10. OKTOBER 2005 10 OCTOBER 2005 št./No 280 20 TRGOVINA IN DRUGE STORITVENE DEJAVNOSTI DISTRIBUTIVE TRADE AND OTHER SERVICE ACTIVITIES št./No 48 POSLOVNE TENDENCE V STORITVENIH DEJAVNOSTIH, SLOVENIJA, SEPTEMBER 2005 BUSINESS TENDENCY IN SERVICES, SLOVENIA, SEPTEMBER 2005 V septembru 2005 je vrednost kazalnika zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem padla za 2 odstotni točki. V primerjavi s septembrom 2004 in lanskim povprečjem je kazalnik padel za 8 odstotnih točk. In comparison with the previous month, in September 2005 the services confidence indicator fell by 2 percentage points. Compared to September 2004 and last year’s average it fell by 8 percentage points. Na padec kazalnika zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih sta vplivala predvsem padec povpraševanja in poslabšanje poslovnega položaja, medtem ko je rast pričakovanega povpraševanja padec nekoliko omilila. The deterioration of the services confidence indicator was mostly driven by the fall of demand and worsening of the business situation, while the rise of expected demand softened the fall. Kazalniki stanj so se v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem poslabšali. Po drugi strani se je večina kazalnikov pričakovanj izboljšala, razen kazalnika pričakovane prodajne cene. Observed indicators for appreciation of the situation worsened compared to the previous month. On the other hand, expectations for the next three months are favourable, except for selling prices expectations. 1. KAZALNIK ZAUPANJA1) V SLOVENIJI, APRIL 2002 – SEPTEMBER 2005 CONFIDENCE INDICATOR1) IN SLOVENIA, APRIL 2002 – SEPTEMBER 2005 15 20 25 30 35 40 A 2002 M J J A S O N D J 2003 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2004 F M A M J J A S O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % originalni podatki - Slovenija / raw data - Slovenia dolgoletno povprečje / long-term average © SURS 1) Kazalnik zaupanja je povprečje odgovorov (ravnotežij) na vprašanja o poslovnem položaju ter sedanjem in pričakovanem povpraševanju. The confidence indicator is an average of responses (balances) to questions on business situation and present and expected demand. Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 2 Rapid reports No 280/2005 2. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV V STORITVENIH DEJAVNOSTIH V SLOVENIJI, APRIL 2002 – SEPTEMBER 2005 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN SERVICES IN SLOVENIA, APRIL 2002 - SEPTEMBER 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months Poslovni položaj / Business situation 10 20 30 40 50 60 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % © SURS -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 FMAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand 0 10 20 30 40 50 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 F MAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAMJ J A SOND J 2004 FMAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 Rapid reports No 280/2005 3 2.1 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v gostinstvu in s turizmom povezanih dejavnostih, september 2004 - september 2005 Evolution of economic indicators in hotels and restaurants and in tourist assistance activities, September 2004 - September 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months Poslovni položaj / Business situation -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -10 0 10 20 30 40 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - gostinstvo in s turizmom povezane dejavnosti hotels and restaurants, and tourist assistance activities  storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 4 Rapid reports No 280/2005 2.2 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v kopenskem, vodnem in zračnem prometu, september 2004 - september 2005 Evolution of economic indicators in land, water and air transport, September 2004 - September 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months Poslovni položaj / Business situation -55 -40 -25 -10 5 20 35 50 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - kopenski, vodni in zračni promet land, water and air transport  storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 Rapid reports No 280/2005 5 2.3 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost pošte, telekomunikacij in obdelava podatkov, september 2004 - september 2005 Evolution of economic indicators in post, telecommunications and data processing, September 2004 - September 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months 10 25 40 55 70 85 100 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -20 0 20 40 60 80 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -40 -20 0 20 40 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -30 -15 0 15 30 45 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - pošta, telekomunikacije in obdelava podatkov post and telecommunication, data processing  storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 6 Rapid reports No 280/2005 2.4 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost finančno