 8 %). Non-responses are processed every month in accordance with the harmonised methodology and vary between 5 and 10% (8% on average). DEFINICIJE DEFINITIONS Grafikoni prikazujejo ravnotežja po posameznih vprašanjih. Ravnotežje je razlika med pozitivnimi in negativnimi odgovori, izražena v odstotkih. Ravnotežja prikazujejo gibanje opazovanih ekonomskih spremenljivk (stanj in pričakovanj), ne pa dejanskih velikosti ekonomskih kazalnikov. The charts show the balance by individual questions. The balance is the difference between positive and negative answers, expressed in percent. The balance shows the movement of observed economic variables (present situation and future expectations), and not the real size of economic indicators. Kazalnik zaupanja je povprečje odgovorov (ravnotežij) na vprašanji o sedanjih skupnih naročilih in pričakovanemu zaposlovanju. Confidence indicator is defined as the arithmetic mean of the answers (balances) to the questions on order book assessments and employment expectations. OBJAVLJANJE PODATKOV PUBLISHING Sodelujoči v anketi prejmejo informacijo o gradbeništvu kot celoti, o Persons participating in the survey get information for construction, division in Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 12 Rapid reports No 49/2006 oddelku SKD, v katerega se po dejavnosti razvrščajo in glede na vrsto gradnje, vendar le, če so izpolnili vprašalnik za tekoči mesec. which they are classified and for the type of construction. They get it only if they responded in the current month. Ostalim uporabnikom so dostopni podatki na ravni gradbeništva in njegovih skupin ter podatki glede na vrsto gradnje. Slednji so mesečno objavljeni v Statističnih informacijah – Poslovne tendence v gradbeništvu in v podatkovni bazi SI-STAT na naslovu http://www.stat.si. Other users can get data for construction and its groups, size of enterprises and type of construction. Data are published in the Rapid Reports – Business Tendency in Construction and in the database SI-STAT which is available on http://www.stat.si/eng. VPRAŠANJA: QUESTIONS: • Obseg gradbenih del v zadnjih 3 mesecih: večji, enak, manjši? • Building activity over the past 3 months: increased, remained unchanged, decreased? • Dejavniki, ki omejujejo gradbeno dejavnost: ni omejitev, nezadostno povpraševanje, slabi vremenski pogoji, visoki stroški materiala, visoki stroški dela, visoki finančni stroški, težave pri pridobivanju kreditov, pomanjkanje usposobljenih delavcev, pomanjkanje opreme, pomanjkanje materialov, velika konkurenca v dejavnosti, ostalo? • Factors limiting building activity: none, insufficient demand, bad weather conditions, high cost of material, high cost of labour, high cost of capital, access to bank credit, shortage of skilled labour, shortage of equipment, shortage of material, competition in own sector, other? • Sedanja naročila v tujini: višja kot normalna, normalna, nižja kot normalna? • Assessment of foreign order books: above normal, normal, below normal? • Sedanja domača naročila: višja kot normalna, normalna, nižja kot normalna? • Assessment of domestic order books: above normal, normal, below normal? • Sedanja skupna naročila: višja kot normalna, normalna, nižja kot normalna? • Assessment of overall order books: above normal, normal, below normal? • Pričakovana naročila v naslednjih 3 mesecih: zrasla, ostala nespremenjena, padla? • Expected order books over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Zaposlovanje v zadnjem mesecu: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? • Assessment of employment: increased, remained unchanged, decreased? • Pričakovano zaposlovanje v naslednjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? • Employment expectations over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Cene so se: zvišale, ostale enake, znižale? • Assessment of prices: increased, remained unchanged, decreased? • Pričakovane cene v naslednjih 3 mesecih: naraščale, ostale enake, padale? • Expected prices over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? • Tehnične zmogljivosti glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih: več kot zadostne, zadostne, nezadostne? • Technical capacity regarding expected demand in the next 12 months: more than sufficient, sufficient, not sufficient? • Pri običajnih delovnih urah že začeto ali s pogodbami zagotovljeno dela za: ... mesecev? • With normal working hours, the work in hand and work already contracted for … months? • Poslovno stanje v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem: boljše, enako, slabše? • Business situation compared to the previous month: better, the same, worse? KOMENTAR COMMENT Februarja 2006 so direktorji tendence v gradbeništvu ocenili boljše kot pretekli mesec. Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika zaupanja je bila za 3 odstotne točke višja kot pretekli mesec. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila nižja za 14 odstotnih točk ter za 7 odstotnih točk nižja od lanskega povprečja. In February 2006, managers estimated business tendencies in construction better than in the previous month. The seasonally adjusted value of the confidence indicator rose by 3 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 14 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 7 percentage points. POSLOVNO STANJE BUSINESS SITUATION Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika poslovnega stanja je bila v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem enaka. