Growth of total disposable income and stable financial situation of the population during the epidemic 80 90 100 110 120 130 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20 20 21 Re al in de x 20 08 = 10 0 Gross disposable income Compensation of employees Social benefits excluding social transfers in kind Gross operating surplus and mixed income Taxes on income and property and social security contributions 0 2 4 6 8 10 Ja n 12 Ja n 12 Ja n 13 Ja n 13 Ja n 14 Ja n 14 J an 1 5 Ja n 15 Ja n 16 Ja n 16 Ja n 17 Ja n 17 Ja n 18 Ja n 18 Ja n 19 Ja n 19 Ja n 20 Ja n 20 Ja n 21 Ja n 21 Ja n 22 In % Subjective perception of households’ financial situation Running into debt Having to draw on savings A significant burden of the epidemic was borne by the government 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 2020 2021 A s a % o f G D P Measures to mitigate the consequences of the epidemic Other (aid to agriculture, ICT infrastructure, investments in research, co-financing of fire brigades, etc.) Support to businesses (fixed costs, support to meetings industry, cultural activities, compensation to transport operators, etc.) Measures to maintain consumption and social situation (tour. vouchers, solidarity bonuses) Functioning of public services (allowances, expenditure on containment measures, provision of funds for Health Insurance Institute of Slovenia etc.) Labour market (temporary layoff, short-time work, minimum wage subsidy, holiday allowance) -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 Ir el an d Sw ed en Lu xe m b ou rg D en m ar k N et he rla nd s Bu lg ar ia Fi nl an d La tv ia Po la nd Li th ua ni a C ro at ia Sl o ve n ia Es to ni a G er m an y Be lg iu m EU Po rt ug al H un ga ry EM U C ze ch R ep . A us tr ia C yp ru s G re ec e Ro m an ia Sl ov ak ia Fr an ce M al ta It al y Sp ai n In p .p . o f G D P Change in the general government debt in 2019–2021 DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2022 The Development Report monitors developments according to the strategic orientations set out in the Slovenian Development Strategy 2030 (SDS) adopted by the government of Slovenia at the end of 2017. Slovenia’s economy saw a quick rebound in 2021 with the help of government measures that kept the material and financial situation of the population relatively stable. However, narrowing the development gap with the EU average remains a challenge, as the shift to innovation- led economic growth with a highly productive low-carbon circular economy is slow. The COVID-19 epidemic has severely affected the health status of the population and has exacerbated the problem of access to healthcare and long-term care. A RAPID RECOVERY OF THE ECONOMY AND STABLE INCOME AFTER THE OUTBREAK OF THE EPIDEMIC Economic convergence continued in 2020 and 2021 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20 20 21 In de x 20 10 = 10 0 GDP Slovenia EU 91 81 82 83 85 88 89 88 89 86 85 84 83 83 83 83 84 86 87 88 89 90 75 80 85 90 95 100 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20 20 21 In de x EU = 1 00 GDP per capita in PPS compared to the EU average Development policy measures should focus on accelerating the inclusive transition to innovation- driven growth with a highly productive low-carbon circular economy. Priority tasks: • Accelerating productivity growth • Faster transition to a low- carbon circular economy • Inclusive social development and intergenerational solidarity • Strengthening the developmental role of the government and its institutions RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE ECONOMIC POLICY Sources: SURS, MF, Eurostat, EC, SVRK, calculations by IMAD. Notes: The at-risk-of-poverty and social exclusion rate from the EU-SILC 2020 survey was calculated based on 2019 income and a survey conducted in 2020; V4 – Visegrad countries; IL – innovation leaders (Sweden, Finland, Belgium); Resource, energy and emission productivity are calculated as GDP per unit of consumed material, energy or greenhouse gas emissions; RES – renewable energy sources; RRP – recovery and resilience plan. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 C ze ch R ep . Sl ov ak ia Sl o ve n ia Fi nl an d N et he rla nd s A us tr ia D en m ar k Po la nd C yp ru s Sw ed en Fr an ce H un ga ry M al ta Lu xe m b ou rg Po rt ug al Be lg iu m C ro at ia Ir el an d EU G er m an y Es to ni a Li th ua ni a It al y La tv ia Sp ai n G re ec e Bu lg ar ia Ro m an ia Ri sk ra te , i n % Poverty, 2020 Poverty among low-educated people Social exclusion (aged 75 years and over)Social exclusion, 2020 The at-risk-of-poverty or social exclusion rate is among the lowest in the EU but higher for certain population groups SLOW PACE OF TRANSFORMATION INTO A HIGHLY PRODUCTIVE, LOW-CARBON CIRCULAR ECONOMY 81 82 83 85 88 89 88 89 91 86 85 84 83 83 83 83 84 86 87 88 89 90 84 107 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20 20 21 In de x EU = 1 00 GDP per capita in PPS Productivity (GDP per empl., PPS) Employment rate 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 10.5% 11.0% 11.5% 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 A s a % o f G D P Investment in R&D, ICT and other machinery and equipment Slovenia EU V4 IL The transition to innovation-driven economic growth has been slow since the global financial crisis DEEPENING OF CHALLENGES IN HEALTH AND LONG-TERM CARE 0 300 600 900 1200 1500 1800 2100 2400 2700 3000 3300 Ja n 20 Fe b 2 0 M ar 2 0 A p r 2 0 M ay 2 0 Ju n 20 Ju l 2 0 A ug 2 0 S ep 2 0 O ct 2 0 N ov 2 0 D ec 2 0 Ja n 21 Fe b 2 1 M ar 2 1 A p r 2 1 M ay 21 Ju n 21 Ju l 2 1 A ug 2 1 Se p 2 1 O ct 2 1 N ov 2 1 D ec 2 1 N um b er Excess mortality Deaths with COVID-19 Other deaths Monthly average number of deaths (2015–2019) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 M al ta G er m an y Lu xe m b ou rg A us tr ia N et he rla nd s C ze ch R ep . Sp ai n C yp ru s H un ga ry Bu lg ar ia Be lg iu m C ro at ia Sw ed en Po rt ug al EU D en m ar k Li th ua ni a It al y Ir el an d Fr an ce Sl o ve n ia Sl ov ak ia Ro m an ia La tv ia Fi nl an d G re ec e Po la nd Es to ni a A s a % o f p op ul at io n ag ed 1 6+ Unmet needs for healthcare due to financial reasons, waiting times or geographical distance, 2019 The epidemic has a negative impact on the health status of the population; low availability of health services 0 20 40 60 80 100 N et he rla nd s Fi nl an d Sw ed en D en m ar k G er m an y In n o va ti o n le ad er s Lu xe m b ou rg A us tr ia C ze ch R ep . Es to ni a Be lg iu m Sp ai n Fr an ce EU Li th ua ni a M al ta Sl o ve n ia Sl ov ak ia Ir el an d C ro at ia Po rt ug al G re ec e H un ga ry C yp ru s Po la nd La tv ia It al y Ro m an ia Bu lg ar ia In % Share of the population (aged 16–74) with at least basic digital skills, 2019 Basic digital skills Very good digital skills 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 25–34 years 35–44 years 45–54 years 55–64 years In % 2010 2019 2020 Participation of adults (aged 25–64) in lifelong learning Economic transformation is limited also by human resources-related factors 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 20 10 20 11 20 12 20 13 20 14 20 15 20 16 20 17 20 18 20 19 20 20 In de x, E U -2 7= 10 0 Resource productivity Energy productivity Emission productivity EU 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 M al ta Lu xe m b ou rg C yp ru s Ire la nd Be lg iu m N et he rla nd s Po la nd Sl ov ak ia G er m an y Bu lg ar ia C ze ch R ep . D en m ar k G re ec e It al y Sp ai n EU -2 7 H un ga ry Li th ua ni a Fr an ce Es to ni a Po rt ug al Sw ed en A us tr ia Fi nl an d Ro m an ia La tv ia C ro at ia Sl o ve n ia In % Increase in the use of RES, 2005–2020 10 94 1 Slow decoupling of economic growth from resource use and GHG emissions