posredništvo, september 2004 - september 2005 Evolution of economic indicators in financial intermediation, September 2004 - September 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -60 -45 -30 -15 0 15 30 45 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS 0 15 30 45 60 75 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - finančno posredništvo financial intermediation  storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 Rapid reports No 280/2005 7 2.5 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost poslovanje z nepremičninami, najem in poslovne storitve, september 2004 - september 2005 Evolution of economic indicators in real estate activities, renting and business services, September 2004 - September 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -10 0 10 20 30 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations © SURS -15 0 15 30 45 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand 0 10 20 30 40 50 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - poslovanje z nepremičninami, najem in poslovne storitve real estate activities, renting and business services  storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 8 Rapid reports No 280/2005 2.6 Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnosti javne higiene in druge storitvene dejavnosti, september 2004 - september 2005 Evolution of economic indicators in sewage disposal and other service activities, September 2004 - September 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS Pričakovane prodajne cene / Selling prices expectations -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % © SURS -20 -5 10 25 40 55 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S Povpraševanje / Demand © SURS % -20 0 20 40 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand © SURS % -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -20 0 20 40 60 S 2004 O N D J 2005 F M A M J J A S % Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment © SURS - dejavnost javne higiene in druge osebne storitvene dejavnosti sewage disposal and other service activities  storitvene dejavnosti services - - - - - dolgoletno povprečje long-term average Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 Rapid reports No 280/2005 9 3. GIBANJE EKONOMSKIH KAZALNIKOV V STORITVENIH DEJAVNOSTIH V EU1), APRIL 2002 - SEPTEMBER 2005 EVOLUTION OF ECONOMIC INDICATORS IN SERVICES IN EU1), APRIL 2002 - SEPTEMBER 2005 Ocena stanj / Appreciation of situation Kazalnik zaupanja / Confidence indicator -30 -15 0 15 30 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 FMAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % Poslovni položaj / Business situation © SURS -20 -10 0 10 20 30 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % Kazalnik zaupanja / Confidence indicator © SURS Pričakovanja v naslednjih 3 mesecih / Expectations in the next 3 months -20 -10 0 10 20 30 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % © SURS Povpraševanje / Demand -10 0 10 20 30 40 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % © SURS Pričakovano povpraševanje / Expected demand -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 A 2002 MJ J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 FMAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAMJ J A S % Zaposlovanje / Employment © SURS -10 -5 0 5 10 15 A 2002 M J J A SOND J 2003 FMAM J J A SOND J 2004 F MAM J J A SOND J 2005 FMAM J J A S % ©SURS Pričakovano zaposlovanje / Expected employment 1) Vir podatkov za EU je Evropska komisija (http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm). Podatki so desezonirani. Podatki za zadnja dva meseca niso na voljo. The source for the EU data is the European Commission (http://europa.eu.int/comm/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm). Data are seasonally adjusted. Data for the last two months are not available. Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 10 Rapid reports No 280/2005 METODOLOŠKA POJASNILA METHODOLOGICAL EXPLANATIONS Namen raziskovanja Purpose of the survey Namen kvalitativne Ankete o poslovnih tendencah v storitvenih dejavnostih (vprašalnik PA-STOR/M) je mesečno pridobivanje informacij o stanjih glavnih ekonomskih kazalnikov ter ocenitev njihovega gibanja v naslednjih mesecih. Rezultati ankete so osnova za izračun kazalnika zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih. The purpose of the qualitative Survey on Business Tendency in Services (questionnaire PA-STOR/M) is to get monthly information about current situations of major economic indicators and to evaluate their movement in the following months. The survey results are the basis for evaluation of the confidence indicator in services. Panelno anketo o poslovnih tendencah v storitvenih dejavnostih izvajamo v Sloveniji od aprila 2002 s poenotenim vprašalnikom, na podlagi poenotene metodologije in z enako periodiko, kakor jo izvajajo v državah članicah Evropske unije že več desetletij; to omogoča neposredno primerljivost podatkov. The Panel Survey on Business Tendency in Services is being