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila nižja za 16 odstotnih točk in za 6 odstotnih točk pod lanskim povprečjem. The seasonally adjusted value of the business situation indicator remained the same compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 16 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 6 percentage points. Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 Rapid reports No 49/2006 13 OBSEG GRADBENIH DEL BUILDING ACTIVITY Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika obsega gradbenih del je bila v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem višja za 6 odstotnih točk. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 6 odstotnih točk in 5 odstotnih točk pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the building activity indicator rose by 6 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 and last year’s average it was down by 6 and 5 percentage points respectively. SKUPNA NAROČILA IN PRIČAKOVANA SKUPNA NAROČILA OVERALL ORDER-BOOKS AND EXPECTED ORDER-BOOKS Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika skupnih naročil se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižala za 1 odstotno točko. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 25 odstotnih točk in za 12 odstotnih točk pod lanskim povprečjem. The seasonally adjusted value of the overall order-books indicator fell by 1 percentage point compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 25 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 12 percentage points. Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika pričakovanih skupnih naročil za naslednje tri mesece se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižala za 3 odstotne točke. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila višja za 1 odstotno točko in 5 odstotnih točk pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the expected order-books for the next three months fell by 3 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was up by 1 percentage point and compared to last year’s average it was down by 5 percentage points. ZAPOSLOVANJE IN PRIČAKOVANO ZAPOSLOVANJE EMPLOYMENT AND EMPLOYMENT EXPECTATIONS Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika zaposlovanja je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem ostala enaka. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila nižja za 9 odstotnih točk in 4 odstotne točke pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the employment indicator remained the same compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 9 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 4 percentage points. Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika pričakovanega zaposlovanja se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem zvišala za 3 odstotne točke. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 3 odstotne točke in 2 odstotni točki pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the expected employment indicator rose by 3 percentage points when compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 3 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 2 percentage points. CENE IN CENOVNA PRIČAKOVANJA PRICES AND PRICE EXPECTATIONS Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika cen se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižala za 1 odstotno točko. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 2 odstotni točki in 1 odstotno točko pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the prices indicator fell by 1 percentage point compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 2 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 1 percentage point. Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika cenovnih pričakovanj za naslednje tri mesece je bila v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem nižja za 1 odstotno točko. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila nižja za 6 odstotnih točk in 2 odstotni točki pod povprečjem lanskega leta. The seasonally adjusted value of the price expectations indicator for the next three months fell by 1 percentage point compared to the previous month. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 6 percentage points and 2 percentage points below last year’s average. TEHNIČNE ZMOGLJIVOSTI TECHNICAL CAPACITY Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika tehnične zmogljivosti vključuje oceno količine in kakovosti opreme glede na povpraševanje v naslednjih 12 mesecih. The seasonally adjusted value of the technical capacity indicator includes the evaluation of the quantity and quality of equipment regarding expected demand in the next 12 months. Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem zvišala za 1 odstotno točko. Glede na isti mesec lani je bila višja za 7 odstotnih točk in 3 odstotne točke nad lanskim povprečjem. Compared to the previous month the seasonally adjusted value indicator rose by 1 percentage point. Compared to February 2005 it was up by 7 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 3 percentage points. ZAGOTOVLJENO DELO ASSURED WORK IN HAND Desezonirana vrednost kazalnika zagotovljeno delo temelji na oceni števila mesecev, za katere je delo zagotovljeno s pogodbami. The value of the assured work indicator includes the evaluation of the number of months for which work is assured by contracts. V februarju so imela podjetja s pogodbami zagotovljeno delo v povprečju za 4,1 meseca. To je za 0,4 meseca manj kot v lanskem februarju in za 0,1 meseca manj od povprečja lanskega leta. In January 2006, enterprises had work assured for 4.1 months on average. Compared to February 2005 it was down by 0.4 month and compared to last year’s average by 0.1 month. OMEJITVENI DEJAVNIKI LIMITING FACTORS Med omejitvenimi dejavniki v gradbeništvu so prevladovali dejavniki iz skupine hude omejitve. V tem mesecu se je z njimi spopadalo le 40 % zaposlenih (oziroma 37 % podjetij), kar je najmanj v celotnem opazovanem obdobju. Among factors limiting building activity, severe obstacles prevailed. In February 2006, 40% of employees (37% of enterprises) were faced with them. Sledili so omejitveni dejavniki iz skupine težave s ponudbo. V tem The second most important obstacles were supply difficulties. In February Statistične informacije, št. 49/2006 14 Rapid reports No 49/2006 mesecu se je z njimi srečevalo 35 % zaposlenih (oziroma 44 % podjetij). 2006, 35% of employees (44% of enterprises) faced them. Z dejavniki iz skupine šibko povpraševanje se je v tem mesecu srečalo 18 % zaposlenih (oziroma 13 % podjetij). The third most important obstacles were demand difficulties. In February 2006, 18% of employees (13% of enterprises) faced them. 7 % zaposlenih (oziroma 6 % podjetij) v tem mesecu ni imelo omejitev. 7% of employees (6% of enterprises) experienced no obstacles in February 2006. Podrobnejši pregled omejitvenih dejavnikov v gradbeništvu v tem mesecu pokaže naslednje1): A more detailed overview of factors limiting building activity shows that in this month1): • 44 % podjetij (ali 45 % zaposlenih) so omejevale slabe vremenske razmere; • 44% of enterprises (or 45% of employees) were limited by bad weather conditions; • 40 % podjetij (ali 46 % zaposlenih) je omejevala velika konkurenca v dejavnosti; • 40% of enterprises (or 46% of employees) were limited by competition in own sector; • 33 % podjetij (ali 34 % zaposlenih) so omejevali visoki stroški dela; • 33% of enterprises (or 34% of employees) were limited by high costs of labour; • 31 % podjetij (ali 25 % zaposlenih) je omejevalo pomanjkanje usposobljenih delavcev; • 31% of enterprises (or 25% of employees) were limited by shortage of skilled labour; • 21 % podjetij (ali 24 % zaposlenih) so omejevali visoki stroški materiala; • 21% of enterprises (or 24% of employees) were limited by high costs of material; • 16 % podjetij (ali 14 % zaposlenih) so omejevali visoki finančni stroški; • 16% of enterprises (or 14% of employees) were limited by high costs of capital; • 16 % podjetij (ali 20 % zaposlenih) je omejevalo nezadostno povpraševanje; • 16% of enterprises (or 20% of employees) were limited by insufficient demand; • 11 % podjetij (ali 8 % zaposlenih) so omejevali drugi dejavniki; • 11% of enterprises (or 8% of employees) were limited by other factors; • 5 % podjetij (ali 4 % zaposlenih) so omejevale težave pri pridobivanju kreditov; • 5% of enterprises (or 4% of employees) were limited by access to bank credits; • 2 % podjetij (ali 1 % zaposlenih) je omejevalo pomanjkanje opreme; • 2% of enterprises (or 1% of employees) were limited by lack of equipment; • 1 % podjetij (ali 1 % zaposlenih) je omejevalo pomanjkanje materialov. • 1% of enterprises (or 1% of employees) were limited by shortage of material. Največja omejitev v gradbeništvu so slabe vremenske razmere, sledijo velika konkurenca v dejavnosti, visoki stroški dela in pomanjkanje usposobljenih delavcev. The most important factor limiting building activity is bad weather conditions, followed by competition in own sector, high costs of labour and shortage of skilled labour. Statistično raziskovanje je sofinancirala Evropska komisija. Za objavljene podatke in besedila je odgovoren izključno Statistični urad Republike Slovenije in ne Evropska komisija. The business survey is co-financed by the European Commission. However, the European Commission accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever with regard to the material published in this publication. 1) Podjetja lahko označijo več dejavnikov, ki omejujejo njihovo dejavnost, zato vsota odstotkov ni 100. Enterprises can select several factors limiting their business, so the total is not 100%. Sestavila / Prepared by: Brigita Vrabič Kek Izdaja, založba in tisk Statistični urad Republike Slovenije, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - Uporaba in objava podatkov dovoljena le z navedbo vira - Odgovarja generalna direktorica mag. Irena Križman - Urednica zbirke Statistične informacije Marina Urbas – Področna urednica Brigita Vrabič Kek - Slovensko besedilo jezikovno uredila Marina Urbas - Angleško besedilo jezikovno uredil Boris Panič - Naklada 430 izvodov - ISSN zbirke Statistične informacije 1408-192X - ISSN podzbirke Gradbeništvo 1408-9300 - Informacije daje Informacijsko središče, tel. (01) 241 51 04 - El. pošta:info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si. Edited, published and printed by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - These data can be used provided the source is acknowledged - Director-General Irena Križman - Rapid Reports editor Marina Urbas – Subject-matter editor Brigita Vrabič Kek - Slovene language editor Marina Urbas - English language editor Boris Panič - Total print run 430 copies - ISSN of Rapid Reports 1408-192X - ISSN of subcollection Construction 1408-9300 - Information is given by the Information Centre of the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, tel.: +386 1 241 51 04 - E-mail: info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si.