carried out in Slovenia since April 2002 with the harmonised questionnaire, methodology and periodicity, which have been used in EU Member States for several decades. Therefore, all data are directly comparable. Enote opazovanja Observation units Opazujemo podjetja, ki so po Standardni klasifikaciji dejavnosti (SKD) razvrščena v storitveno dejavnost, in sicer: We are monitoring units that are registered in services according to the Standard Classification of Activities (SKD): • 55 - Gostinstvo • 60 - Kopenski promet; cevovodni transport • 61 - Vodni promet • 62 - Zračni promet • 63.3 - Dejavnost potovalnih agencij in organizatorjev potovanj; s turizmom povezane dejavnosti • 64 - Pošta in telekomunikacije • 65 - Finančno posredništvo, razen zavarovalništva in dejavnosti pokojninskih skladov • 66 - Zavarovalništvo in dejavnost pokojninskih skladov, razen obveznega socialnega zavarovanja • 67 - Pomožne dejavnosti v finančnem posredništvu • 70 - Poslovanje z nepremičninami • 71 - Dajanje strojev in opreme brez upravljavcev v najem; izposojanje izdelkov široke porabe • 72 - Obdelava podatkov, podatkovne baze in s tem povezane dejavnosti • 73 - Raziskovanje in razvoj • 74 - Druge poslovne dejavnosti • 90 - Dejavnosti javne higiene • 93 - Druge storitvene dejavnosti • 55 - Hotels and restaurants • 60 - Land transport; transport via pipelines • 61 - Water transport • 62 - Air transport • 63.3 - Activities of travel agencies and tour operators; tourist assistance activities • 64 - Post and telecommunications • 65 - Financial intermediation, except insurance and pension funding • 66 - Insurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security • 67 - Activities auxiliary to financial intermediation • 70 - Real estate activities • 71 - Renting of machinery and equipment without operator and of personal and household goods • 72 - Data processing, database activities and other computer related activities • 73 - Research and development • 74 - Other business activities • 90 - Sewage and refuse disposal, sanitation and similar activities • 93 - Other service activities Vzorec podjetij je oblikovan na podlagi dveh meril: The sample of enterprises was selected by two criteria: • razvrstitve storitvenega podjetja po SKD-ju in • velikosti storitvenega podjetja (števila zaposlenih po Zakonu o gospodarskih družbah). • classification of the enterprise according to the Standard Classification of Activities, • size of the enterprise (the number of employees in accordance with the Companies Act). Vir podatkov Data source Na vprašalnik PA-STOR/M odgovarjajo direktorji podjetij ali drugi vodilni delavci med 1. in 10. v mesecu. Respondents answering the monthly PA-STOR/M questionnaire are managers of enterprises or other executives. They respond between the 1st and the 10th of the month. Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 Rapid reports No 280/2005 11 Zajetje Coverage V panelni vzorec smo zajeli vsa velika in srednjevelika podjetja ter 11 % malih podjetij (ali 16 % zaposlenih v malih podjetjih), ki so razvrščena v storitveno dejavnost. Panelni vzorec pokriva 18 % podjetij vzorčnega okvira ali 69 % zaposlenih v storitvenih dejavnostih. The panel includes all large and medium-sized enterprises and 11% of small enterprises (or 16% employees of small enterprises), the principal activity of which is classified into services. The panel covers 18% of the enterprises of the studied population or 69% of employees in services. Način zbiranja podatkov Method of data collection Anketo izvajamo mesečno po pošti. The survey is carried out monthly by mail. Definicije in pojasnila Definitions and explanations Ravnotežje je razlika med pozitivnimi in negativnimi odgovori, izraženimi v odstotkih. Ravnotežja prikazujejo gibanje opazovanih ekonomskih kazalnikov (stanj in pričakovanj), ne pa dejanskih velikosti ekonomskih kazalnikov. Grafikoni prikazujejo ravnotežja po posameznih vprašanjih. The balance is the difference between positive and negative answers, expressed in percent. The balance shows the movement of observed economic indicators (present situation and future expectations), and not the real size of economic indicators. The charts show the balance by individual questions. Kazalnik zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih je povprečje odgovorov (ravnotežij) na vprašanja o poslovnem položaju ter sedanjem in pričakovanem povpraševanju po storitvah. The confidence indicator in services is the arithmetic mean of responses (balances) to the questions on business situation, and present and expected demand. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v gostinstvu in s turizmom povezanih dejavnostih združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 55 - Gostinstvo in 63.3 - Dejavnost potovalnih agencij in organizatorjev potovanj; s turizmom povezane dejavnosti. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in hotels and restaurants and in tourist assistance activities show results for 55 - Hotels and restaurants and 63.3 - Activities of travel agencies and tour operators; tourist assistance activities. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov v kopenskem, vodnem in zračnem prometu združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 60 - Kopenski promet; cevovodni transport, 61 - Vodni promet in 62 - Zračni promet. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in land, water and air transport show results for 60 - Land transport; transport via pipelines, 61 - Water transport and 62 - Air transport. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost pošte, telekomunikacij in obdelava podatkov združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 64 - Pošta in telekomunikacije in 72 - Obdelava podatkov, podatkovne baze in s tem povezane dejavnosti. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in post, telecommunications and data processing show results for 64 - Post and telecommunications and 72 - Data processing, database activities and other computer related activities. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost finančno posredništvo združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 65 - Finančno posredništvo, razen zavarovalništva in dejavnosti pokojninskih skladov, 66 - Zavarovalništvo in dejavnost pokojninskih skladov, razen obveznega socialnega zavarovanja, 67 - Pomožne dejavnosti v finančnem posredništvu. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in financial intermediation show results for 65 - Financial intermediation, except insurance and pension funding, 66 - Insurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security and 67 - Activities auxiliary to financial intermediation. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnost poslovanje z nepremičninami, najem in poslovne storitve združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 70 - Poslovanje z nepremičninami, 71 - Dajanje strojev in opreme brez upravljavcev v najem; izposojanje izdelkov široke porabe, 73 - Raziskovanje in razvoj in 74 - Druge poslovne dejavnosti. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in real estate activities, renting and business services show results for 70 - Real estate activities, 71 - Renting of machinery and equipment without operator and of personal and household goods, 73 - Research and development and 74 - Other business activities. Grafikoni z naslovom Gibanje ekonomskih kazalnikov za dejavnosti javne higiene in druge storitvene dejavnosti združujejo rezultate dejavnosti 90 - Dejavnosti javne higiene in 93 - Druge storitvene dejavnosti. The charts Evolution of economic indicators in sewage disposal and other service activities show results for 90 - Sewage and refuse disposal, sanitation and similar activities and 93 - Other service activities. Objavljanje Publishing Sodelujoči v anketi prejmejo mesečno informacijo o poslovnih tendencah v storitvenih dejavnostih. Participants in the survey get the monthly information on the business tendency in services. Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 12 Rapid reports No 280/2005 Drugim uporabnikom so ti podatki prav tako dostopni na ravni storitvenih dejavnosti. Objavljamo jih mesečno v Statističnih informacijah in podatkovni bazi SI-STAT (http://www.stat.si). Other users can also get data for services published monthly in Rapid Reports and in the SI-STAT database (http://www.stat.si/eng). VPRAŠANJA QUESTIONS Poslovni položaj v zadnjih 3 mesecih: dober, zadovoljiv, slab? Business situation over the past 3 months: improved, remained unchanged, deteriorated? Povpraševanje v zadnjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? Demand over the past 3 months: increased, remained unchanged, decreased? Zaposlovanje v zadnjih treh mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, padlo? Employment over the past 3 months: increased, remained unchanged, decreased? Povpraševanje v naslednjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? Demand over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? Zaposlovanje v naslednjih 3 mesecih: povečalo, ostalo enako, zmanjšalo? Employment over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? Prodajne cene v naslednjih 3 mesecih: zvišale, ostale enake, znižale? Prices over the next 3 months: increase, remain unchanged, decrease? KOMENTAR COMMENT V septembru 2005 je vrednost kazalnika zaupanja v storitvenih dejavnostih v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem padla za 2 odstotni točki. V primerjavi s septembrom 2004 in lanskim povprečjem je bila nižja za 8 odstotnih točk. In comparison with the previous month, in September 2005 the services confidence indicator fell by 2 percentage points. Compared to September 2004 and last year’s average it fell by 8 percentage points. POSLOVNI POLOŽAJ BUSINESS SITUATION Poslovni položaj v zadnjih treh mesecih se je v vseh treh primerjavah poslabšal: v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem je bil kazalnik nižji za 1 odstotno točko, v primerjavi s septembrom 2004 za 15 odstotnih točk in v primerjavi z lanskim povprečjem za 14 odstotnih točk. The business situation in the past three months worsened in all three comparisons. Compared to the previous month the indicator went down by 1 percentage point, compared to September 2004 by 15 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 14 percentage points. POVPRAŠEVANJE DEMAND V zadnjih 3 mesecih se je povpraševanje po storitvah zmanjšalo, kazalnik sedanje povpraševanje se je v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižal kar za 8 odstotnih točk. Glede na isti mesec lanskega leta je kazalnik padel za 12 odstotnih točk, glede na lanskoletno povprečje pa za 14 odstotnih točk. In the past three months the demand for services fell while the indicator of the present demand dropped by 8 percentage points compared to the previous month. Compared to September 2004 it dropped by 12 percentage points and compared to last year’s average by 14 percentage points. Po drugi strani pa so bili direktorji precej optimistični glede gibanja povpraševanja v naslednjih treh mesecih. Kazalnik pričakovano povpraševanje se je v primerjavi z avgustom 2005 in septembrom 2004 dvignil za 4 odstotne točke, glede na lansko povprečje pa se je dvignil za 6 odstotnih točk. On the other hand, managers were quite optimistic about the demand developments in the next three months. Compared to August 2005 and September 2004 the expected demand indicator rose by 4 percentage points, while compared to last year’s average it went up by 6 percentage points. ZAPOSLOVANJE EMPLOYMENT V septembru 2005 se je vrednost kazalnika zaposlovanje v zadnjih treh mesecih v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem znižala za 5 odstotnih točk. V primerjavi z istim mesecem lani je bila višja za 4 odstotne točke, hkrati pa je bila za 6 odstotnih točk nad lanskim povprečjem. In comparison with the previous month, in September 2005 the employment indicator fell by 5 percentage points. Compared to September 2004 this indicator rose by 4 percentage points and was 6 percentage points above last year’s average. Kazalnik pričakovanega zaposlovanja v naslednjih treh mesecih se je v primerjavi z avgustom 2005 zvišal za 1 According to the expected employment indicator, the employment in the next three months will rise. In comparison Statistične informacije, št. 280/2005 Rapid reports No 280/2005 13 odstotno točko. V primerjavi s septembrom 2004 se je zvišal za 6 odstotnih točk, v primerjavi z lanskim povprečjem pa za 5 odstotnih točk. with the previous month the indicator rose by 1 percentage point, in comparison with September 2004 by 6 percentage points and in comparison with last year’s average by 5 percentage points. PRODAJNE CENE SELLING PRICES Direktorji so v septembru 2005 ocenili, da se bodo prodajne cene v storitvenih dejavnostih v naslednjih treh mesecih znižale, saj je ta kazalnik padel v primerjavi s preteklim mesecem za 3 odstotne točke. V primerjavi s septembrom 2004 je bil ta kazalnik višji za 3 odstotne točke in za 3 odstotne točke nad lanskim povprečjem. In September 2005 managers estimated that selling prices will fall in the next three months as this indicator went down in comparison with the previous month by 3 percentage points. In comparison with September 2004 the indicator went up by 3 percentage points and was 3 percentage points higher than last year’s average. Statistično raziskovanje je sofinancirala Evropska komisija. Za objavljene podatke in besedila je odgovoren izključno Statistični urad Republike Slovenije in ne Evropska komisija. The business survey is co-financed by the European Commission. However, the European Commission accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever with regard to the material published in this publication. Sestavila / Prepared by: Brigita Vrabič Kek Izdaja, založba in tisk Statistični urad Republike Slovenije, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - Uporaba in objava podatkov dovoljena le z navedbo vira - Odgovarja generalna direktorica mag. Irena Križman - Urednica zbirke Statistične informacije Marina Urbas – Urednica podzbirke Brigita Vrabič Kek - Slovensko besedilo jezikovno uredila Joža Lakovič - Angleško besedilo jezikovno uredil Boris Panič - Naklada 700 izvodov - ISSN zbirke Statistične informacije 1408-192X - ISSN podzbirke Trgovina in druge storitvene dejavnosti 1408-9327 - Informacije daje Informacijsko središče, tel.: (01) 241 51 04 - El. pošta: info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si. Edited, published and printed by the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, Ljubljana, Vožarski pot 12 - These data can be used provided the source is acknowledged - Director-General Irena Križman - Rapid Reports editor Marina Urbas – Subject-matter editor Brigita Vrabič Kek - Slovene language editor Joža Lakovič- English language editor Boris Panič - Total print run 700 copies - ISSN of Rapid Reports 1408-192X - ISSN of subcollection Business tendency in services 1408-9327 - Information is given by the Information Centre of the Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia, tel.: +386 1 241 51 04 - E-mail: info.stat@gov.si - http://www.stat.si.